What is Martin Brassil's strike rate?

Martin Brassil has won 123 of 1,216 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Martin Brassil do best at?

Kilbeggan by strike rate: 10 wins from 57 runners (17.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Martin Brassil?

Mark Walsh, with 230 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 34 (14.8%).

Is Martin Brassil in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Martin Brassil's Fair A/E?

1.24, from 1,216 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Martin Brassil

1,216 runners in the lifetime window · 164 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago 90% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

123–1,216

Wins / Runs

10.1%

Strike rate

n=1,216

287 (24%)

Placed

1.24

Fair A/E

n=1,216 · 0.97 incl. margin

−343.70

£1 level stake

n=1,216 at SP · −28.3%

£2.64m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.24).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,216 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Oct 40.8% when favourite Mark Walsh: 14.8% from 230 New recruits: 10.7% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Kilbeggan (17.5%, n=57), clear of the yard's 10.1% baseline. It is weakest at Fairyhouse (2.2% over 93 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 3% (n=99, Fair A/E 0.69). Mark Walsh rides 19% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14.8% vs 10.1%, A/E 1.56) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well beyond 3m (22.8%, n=79). The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 2.3% over 44 runners, 7.8pts below the baseline. 19 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand National Handicap Chase at Aintree (Apr 2006, £399,140). The stable star of the record: Double Seven (IRE) — 9 wins from 31 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.9%−0.2

n=393 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −111.93

New recruits · first run for the yard

10.7%+0.6

n=56 · A/E 1.72 · £1 −6.75

Debutants · first career start

3%−7.1

n=99 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −51.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.4%−1.7

n=107 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −52.62

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.5%−2.6

n=40 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −13.62

When favourite

40.8%

n=103 · A/E 1.53 · £1 +14.27

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.8%−4.3

n=308 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −138.05

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.8%−2.3

n=129 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −38.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 23.6% vs 10.1% · n=123

Beyond 3m 22.8% vs 10.1% · n=79

At Fairyhouse 2.2% vs 10.1% · n=93

With debutants 3% vs 10.1% · n=99

At Kilbeggan 17.5% vs 10.1% · n=57

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 2.3% vs 10.1% · n=44

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 673 66 9.8% −209.90

Chase 327 42 12.8% +0.62

Flat 121 6 5% −89.75

NH Flat 95 9 9.5% −44.67

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 518 59 11.4% −114.58

Heavy 280 28 10% −73.24

Good 225 22 9.8% −74.76

Good to Soft 152 10 6.6% −69.87

Good to Firm 22 4 18.2% +7.75

Standard (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 228 27 11.8% +6.04

Naas 102 10 9.8% −51.43

Leopardstown 98 6 6.1% −47.12

Fairyhouse 93 2 2.2% −73.00

Navan 58 6 10.3% −25.62

Kilbeggan 57 10 17.5% −2.81

Galway 49 6 12.2% −14.90

Gowran Park 49 4 8.2% −19.75

Roscommon 46 5 10.9% +17.50

Tipperary 45 4 8.9% −22.63

Limerick 44 4 9.1% −21.90

Ballinrobe 33 4 12.1% −15.99

Thurles 32 1 3.1% −26.00

Sligo 31 5 16.1% +15.00

Listowel 29 4 13.8% +19.10

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 137 10 7.3% −46.00

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 115 44 38.3% 1.49 +12.77

2nd–3rd fav 223 37 16.6% 1.18 −26.47

4th–6th fav 344 29 8.4% 1.23 −28.00

7th+ in betting 534 13 2.4% 0.86 −302.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 421 28 6.7% −249.61

2m1f – 2m4f 387 47 12.1% −51.62

2m5f – 3m 252 27 10.7% −6.26

Over 3m 79 18 22.8% +26.04

1m2f – 1m4f 44 1 2.3% −40.25

1m – 1m1f 17 1 5.9% −9.00

6f – 7f 15 1 6.7% −12.00

Under 6f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 75 5 6.7% −43.59

2009 64 5 7.8% −35.37

2010 58 3 5.2% −30.25

2011 72 4 5.6% −36.25

2012 65 4 6.2% −40.75

2013 33 8 24.2% +22.00

2014 42 4 9.5% −19.12

2015 69 5 7.2% −46.50

2016 44 4 9.1% −15.40

2017 59 4 6.8% −43.37

2018 46 7 15.2% +15.63

2019 46 7 15.2% +9.70

2020 48 4 8.3% −13.57

2021 73 17 23.3% +72.80

2022 89 5 5.6% −50.50

2023 99 13 13.1% −3.79

2024 90 9 10% −41.00

2025 83 8 9.6% −13.62

2026 61 7 11.5% −30.75

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 544 60 11% −54.21

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

17+ runners 404 29 7.2% −167.99

14-16 runners 341 37 10.9% −42.77

11-13 runners 227 18 7.9% −117.66

8-10 runners 162 22 13.6% −14.22

5-7 runners 73 16 21.9% +6.69

2-4 runners 9 1 11.1% −7.75

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85% completed · 1,000 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 327 73.7% 17 12 55 1 1

Hurdle 673 90.5% 13 8 36 5 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Desertmore House (IRE) 31 6 11 30 Apr 26

Double Seven (IRE) 31 9 12 19 Mar 17

Moville (IRE)from B W Hills 30 3 6 20 May 13

Glenquin Castle (IRE) 29 8 10 3 Dec 23

Troll D'oudairies (FR)then Daniel G Murphy 29 0 6 5 Jun 16

Mister Farmer (FR)from N Branchu 28 3 6 2 Apr 13

Panda Boy (IRE) 27 5 10 1 May 26

Artic Pearl (GB) 26 3 6 4 May 24

Longhouse Poet (IRE) 25 6 10 4 May 24

A Different World (IRE) 22 1 6 31 Jan 23

Vent De La Cote (FR)from F-M Cottin 19 3 6 17 Mar 19

Rolling Revenge (IRE)then Thomas Coyle 19 2 5 27 Oct 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 164 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A Chaille-Chaille (3) and Thomas Gallagher (3); 38 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Thomas Coyle (3); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

119117951419131259

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMark Walsh

19% of all rides
14.8% SR · A/E 1.56

RiderRWSR£1

Mark Walsh 230 34 14.8% −11.51

Ricky Doyle 147 17 11.6% +18.13

Conor Brassil 102 12 11.8% +13.85

J J Slevin 94 10 10.6% −21.14

Niall P Madden 83 7 8.4% −12.50

Darragh O'Keeffe 36 5 13.9% −4.40

Roger Loughran 34 1 2.9% −30.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

148

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.71m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 17 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Numbersixvalverde (IRE) — Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Aintree · Apr 2006 · Class 1

£399,140

Fastorslow (FR) — Ladbrokes Punchestown Gold Cup (Grade 1) Punchestown · May 2024 · Grade 1

£177,000

Fastorslow (FR) — Ladbrokes Punchestown Gold Cup (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2023 · Grade 1

£177,000

Notable horses

Double Seven (IRE) Nickname (FR) Glenquin Castle (IRE) Desertmore House (IRE) Longhouse Poet (IRE) Celestial Prospect (AUS)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Court Cave (IRE) 22.4% · 11–49

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,938 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Yeats (IRE) 20% · 9–45

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,823 runs since 2008 (705 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 818.

Getaway (GER) 18.2% · 8–44

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,931 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.3% from 133.

Kayf Tara (GB) 9.5% · 4–42

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,742 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Beneficial (GB) 9.8% · 4–41

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Valirann (FR) 13.9% · 5–36

Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,441 runs since 2008 (157 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 342.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,404 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,404 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2005 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Solar Generation (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div I)17.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 7th 15/2

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Galileo Springs (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Isuzu Ireland Handicap14f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 4th 25/1

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Classy Cc (IRE)J: Conor Brassil Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran 6th 10/1

01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Il Silenzio (GB)J: Conor Smithers Ravens Rock Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 16 ran 5th 9/2

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Aruntotheace (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson GavinLynchRacing.com Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 2nd 12/1

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Classy Cc (IRE)J: Conor Brassil Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 8th 11/1

25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Ladbroke Grove (FR)J: Mark Walsh John J. Galvin Maiden Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 5th 9/2

21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Galileo Springs (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Eric Browne Memorial Maiden12f · Yielding · 11 ran 7th 22/1

11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Il Silenzio (GB)J: Conor Smithers Lodge At Ashford Castle Handicap Steeplechase23f · Yielding · 16 ran 3rd 13/2

07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Hope And Mercy (IRE)J: Mr D Clarke Kenny Developments Irish EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Soft · 18 ran BD 40/1

01 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Bartholomew (GB)J: W J Lee Racing Again September 19th Maiden14f · Yielding · 13 ran 7th 13/8F

21 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Solar Generation (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Tom Lynam Memorial Handicap Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran PU 28/1

14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Galileo Springs (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle John Fairbrother Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 9 ran F 4/1J

04 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Il Silenzio (GB)J: Conor Smithers Campbell's Bar Ballinlough Handicap Steeplechase25f · Soft · 16 ran 1st 7/2F

31 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Galileo Springs (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Guinness Irish EBF Fillies Maiden12f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 7th 66/1

29 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Excessivebehaviour (FR)J: Mark Walsh Tote Guaranteed 50K Placepot Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 20 ran 6th 40/1

12 Jul 26 Sligo Streets Of Doyen (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Sligo Park Hotel Handicap Hurdle25.5f · Good · 15 ran PU 16/1

07 Jun 26 Punchestown Hope And Mercy (IRE)J: Mr D Clarke Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 8th 33/1

07 Jun 26 Punchestown Streets Of Doyen (IRE)J: Conor Brassil TRM Supporting Every Stride Of The Journey Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 9th 11/1

06 Jun 26 Punchestown Il Silenzio (GB)J: Conor Brassil Ladbrokes 'Get More With Racing Bet Builder' Handicap Chase25f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 4th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Martin Brassil's strike rate?: Martin Brassil has won 123 of 1,216 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Martin Brassil do best at?: Kilbeggan by strike rate: 10 wins from 57 runners (17.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Martin Brassil?: Mark Walsh, with 230 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 34 (14.8%).
Is Martin Brassil in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Martin Brassil's Fair A/E?: 1.24, from 1,216 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.