What is Oliver Sherwood's strike rate?

Oliver Sherwood has won 389 of 2,963 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.1% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Oliver Sherwood do best at?

Towcester by strike rate: 23 wins from 116 runners (19.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Oliver Sherwood?

Leighton Aspell, with 1,349 runners since 2008 — 46% of the total. That pairing has won 196 (14.5%).

What is Oliver Sherwood's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 2,957 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Oliver Sherwood

2,963 runners in the lifetime window · 350 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jul 2023 98% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

389–2,963

Wins / Runs

13.1%

Strike rate

n=2,963

982 (33%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=2,957 · 0.87 incl. margin

−594.86

£1 level stake

n=2,963 at SP · −20.1%

£4.91m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 160 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Debutants are a strength: 15% on first career starts (206 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,963 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 35.5% when favourite Leighton Aspell: 14.5% from 1,349 Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Fontwell (19.3%, n=243) and Towcester (19.8%, n=116) — all clear of the yard's 13.1% baseline. It is weakest at Warwick (6.5% over 108 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 5% (n=120, Fair A/E 0.53). Debutants are the standout value angle: 14.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.29 and +28.62 to a £1 stake over 206 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Leighton Aspell rides 46% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (14.5%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (19.9%, n=261). 19 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Folkestone Maiden Hurdle at Folkestone (Jan 2008, £677,966). The stable star of the record: Many Clouds (IRE) — 12 wins from 27 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.9%−1.2

n=864 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −133.19

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.8%−3.3

n=112 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −44.00

Debutants · first career start

14.6%+1.5

n=206 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +28.62

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5%−8.1

n=120 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −84.55

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.7%−3.4

n=103 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −16.00

When favourite

35.5%

n=318 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −37.36

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.3%−0.8

n=604 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −115.99

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.2%−1.9

n=161 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −40.24

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 20.8% vs 13.1% · n=384

With first-time headgear 5% vs 13.1% · n=120

On Heavy going 19.9% vs 13.1% · n=261

At Fontwell 19.3% vs 13.1% · n=243

At Towcester 19.8% vs 13.1% · n=116

At Warwick 6.5% vs 13.1% · n=108

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,592 184 11.6% −469.14

Chase 968 150 15.5% −108.91

NH Flat 354 49 13.8% −11.17

Flat 49 6 12.2% −5.64

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,050 134 12.8% −211.89

Good to Soft 740 83 11.2% −198.89

Soft 709 89 12.6% −88.40

Heavy 261 52 19.9% −46.66

Good to Firm 142 23 16.2% −45.50

Standard (AW) 56 7 12.5% −0.52

Firm 5 1 20% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fontwell 243 47 19.3% +50.70

Huntingdon 157 21 13.4% −30.32

Southwell 138 19 13.8% −35.61

Uttoxeter 136 16 11.8% −46.88

Newbury 124 18 14.5% +42.47

Towcester 116 23 19.8% −9.15

Exeter 110 13 11.8% −53.52

Warwick 108 7 6.5% −77.74

Plumpton 106 19 17.9% −11.85

Ludlow 106 12 11.3% −46.25

Sandown 103 9 8.7% −26.25

Kempton 100 12 12% −10.00

Doncaster 95 7 7.4% −62.50

Wincanton 88 11 12.5% +12.95

Chepstow 88 11 12.5% −40.96

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,463 199 13.6% −379.05

Class 3 572 66 11.5% −184.72

Class 5 366 58 15.8% +4.28

Class 1 192 19 9.9% −69.80

Class 6 191 30 15.7% +26.18

Class 2 178 16 9% +6.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 374 123 32.9% 0.99 −52.98

2nd–3rd fav 865 150 17.3% 0.96 −166.88

4th–6th fav 1,031 91 8.8% 1.08 −179.00

7th+ in betting 693 25 3.6% 0.98 −196.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 971 151 15.6% −110.57

2m5f – 3m 883 104 11.8% −258.23

1m5f – 2m 843 99 11.7% −211.07

Over 3m 241 32 13.3% −2.87

1m2f – 1m4f 11 1 9.1% −5.00

6f – 7f 8 2 25% −1.12

1m – 1m1f 5 0 0% −5.00

Under 6f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 216 32 14.8% −8.13

2009 179 23 12.8% −52.21

2010 188 18 9.6% −5.88

2011 217 25 11.5% +43.83

2012 162 23 14.2% −55.24

2013 186 32 17.2% −50.20

2014 193 28 14.5% −78.75

2015 226 32 14.2% −46.13

2016 194 28 14.4% −44.41

2017 196 16 8.2% −85.63

2018 255 34 13.3% −59.78

2019 227 41 18.1% +13.06

2020 151 19 12.6% −33.60

2021 164 15 9.1% −57.82

2022 122 12 9.8% −54.61

2023 87 11 12.6% −19.36

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,547 179 11.6% −289.33

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 896 103 11.5% −262.08

5-7 runners 693 118 17% −144.85

11-13 runners 658 73 11.1% −68.01

14-16 runners 419 37 8.8% −116.98

2-4 runners 150 50 33.3% +6.43

17+ runners 147 8 5.4% −9.37

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.5% completed · 2,560 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 968 74.5% 47 33 163 2 2

Hurdle 1,592 87.4% 33 12 150 3 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Milgen Bay (GB) 50 9 21 6 Jun 17

Rayvin Black (GB)from Mark H Tompkins 45 8 19 27 Apr 19

Rouge Et Blanc (FR)from J Bertran De Balanda 40 5 13 7 Mar 19

Financial Climate (IRE)then Major Harry Wallace 40 7 14 22 May 17

Seaston Spirit (GB) 31 6 8 5 Jan 23

Morning Reggie (GB) 30 4 10 20 Apr 18

Circus of Dreams (GB) 30 5 11 31 Oct 13

Global Power (IRE) 29 5 11 19 Mar 17

Weststreet (IRE)then Gordon Elliott 28 5 13 18 Feb 21

Beforeall (IRE) 28 5 12 12 Mar 17

Many Clouds (IRE) 27 12 17 28 Jan 17

Arkose (IRE)from Gordon Elliott · then Tim Thirlby 26 4 12 20 Apr 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 350 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 15 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive; 48 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Harry Derham (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

10121314161171317131514

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLeighton Aspell

46% of all rides
14.5% SR · A/E 0.98

RiderRWSR£1

Leighton Aspell 1,349 196 14.5% −172.52

Thomas Garner 242 35 14.5% −16.65

Jonathan Burke 219 24 11% −68.39

Dominic Elsworth 199 27 13.6% −36.30

Sam Jones 197 15 7.6% −90.13

Harrison Beswick 104 12 11.5% −6.75

Brendan Powell 93 13 14% −36.34

Aidan Coleman 49 8 16.3% +8.70

Jack Sherwood 46 4 8.7% −24.75

Conor Shoemark 39 3 7.7% −28.75

A P McCoy 37 5 13.5% −12.05

Daryl Jacob 31 4 12.9% +4.08

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

445

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.43m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 41 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Souriceau (FR) — Folkestone Maiden Hurdle (Div 2) Folkestone · Jan 2008

£677,966

Many Clouds (IRE) — Crabbie's Grand National Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Aintree · Apr 2015 · Grade 3

£561,300

Many Clouds (IRE) — Hennessy Gold Cup Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Newbury · Nov 2014 · Grade 3

£99,663

Notable horses

Many Clouds (IRE) Milgen Bay (GB) Rayvin Black (GB) Jersey Bean (IRE) Puffin Billy (IRE) Financial Climate (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kayf Tara (GB) 15.7% · 22–140

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,770 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Alflora (IRE) 8.6% · 10–116

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 10.9% · 10–92

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,298 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Westerner (GB) 18.5% · 15–81

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,873 runs since 2009 (946 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Oscar (IRE) 13.5% · 10–74

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Robin Des Champs (FR) 8.8% · 5–57

Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,007 runs since 2008 (425 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,446 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,446 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 28 July 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Jul 23 Uttoxeter Mystic Man (IRE)J: Ben Bromley Low Cost Roofing Stoke Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 5 ran PU 7/2

28 Jul 23 Uttoxeter Ar El Bee (FR)J: Brendan Powell Visit stmodwenhomes.co.uk Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 20/1

19 Jul 23 Uttoxeter Jersey Wonder (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Drywall Contracts National Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 16/1

09 Jul 23 Market Rasen Times Are Blue (IRE)J: Ben Bromley Tom Halliday Memorial Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran UR 18/1

27 Jun 23 Newton Abbot Jersey Wonder (IRE)J: Tom Cannon Racing Partnership Trp Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 8/1

26 Jun 23 Southwell Ar El Bee (FR)J: Brendan Powell Prestige Safety Fire Risk Assessments Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 5th 20/1

16 Jun 23 Fontwell Times Are Blue (IRE)J: Brendan Powell At The Races App Form Study Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26f · Good · 5 ran PU 4/1

16 Jun 23 Fontwell Jersey Lady (FR)J: Miss Victoria Malzard Download Fitzdares For Free Race Streaming Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26f · Good · 5 ran 1st 9/2

04 Jun 23 Fakenham Mystic Man (IRE)J: Ben Bromley 1st The Queen's Dragoon Guards Prince Of Wales Cup Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 3 ran 1st 10/11F

31 May 23 Newton Abbot Trevada (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Talk Tidy Marketing Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 26f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 9/4F

29 May 23 Cartmel Scrum Diddly (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Tony Connell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 25.5f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 4/1F

27 May 23 Cartmel Jersey Lady (FR)J: Miss Victoria Malzard Oakmere Homes Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 25.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 8/1

24 May 23 Warwick Dj Pete (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Logicor William Eborall Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 7/4

22 May 23 Ffos Las Scrum Diddly (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Download Fitzdares For Free Race Streaming Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 1st 7/4F

18 May 23 Fontwell Times Are Blue (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Play With The Finest Bookmaker, Fitzdares..... Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 17/2

15 May 23 Southwell Mystic Man (IRE)J: Ben Bromley Download The At The Races App Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 1st 13/2

14 May 23 Ludlow Scrum Diddly (IRE)J: Sam Twiston-Davies See You In October Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 1st 5/1

14 May 23 Plumpton Mountain Pass (IRE)J: Brendan Powell J H Builders Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 4/1

14 May 23 Plumpton Imperial Hope (IRE)J: Tom Cannon Extech Cloud - Humanising I.T. Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 5 ran PU 7/2

14 May 23 Plumpton Trevada (GB)J: Brendan Powell Olivia Mellett Belated 21st Birthday Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Oliver Sherwood's strike rate?: Oliver Sherwood has won 389 of 2,963 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.1% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Oliver Sherwood do best at?: Towcester by strike rate: 23 wins from 116 runners (19.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Oliver Sherwood?: Leighton Aspell, with 1,349 runners since 2008 — 46% of the total. That pairing has won 196 (14.5%).
What is Oliver Sherwood's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 2,957 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.