No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.72).
Deterministic profile computed from 209 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceClaiming riders: 4.9%
The read
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=40, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also read well off a 15-30-day break (8.2%, n=61). The market has consistently overbet the yard in NH Flat races: Fair A/E 0.33 across 52 runners (1.9% strike, −46.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.8
n=40 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −40.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.8
n=37 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −37.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
8.3%+4.5
n=12 · A/E 1.76 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.9%+1.1
n=122 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −56.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break8.2% vs 3.8% · n=61
With debutants0% vs 3.8% · n=37
Over 2m1f – 2m4f6.3% vs 3.8% · n=80
On Good going6.4% vs 3.8% · n=47
With Phillip Enright6.1% vs 3.8% · n=33
In NH Flat races1.9% vs 3.8% · n=52 · A/E 0.33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle11554.3%−56.50
NH Flat5211.9%−46.50
Chase2214.5%−13.00
Flat2015%−11.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft6723%−35.50
Good4736.4%−24.00
Heavy4724.3%−25.00
Good to Firm2713.7%−21.50
Good to Soft1800%−18.00
Firm300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Cork2129.5%−6.50
Clonmel1800%−18.00
Thurles1600%−16.00
Punchestown1600%−16.00
Navan1417.1%−8.50
Limerick1300%−13.00
Gowran Park1317.7%−2.00
Tramore1100%−11.00
Fairyhouse10110%+1.00
Roscommon10110%−1.00
Killarney900%−9.00
Naas900%−9.00
Wexford7114.3%−2.00
Down Royal600%−6.00
Listowel6116.7%+20.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 1300%−3.00
Class 6100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite300%0.00−3.00
2nd–3rd fav22418.2%1.33+3.00
4th–6th fav5235.8%0.86−21.00
7th+ in betting13210.8%0.26−106.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m9433.2%−48.00
2m1f – 2m4f8056.3%−44.00
2m5f – 3m2900%−29.00
1m2f – 1m4f200%−2.00
6f – 7f200%−2.00
1m – 1m1f200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20081500%−15.00
20093712.7%−31.50
20104524.4%−29.00
20112129.5%−6.50
2012900%−9.00
20132813.6%−2.00
20142214.5%−11.00
20158112.5%+1.00
20161300%−13.00
2017800%−8.00
2018300%−3.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps4800%−48.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
17+ runners9444.3%−63.00
14-16 runners6446.3%−13.00
11-13 runners3500%−35.00
8-10 runners1100%−11.00
5-7 runners400%−4.00
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 47 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 47 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from B W Hills (3) and J H Culloty (2); 39 had their first archived run for this yard.
17 have since run for another yard, most often for Charlie Longsdon (2) and Emma Lavelle (2); 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00129064013000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→
8
Archived wins
£107k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 2 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
The Big Boyo (IRE) — corkracecourse.ie (Q.R.) Beginners Chase Cork · Apr 2011
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,826 runs since 2008 (706 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 818.
Clodovil (IRE)9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 9.7% of 6,513 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.5% from 155.
Kayf Tara (GB)0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,744 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 221 · newest first
The latest 50 of 221 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 August 2006 to 24 March 2018.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is P J Colville's strike rate?
P J Colville has won 8 of 209 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.8% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is P J Colville's Fair A/E?
0.72, from 209 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
P J Colville·SR 3.8%·A/E 0.72
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