What is Patrick Chamings's strike rate?

Patrick Chamings has won 226 of 2,405 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Patrick Chamings do best at?

Chepstow by strike rate: 16 wins from 95 runners (16.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Patrick Chamings?

David Probert, with 359 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 44 (12.3%).

Is Patrick Chamings in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Patrick Chamings's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 2,392 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Patrick Chamings

2,405 runners in the lifetime window · 192 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 96% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

226–2,405

Wins / Runs

9.4%

Strike rate

n=2,405

634 (26%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=2,392 · 0.87 incl. margin

−667.21

£1 level stake

n=2,405 at SP · −27.7%

£1.64m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 12% (42 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,405 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 29.8% when favourite David Probert: 12.3% from 359 Headgear returns: 11.9% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Chepstow (16.8%, n=95), clear of the yard's 9.4% baseline. It is weakest at Newmarket (2.9% over 34 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 5.3% (n=76, Fair A/E 1.39). David Probert rides 15% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.3% vs 9.4%, A/E 1.25) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly on Firm going — 2% over 50 runners, 7.4pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Cantorspreadfair.com Heritage Handicap at Goodwood (Jul 2005, £49,300). The stable star of the record: Scottish Glen (GB) — 12 wins from 61 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.2%−1.2

n=466 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −186.05

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.1%−0.3

n=99 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −7.80

Debutants · first career start

5.3%−4.1

n=76 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +6.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.8%+0.4

n=41 · A/E 1.58 · £1 −4.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.9%+2.5

n=42 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +38.38

When favourite

29.8%

n=161 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −11.35

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.9%−1.5

n=522 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −181.87

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

20%+10.6

n=5 · A/E 4.00 · £1 +0.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17.2% vs 9.4% · n=227

At Chepstow 16.8% vs 9.4% · n=95

With Jim Crowley 15.2% vs 9.4% · n=223

With George Baker 15.4% vs 9.4% · n=162

On Firm going 2% vs 9.4% · n=50

At Newmarket 2.9% vs 9.4% · n=34

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,298 218 9.5% −665.46

Hurdle 54 3 5.6% −21.00

NH Flat 35 3 8.6% +8.75

Chase 18 2 11.1% +10.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,008 91 9% −394.49

Good to Firm 516 54 10.5% −113.54

Good 444 45 10.1% +18.04

Good to Soft 194 16 8.2% −78.67

Soft 158 15 9.5% −49.00

Firm 50 1 2% −35.00

Heavy 35 4 11.4% −14.55

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 378 43 11.4% −163.45

Kempton (AW) 369 26 7% −170.75

Windsor 202 14 6.9% −116.31

Brighton 196 18 9.2% −64.17

Bath 134 9 6.7% −52.75

Chelmsford (AW) 117 8 6.8% −35.00

Goodwood 116 14 12.1% −33.92

Wolverhampton (AW) 106 9 8.5% −30.79

Lingfield 100 14 14% −0.17

Chepstow 95 16 16.8% +79.26

Newbury 87 9 10.3% −24.12

Salisbury 77 7 9.1% +28.75

Sandown 71 6 8.5% −4.62

Epsom 64 6 9.4% −17.50

Ascot 49 7 14.3% +4.13

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 965 98 10.2% −182.87

Class 5 810 79 9.8% −240.13

Class 4 387 27 7% −177.42

Class 3 140 16 11.4% −14.79

Class 2 93 5 5.4% −47.00

Class 1 5 1 20% +0.00

Class 7 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 199 55 27.6% 1.11 −18.02

2nd–3rd fav 506 80 15.8% 1.06 −52.19

4th–6th fav 772 62 8% 1.01 −209.00

7th+ in betting 928 29 3.1% 0.88 −388.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,078 110 10.2% −324.70

1m – 1m1f 640 54 8.4% −138.09

1m2f – 1m4f 319 28 8.8% −186.53

Under 6f 206 20 9.7% −16.64

1m5f – 2m 119 10 8.4% −8.75

2m5f – 3m 27 2 7.4% −10.50

2m1f – 2m4f 12 1 8.3% +9.00

Over 3m 4 1 25% +9.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 156 15 9.6% −30.17

2009 113 12 10.6% −28.77

2010 134 13 9.7% −47.12

2011 115 13 11.3% −12.00

2012 79 14 17.7% −4.00

2013 97 15 15.5% +7.13

2014 114 10 8.8% −43.50

2015 121 18 14.9% −2.21

2016 159 15 9.4% −64.50

2017 131 11 8.4% −72.19

2018 127 9 7.1% −74.74

2019 131 11 8.4% −49.37

2020 132 11 8.3% −25.80

2021 157 12 7.6% +37.00

2022 141 6 4.3% −89.17

2023 125 15 12% −4.05

2024 107 9 8.4% −36.50

2025 156 13 8.3% −46.50

2026 110 4 3.6% −80.75

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,976 190 9.6% −497.71

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

11-13 runners 882 65 7.4% −242.50

8-10 runners 830 100 12% −151.30

5-7 runners 348 43 12.4% −90.23

14-16 runners 269 15 5.6% −116.12

17+ runners 58 0 0% −58.00

2-4 runners 18 3 16.7% −9.06

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Spanish Star (IRE) 87 10 36 30 Sep 25

Directorship (GB) 62 7 17 15 Sep 17

Scottish Glen (GB) 61 12 26 15 Sep 18

Dourado (IRE)from Richard Hannon 60 5 19 17 Mar 25

Amathus (IRE)from Sylvester Kirk 58 7 17 19 Oct 26

Rondeau (GR) 56 5 19 23 Nov 13

Charles Molson (GB)from Henry Candy 47 3 14 28 Jun 20

Darvel (IRE)from Kevin Ryan 46 7 14 15 Oct 26

Mister Freeze (IRE)from Clive Cox 45 2 15 4 Jun 22

Eager To Bow (IRE) 45 8 20 1 Oct 14

Vincenzo Coccotti (USA)from Ken Cunningham-Brown 44 3 11 24 Aug 22

Raqraaq (USA) 42 2 10 19 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 192 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 34 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Balding (3) and Clive Cox (3); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 55 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 6

Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

119813107101279910

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDavid Probert

15% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 1.25

RiderRWSR£1

David Probert 359 44 12.3% −46.52

Jim Crowley 223 34 15.2% −11.21

Liam Keniry 199 12 6% −94.00

George Baker 162 25 15.4% −16.82

Hector Crouch 125 14 11.2% +45.00

Daniel Muscutt 104 9 8.7% −31.30

George Rooke 67 6 9% −17.50

Joey Haynes 65 7 10.8% −21.74

Charlie Bennett 58 4 6.9% +12.12

Nico de Boinville 50 3 6% +1.00

Rhys Clutterbuck 47 3 6.4% −10.00

Charles Bishop 46 2 4.3% −30.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

268

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.22m

Prize money

2007

Best season · 19 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Foxhaven (GB) — Cantorspreadfair.com Heritage Handicap Goodwood · Jul 2005 · Class 2

£49,300

Spanish Star (IRE) — Winners Wear Cavani Handicap Epsom Downs · Jun 2023 · Class 2

£38,655

Binanti (GB) — Buckingham Palace Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Ascot · Jun 2007 · Class 2

£34,276

Notable horses

Scottish Glen (GB) Spanish Star (IRE) Millfield (IRE) Foxhaven (GB) Eager To Bow (IRE) What A Welcome (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 11.9% · 14–118

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,878 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Requinto (IRE) 9.7% · 10–103

Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,456 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.5% from 223.

Acclamation (GB) 10.4% · 10–96

Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Royal Applause (GB) 5.1% · 4–79

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Harmonic Way (GB) 8.6% · 6–70

Progeny have won 6.6% of 91 runs since 2008 (7 horses).

Kyllachy (GB) 19.4% · 13–67

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,926 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,926 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Bath Amathus (IRE)J: Charles Bishop Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 28/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Raqraaq (USA)J: William Cox Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 13th 100/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Darvel (IRE)J: David Probert bet365 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 6th 7/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Bonnita (GB)J: David Probert Racing Value At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 8th 14/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Vannessa (GB)J: Charles Bishop Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 6th 300/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Back To Me (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt HKJC World Pool Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 28/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Perzaaneh (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Unibet More Extra Place Races Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 8th 300/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Cuban Lady (GB)J: Isobelle Chalmers Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 6th 16/1

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Artavian (GB)J: Mr Frederick Tett bettingsites.co.uk Price Boosts Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 12/1

05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Goldfinder (GB)J: David Probert Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 7/2F

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Vannessa (GB)J: David Probert bet365 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 150/1

02 Oct 26 Ascot The Bitter Moose (IRE)J: Mr Frederick Tett Autumn Racing Weekend Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Male Amateur Riders)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 17th 33/1

28 Sep 26 Brighton Amathus (IRE)J: David Probert Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 40/1

28 Sep 26 Brighton Darvel (IRE)J: David Probert The Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 2nd 12/1

28 Sep 26 Brighton Diamond Dreamer (GB)J: David Probert The Matchbook Signup - Get 20% Back On Losses Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 4th 22/1

21 Sep 26 Leicester The Bitter Moose (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark Pattinson Auction Winning Bid Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 6th 11/1

16 Sep 26 Sandown Champagne Beau (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Trainor Stone & Tile Mosaic Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 11 ran 9th 28/1

14 Sep 26 Windsor Artavian (GB)J: David Probert Nsi Fire & Security Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 9/1

10 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Francisco (GB)J: Charlie Tucker Sasco Sauces Birthday Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 5/1

10 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Bonnita (GB)J: William Cox Sasco Sauces Birthday Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Chamings's strike rate?: Patrick Chamings has won 226 of 2,405 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Patrick Chamings do best at?: Chepstow by strike rate: 16 wins from 95 runners (16.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Patrick Chamings?: David Probert, with 359 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 44 (12.3%).
Is Patrick Chamings in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Patrick Chamings's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 2,392 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.