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Trainer profile

P G Fahey

641 runners in the lifetime window · 82 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 12 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
56–641
Wins / Runs
8.7%
Strike rate
n=641
163 (25%)
Placed
1.23
n=641 · 0.97 incl. margin
−135.81
£1 level stake
n=641 at SP · −21.2%
£937k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
15.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.23). In Group and Graded company the record reads 11% (66 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 641 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Jan Paddy Kennedy: 11.1% from 81
The read

The record is strongest at Thurles (15.8%, n=38), clear of the yard's 8.7% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.5% (n=133, Fair A/E 0.79). Paddy Kennedy rides 13% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.1% vs 8.7%, A/E 1.64) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (16.7%, n=48) and off a 31-60-day break (14.3%, n=126). 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Leopardstown Handicap Chase at Leopardstown (Jan 2014, £60,000). The stable star of the record: He'llberemembered (IRE) — 11 wins from 54 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.5%−4.2
n=133 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −78.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.7
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Debutants · first career start
6.1%−2.6
n=66 · A/E 1.91 · £1 +45.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.5%−4.2
n=22 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −18.25
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
11.8%+3.1
n=17 · A/E 2.64 · £1 +21.00
When favourite
42.9%
n=28 · A/E 1.87 · £1 +11.31
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.6%−0.1
n=511 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −81.99
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
10.6%+1.9
n=66 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +3.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 22.6% vs 8.7% · n=31
In Chase races 16.7% vs 8.7% · n=48
Off a 31-60-day break 14.3% vs 8.7% · n=126
On last-time-out winners 15.4% vs 8.7% · n=52
At Thurles 15.8% vs 8.7% · n=38
With Shane Butler 15% vs 8.7% · n=60
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 350 34 9.7% −71.24
Flat 149 9 6% −75.57
NH Flat 94 5 5.3% −6.00
Chase 48 8 16.7% +17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 206 19 9.2% −9.37
Good 182 16 8.8% −28.37
Heavy 118 9 7.6% −70.82
Good to Soft 75 7 9.3% −8.50
Good to Firm 30 4 13.3% −5.75
Standard (AW) 29 1 3.4% −12.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Tramore 63 6 9.5% −12.50
Kilbeggan 54 4 7.4% +7.83
Punchestown 47 3 6.4% +1.75
Thurles 38 6 15.8% +4.75
Downpatrick 34 3 8.8% −17.50
Limerick 29 4 13.8% −14.74
Clonmel 28 1 3.6% −5.00
Listowel 28 3 10.7% −10.70
Dundalk (AW) 28 1 3.6% −11.00
Fairyhouse 26 3 11.5% −0.25
Leopardstown 26 2 7.7% −4.00
Cork 25 2 8% −16.25
Navan 23 2 8.7% −8.50
Wexford 22 0 0% −22.00
Naas 21 2 9.5% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 67 7 10.4% +2.25
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 35 12 34.3% 1.57 +4.31
2nd–3rd fav 112 21 18.8% 1.28 −9.12
4th–6th fav 182 15 8.2% 1.18 +0.00
7th+ in betting 312 8 2.6% 0.89 −131.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.7% completed · 398 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 48 81.3% 3 3 3 0 0
Hurdle 350 88.6% 9 5 24 1 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
He'llberemembered (IRE) 54 11 29 16 Jan 16
Do Na Paisti (IRE) 31 1 7 7 Oct 17
Do Try Dolly (IRE) 29 3 11 17 Aug 17
Ballyshannon Rose (IRE) 26 6 10 27 Apr 23
Lots Of Memories (IRE) 26 5 15 16 Sep 15
Man O Work (IRE) 21 3 7 2 Nov 24
Wellmarked (IRE)from Jarlath P Fahey · then Mark Fahey 20 1 6 22 Feb 13
The Bay Lad (IRE) 20 1 10 11 Nov 10
Whynotgiveup (IRE) 16 0 2 4 Jul 14
Dontbackme (IRE) 15 1 3 18 Aug 17
Point The Toes (IRE)from Jarlath P Fahey · then Mark Fahey 15 3 8 11 Oct 12
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 82 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Aidan Melia (2) and Jarlath P Fahey (2); 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Mark Fahey (6); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
16687101147914411
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPaddy Kennedy
13% of all rides
11.1% SR · A/E 1.64
RiderRWSR£1
Paddy Kennedy 81 9 11.1% +19.25
Cian Cullinan 77 7 9.1% −25.75
Mr A P Fahey 71 4 5.6% +14.00
Shane Butler 60 9 15% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
56
Archived wins
7
Pattern / graded wins
£948k
Prize money
2015
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
He'llberemembered (IRE) — Leopardstown Handicap Chase (Grade A) Leopardstown · Jan 2014 · Grade A
£60,000
Man O Work (IRE) — Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Listowel · Sep 2023 · Listed
£59,000
Lots Of Memories (IRE) — I.n.h. Stallion Owners E.B.F. Novice Handicap Hurdle Series Final (grade B) Fairyhouse · Apr 2014 · Grade B
£35,750

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Blue Ocean (USA) 20.4% · 11–54
Progeny have won 7.5% of 253 runs since 2008 (19 horses).
Atraf (GB) 8.7% · 4–46
Progeny have won 6.9% of 1,220 runs since 2008 (86 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 11% from 317. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 3.9% from 204. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.4% from 135. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.1% from 293.
Jammaal (GB) 16.1% · 5–31
Progeny have won 10% of 231 runs since 2008 (18 horses).
Millenary (GB) 10.3% · 3–29
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,413 runs since 2011 (120 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 233.
Doyen (IRE) 21.4% · 6–28
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,374 runs since 2009 (605 horses).
Choisir (AUS) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 10.7% of 5,779 runs since 2008 (392 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 698 · newest first

The latest 50 of 698 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Quick Return (IRE)J: Jessica O'Gorman SIS Maiden12.5f · Soft To Heavy · 8 ran 6th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 8 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is P G Fahey's strike rate?
P G Fahey has won 56 of 641 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P G Fahey do best at?
Thurles by strike rate: 6 wins from 38 runners (15.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P G Fahey?
Paddy Kennedy, with 81 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (11.1%).
Is P G Fahey in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is P G Fahey's Fair A/E?
1.23, from 641 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).