Rod Collet
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 70 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93). New recruits from other yards win at 19% first time out (67 runs).
New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 19.4% (n=67, Fair A/E 1.44), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 5.8% (n=52, Fair A/E 0.95). Debutants are the standout value angle: 10.2% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +59.40 to a £1 stake over 167 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.64 and −84.90 to a £1 stake over 182 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Stephane Pasquier rides 11% of the entries and edges the yard's average (13.9% vs 10.8%, A/E 1.42) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (16.9%, n=89). 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Kingdom Of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes at Newmarket (Oct 2009, £113,540). The stable star of the record: Sahpresa (USA) — 8 wins from 17 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,358 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,358 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 March 2005 to 5 September 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Rod Collet's strike rate?
- Rod Collet has won 135 of 1,254 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.8% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Rod Collet do best at?
- Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 20 wins from 187 runners (10.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Rod Collet?
- Stephane Pasquier, with 144 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (13.9%).
- What is Rod Collet's Fair A/E?
- 0.93, from 1,129 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.