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Trainer profile

Maurice Andrew Ahern

100 runners in the lifetime window · 18 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 8 days ago 98% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
9–100
Wins / Runs
9%
Strike rate
n=100
22 (22%)
Placed
1.41
Fair A/E
n=100 · 1.10 incl. margin
+15.50
£1 level stake
n=100 at SP · +15.5%
£149k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
14%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.41).

Deterministic profile computed from 100 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026
The read

The market has also underrated the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 1.46 across 98 runners (9.2% strike, +17.50 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 3.2% over 31 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−9.0
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.0
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
10%+1.0
n=10 · A/E 2.48 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
0%
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.3%−2.7
n=48 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −28.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f 3.2% vs 9% · n=31
With claiming riders up 6.3% vs 9% · n=48
With Julian Pietropaolo 6.1% vs 9% · n=33
On Soft going 6.3% vs 9% · n=32
With a new jockey booking 10.9% vs 9% · n=55 · A/E 2.02
In Flat races 9.2% vs 9% · n=98 · A/E 1.46
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 64.8% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 98 9 9.2% +17.50
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 32 2 6.3% +6.00
Good 29 3 10.3% +3.00
Heavy 15 3 20% +25.00
Standard (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Good to Soft 9 1 11.1% −3.50
Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 21 3 14.3% +27.00
Cork 16 0 0% −16.00
Down Royal 10 2 20% +24.00
Dundalk (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Naas 7 0 0% −7.00
Roscommon 5 0 0% −5.00
Galway 5 2 40% +16.00
Gowran Park 4 0 0% −4.00
Leopardstown 4 1 25% +3.00
Ballinrobe 3 1 33.3% +2.50
Tipperary 3 0 0% −3.00
Killarney 2 0 0% −2.00
Limerick 2 0 0% −2.00
Listowel 2 0 0% −2.00
Newcastle (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
2nd–3rd fav 13 3 23.1% 1.72 +4.50
4th–6th fav 20 4 20% 2.93 +35.00
7th+ in betting 60 2 3.3% 1.25 −17.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lough Leane (IRE)from David Simcock 20 2 7 25 Sep 26
Perry Mason (GB)from Michael Wigham 14 4 7 1 Nov 26
Toy Soldier (IRE)from George Scott · then Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore 11 0 2 5 Jul 26
Thyer (GB)from Marco Botti 10 1 3 18 Oct 26
Royal Alliance (FR)from George Boughey 8 0 1 26 Jun 26
Counting Coup (IRE) 6 2 2 11 Oct 26
Cavalier Approach (IRE)from Edward Bethell · then Paul W Flynn 5 0 0 24 Oct 25
Storm Averted (IRE)from Michael Mulvany 4 0 0 21 Sep 26
Covert Legend (GB)from Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith · then Aidan Melia 4 0 0 23 Aug 26
Nordic Passage (IRE)from J F Levins 3 0 0 24 Oct 25
Shoney (IRE)from W McCreery 3 0 0 30 Sep 25
Shawaamekh (GB)from J F Levins 3 0 0 23 Sep 25
All 18 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 18 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J F Levins (3) and George Boughey (2); 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for Aidan Melia (2) and Paul W Flynn (2); 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0·14025511052100
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJulian Pietropaolo
33% of all rides
6.1% SR · A/E 1.26
RiderRWSR£1
Julian Pietropaolo 33 2 6.1% −19.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
9
Archived wins
£149k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 7 wins
Perry Mason (GB) — Keadeen Hotel Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · May 2026
£29,450
Perry Mason (GB) — Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap Curragh · Mar 2026
£12,369
Thyer (GB) — Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap Leopardstown (IRE) · Oct 2026
£12,000
Notable horses
Perry Mason (GB) Lough Leane (IRE) Counting Coup (IRE) Thyer (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Cityscape (GB) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 9% of 3,005 runs since 2017 (214 horses).
Advertise (GB) 28.6% · 4–14
Progeny have won 9.8% of 1,568 runs since 2023 (153 horses).
Soldier's Call (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,130 runs since 2023 (218 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.5% from 200. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4% from 248.
Gleneagles (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,577 runs since 2019 (447 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 284.
Persian King (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.7% of 948 runs since 2024 (165 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.8% from 291.
Vita Venturi (IRE) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 4.4% of 90 runs since 2020 (15 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 100 · newest first

The latest 50 of 100 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 May 2025 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Perry Mason (GB)J: Leigh Roche Keadeen Hotel Premier Handicap8f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 20th 13/2
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Thyer (GB)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap10f · Good · 15 ran 1st 6/1
11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Counting Coup (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Colm White Bookmaker Beggar's End Handicap16f · Soft · 17 ran 8th 16/1
25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Lough Leane (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Bookings Open For Christmas Parties At Dundalk Stadium Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 10/1
21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Storm Averted (IRE)J: Sadhbh Tormey GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap8f · Yielding · 15 ran 9th 14/1
16 Sep 26 Clonmel (IRE) Lough Leane (IRE)J: Adam Browne-Souza Camida Gold Champion Handicap10f · Yielding · 9 ran 2nd 7/2F
13 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Perry Mason (GB)J: Rory Cleary Irish Stallion Farms EBF Northfields Handicap10f · Good · 22 ran 15th 28/1
12 Sep 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Counting Coup (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Irish Stallion Farms EBF Petingo Handicap13f · Good · 21 ran 11th 16/1
09 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Storm Averted (IRE)J: Adam Browne-Souza Racing Again September 29th Handicap8f · Good · 18 ran 9th 33/1
04 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Lough Leane (IRE)J: Adam Browne-Souza Children's Heartbeat Trust Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Good · 14 ran 1st 7/1
31 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Thyer (GB)J: Leigh Roche Oran Handicap12f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 5th 8/1
23 Aug 26 Naas (IRE) Covert Legend (GB)J: Julian Pietropaolo Hartes Group Apprentice Handicap11f · Good · 16 ran 14th 10/1
16 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Thyer (GB)J: Leigh Roche Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap10f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 3/1F
03 Aug 26 Naas (IRE) Covert Legend (GB)J: Leigh Roche Watch All Racing Live At Matchbook Handicap10.5f · Good · 11 ran 8th 11/1
03 Aug 26 Naas (IRE) Lough Leane (IRE)J: Jessica O'Gorman Bet 20 Get 40 With Matchbook Handicap7f · Good · 16 ran 4th 11/1
01 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Thyer (GB)J: Leigh Roche McDonogh Capital Investments Handicap12f · Yielding · 16 ran 3rd 14/1
01 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Storm Averted (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Ardilaun Hotel Handicap7f · Yielding · 13 ran 13th 9/1
31 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Counting Coup (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Rockshore Refreshingly Irish Race14f · Yielding To Soft · 6 ran 1st 11/1
05 Jul 26 Ayr Toy Soldier (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Sunday Roast At westernhousehotel Available Now HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 6th 5/4F
05 Jul 26 Ayr Thyer (GB)J: Leigh Roche Now Ayrshire Radio Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good · 10 ran 5th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 1 Nov 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 1 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Maurice Andrew Ahern's strike rate?
Maurice Andrew Ahern has won 9 of 100 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Maurice Andrew Ahern in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Maurice Andrew Ahern's Fair A/E?
1.41, from 100 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).