P G Fahey
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.23). In Group and Graded company the record reads 11% (66 runs).
The record is strongest at Thurles (15.8%, n=38), clear of the yard's 8.7% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.5% (n=133, Fair A/E 0.79). Paddy Kennedy rides 13% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.1% vs 8.7%, A/E 1.64) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (16.7%, n=48) and off a 31-60-day break (14.3%, n=126). 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Leopardstown Handicap Chase at Leopardstown (Jan 2014, £60,000). The stable star of the record: He'llberemembered (IRE) — 11 wins from 54 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Jan.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 698 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 698 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 23 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 8 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is P G Fahey's strike rate?
- P G Fahey has won 56 of 641 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does P G Fahey do best at?
- Thurles by strike rate: 6 wins from 38 runners (15.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for P G Fahey?
- Paddy Kennedy, with 81 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (11.1%).
- Is P G Fahey in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is P G Fahey's Fair A/E?
- 1.23, from 641 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.