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Trainer profile

Norman Lee

1,004 runners in the lifetime window · 103 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 9 days ago 98% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
58–1,004
Wins / Runs
5.8%
Strike rate
n=1,004
172 (17%)
Placed
1.05
Fair A/E
n=1,003 · 0.85 incl. margin
−339.03
£1 level stake
n=1,004 at SP · −33.8%
£792k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 9% off breaks of two months or more (175 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,004 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Sep Fresh horses: 8.6% 45.9% when favourite Robbie Geoghegan: 4.5% from 110 Claiming riders: 6.1% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 8.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.73 and +25.33 to a £1 stake over 175 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Robbie Geoghegan rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.5%, A/E 0.90). The yard also reads well off a 61-180-day break (14.6%, n=82) and beyond 3m (13.6%, n=44). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Kevin McManus Bookmaker Grimes Hurdle at Tipperary (Jul 2021, £41,300). The stable star of the record: Sole Pretender (IRE) — 10 wins from 27 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.6%+2.8
n=175 · A/E 1.73 · £1 +25.33
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.8
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Debutants · first career start
3.3%−2.5
n=90 · A/E 1.81 · £1 +38.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
6.3%+0.5
n=63 · A/E 2.46 · £1 +35.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7.7%+1.9
n=39 · A/E 1.70 · £1 +12.00
When favourite
45.9%
n=37 · A/E 1.67 · £1 +16.68
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.1%+0.3
n=591 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −197.79
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
14.3%+8.5
n=21 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +4.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 20.7% vs 5.8% · n=58
With Jack Kennedy 20% vs 5.8% · n=40
Off a 61-180-day break 14.6% vs 5.8% · n=82
With C&D winners 13.6% vs 5.8% · n=59
With Shane O'Callaghan 14.3% vs 5.8% · n=35
Beyond 3m 13.6% vs 5.8% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 737 40 5.4% −327.45
Chase 190 16 8.4% −11.58
NH Flat 53 1 1.9% −2.00
Flat 24 1 4.2% +2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 342 15 4.4% −116.71
Good 317 27 8.5% −37.82
Heavy 190 7 3.7% −94.50
Good to Soft 125 7 5.6% −78.00
Good to Firm 24 2 8.3% −6.00
Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ballinrobe 180 17 9.4% +30.46
Limerick 124 4 3.2% −98.50
Galway 95 3 3.2% −51.50
Clonmel 84 4 4.8% −47.62
Sligo 73 6 8.2% −3.50
Fairyhouse 56 3 5.4% +38.00
Punchestown 47 0 0% −47.00
Roscommon 36 3 8.3% −29.20
Tipperary 33 2 6.1% −28.13
Thurles 33 2 6.1% −21.75
Kilbeggan 31 0 0% −31.00
Cork 31 1 3.2% −16.00
Killarney 27 5 18.5% +47.33
Tramore 21 0 0% −21.00
Navan 20 1 5% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 21 3 14.3% +4.75
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 46 18 39.1% 1.55 +12.18
2nd–3rd fav 106 11 10.4% 0.70 −38.71
4th–6th fav 188 14 7.4% 1.05 −16.00
7th+ in betting 664 15 2.3% 0.99 −296.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86.4% completed · 927 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 190 78.9% 4 6 29 1 0
Hurdle 737 88.3% 10 6 66 1 3
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Oskar High (IRE) 66 7 15 8 Sep 25
Eddies Pride (IRE) 49 2 7 22 Jul 26
Ladiam (IRE) 37 3 14 17 Oct 26
Bashful Beauty (IRE)then John James Feane 34 3 9 20 Nov 16
Supreme Vic (IRE) 34 6 11 8 Aug 16
Not So Simple (IRE) 32 3 10 15 Jan 25
Seangoell (IRE) 32 1 11 18 Apr 24
Made In The Woods (IRE) 31 1 8 10 May 26
Rebel Cry (IRE) 31 3 10 16 Sep 19
Daring Decree (IRE) 29 0 1 10 Sep 21
Sole Pretender (IRE) 27 10 15 6 Aug 23
Survival (IRE) 24 2 6 29 Sep 16
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 103 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C F Swan (2); 54 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Iain Jardine (3) and Gavin Cromwell (2); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
03676581110422
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRobbie Geoghegan
11% of all rides
4.5% SR · A/E 0.90
RiderRWSR£1
Robbie Geoghegan 110 5 4.5% −24.75
J J Slevin 68 2 2.9% −58.67
G B Noonan 64 4 6.3% −37.50
Simon Torrens 51 4 7.8% −17.03
Jack Kennedy 40 8 20% −9.92
A E Lynch 37 3 8.1% +50.88
Shane O'Callaghan 35 5 14.3% +13.88
Darragh O'Keeffe 31 2 6.5% −20.50
Donagh Meyler 30 0 0% −30.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
58
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£792k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 9 wins
Sole Pretender (IRE) — Kevin McManus Bookmaker Grimes Hurdle (Grade 3) Tipperary · Jul 2021 · Grade 3
£41,300
Sole Pretender (IRE) — McHale Mayo Handicap Hurdle Ballinrobe · May 2019
£29,500
Sole Pretender (IRE) — BoyleSports Handicap Chase (Listed) Killarney · Jul 2023 · Listed
£26,550
Notable horses
Sole Pretender (IRE) Oskar High (IRE) Supreme Vic (IRE) Ladiam (IRE) Bashful Beauty (IRE) Not So Simple (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Flemensfirth (USA) 4.1% · 3–74
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,287 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Mountain High (IRE) 10.3% · 7–68
Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,245 runs since 2011 (184 horses).
Gold Well (GB) 18.6% · 11–59
Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2011 (363 horses).
Malinas (GER) 8.2% · 4–49
Progeny have won 14.2% of 3,954 runs since 2010 (419 horses).
Old Vic (GB) 16.3% · 8–49
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Kalanisi (IRE) 7% · 3–43
Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,749 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,004 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,004 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 December 2011 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Passive Idaho (IRE)J: Mr E M Nugent Corrib Oil Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 16th 250/1
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Strong Contender (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Solar Generation Handicap Hurdle25.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 6th 3/1J
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Mane Attraction (IRE)J: Phillip Enright End Of An Era Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 4th 11/2
18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Leva Eagle (IRE)J: J J Slevin Irish Wire Products (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 10th 400/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Ladiam (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div II)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 6th 16/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) At The Wings (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div I)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 12th 4/1J
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Passive Idaho (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Tote Always SP Or Better At Galway Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 15th 150/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Leva Eagle (IRE)J: Mr E M Nugent Tote Always SP Or Better At Galway Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 10th 200/1
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Mane Attraction (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Gleneagle Group Handicap Hurdle23f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 3rd 33/1
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) St Anthonys Corner (IRE)J: Mr E M Nugent Gortnavogue Ltd. T/A Seamus Weldon Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 16 ran 16th 80/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) At The Wings (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 20 ran 1st 7/2J
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Free Flowing (IRE)J: Mr E M Nugent Castlecoote Handicap Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 11th 50/1
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Ladiam (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 1st 17/2
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Strong Contender (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Guinness Listowel Mares Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 5th 9/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) At The Wings (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (Div I)19f · Good · 15 ran 1st 7/1
11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Coole Vision (IRE)J: Mr E M Nugent Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Steeplechase17f · Yielding · 16 ran 7th 50/1
11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) St Anthonys Corner (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran PU 28/1
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Strong Contender (IRE)J: Conor Smithers WTW Willis Handicap Hurdle (Div II)22.5f · Yielding · 19 ran 3rd 11/2
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Ladiam (IRE)J: Conor Smithers WTW Willis Handicap Hurdle (Div I)22.5f · Yielding · 19 ran 2nd 16/1
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Leva Eagle (IRE)J: Mr E M Nugent Kenny Developments Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 14th 250/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 17 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 18 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Norman Lee's strike rate?
Norman Lee has won 58 of 1,004 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Norman Lee do best at?
Ballinrobe by strike rate: 17 wins from 180 runners (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Norman Lee?
Robbie Geoghegan, with 110 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (4.5%).
Is Norman Lee in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Norman Lee's Fair A/E?
1.05, from 1,003 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).