What is Sean Aherne's strike rate?

Sean Aherne has won 50 of 926 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Sean Aherne do best at?

Clonmel by strike rate: 8 wins from 75 runners (10.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Sean Aherne?

Sean O'Keeffe, with 165 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (7.9%).

Is Sean Aherne in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Sean Aherne's Fair A/E?

0.87, from 925 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Sean Aherne

926 runners in the lifetime window · 111 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 96% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

50–926

Wins / Runs

5.4%

Strike rate

n=926

173 (19%)

Placed

0.87

Fair A/E

n=925 · 0.69 incl. margin

−358.75

£1 level stake

n=926 at SP · −38.7%

£529k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

1.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.87). New recruits from other yards win at 12% first time out (33 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 926 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 15.8% when favourite Sean O'Keeffe: 7.9% from 165 New recruits: 12.1% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Clonmel (10.7%, n=75), clear of the yard's 5.4% baseline. It is weakest at Kilbeggan (0% over 35 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 12.1% (n=33, Fair A/E 3.10), but a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 2% (n=49, Fair A/E 0.44). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.62 and −97.00 to a £1 stake over 221 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Sean O'Keeffe rides 18% of the entries and edges the yard's average (7.9% vs 5.4%, A/E 1.25) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly on Good to Firm going — 0% over 33 runners, 5.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Sheebadiva (IRE) — 6 wins from 27 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.7%−2.7

n=221 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −97.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.1%+6.7

n=33 · A/E 3.10 · £1 +65.50

Debutants · first career start

2.8%−2.6

n=71 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −43.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.2%−3.2

n=46 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −33.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

2%−3.4

n=49 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −38.00

When favourite

15.8%

n=38 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −20.25

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5%−0.4

n=440 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −172.23

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.4

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Phillip Enright 13.9% vs 5.4% · n=72

With new recruits 12.1% vs 5.4% · n=33

At Clonmel 10.7% vs 5.4% · n=75

With Mike O'Connor 0% vs 5.4% · n=40

At Kilbeggan 0% vs 5.4% · n=35

On Good to Firm going 0% vs 5.4% · n=33

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 12.9% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 552 30 5.4% −163.67

Chase 275 16 5.8% −139.18

NH Flat 64 2 3.1% −46.90

Flat 35 2 5.7% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 340 22 6.5% −62.23

Heavy 237 16 6.8% −64.02

Good 204 9 4.4% −105.50

Good to Soft 104 3 2.9% −86.00

Good to Firm 33 0 0% −33.00

Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cork 125 7 5.6% −15.00

Limerick 109 7 6.4% −10.50

Thurles 76 5 6.6% −0.50

Clonmel 75 8 10.7% +5.50

Tramore 71 1 1.4% −69.33

Fairyhouse 65 5 7.7% −18.77

Punchestown 63 1 1.6% −56.50

Killarney 44 4 9.1% −18.40

Tipperary 41 2 4.9% −20.00

Kilbeggan 35 0 0% −35.00

Wexford 33 2 6.1% −6.50

Listowel 25 0 0% −25.00

Gowran Park 24 0 0% −24.00

Navan 21 3 14.3% −0.75

Galway 19 0 0% −19.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 46 7 15.2% 0.68 −22.25

2nd–3rd fav 115 14 12.2% 1.00 −23.50

4th–6th fav 234 18 7.7% 1.06 −6.50

7th+ in betting 531 11 2.1% 0.70 −306.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 345 20 5.8% −126.07

2m5f – 3m 287 16 5.6% −144.18

1m5f – 2m 243 10 4.1% −113.50

Over 3m 43 4 9.3% +33.00

1m2f – 1m4f 6 0 0% −6.00

6f – 7f 1 0 0% −1.00

1m – 1m1f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 66 3 4.5% −52.58

2009 43 0 0% −43.00

2010 40 2 5% −20.00

2011 50 4 8% +22.00

2012 30 0 0% −30.00

2013 41 1 2.4% −28.00

2014 22 0 0% −22.00

2015 12 1 8.3% +3.00

2016 18 0 0% −18.00

2017 32 3 9.4% +0.33

2018 46 4 8.7% −4.10

2019 51 2 3.9% −38.50

2020 49 3 6.1% −25.50

2021 77 7 9.1% −15.00

2022 61 4 6.6% +26.00

2023 89 6 6.7% −20.50

2024 68 3 4.4% −37.00

2025 76 6 7.9% −5.40

2026 55 1 1.8% −50.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 517 36 7% −118.10

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 343 15 4.4% −123.50

17+ runners 244 13 5.3% −98.42

11-13 runners 190 8 4.2% −86.00

8-10 runners 122 12 9.8% −38.93

5-7 runners 27 2 7.4% −11.90

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.4% completed · 827 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 275 73.5% 14 11 47 1 0

Hurdle 552 85.3% 9 7 62 2 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Nicole's Milan (IRE) 49 5 12 19 May 22

Shean Glory (IRE) 46 2 12 8 Jun 24

Analyse That (IRE) 46 3 8 4 Mar 20

Ask And Answer (IRE) 43 3 10 29 May 24

Johngus (IRE) 38 2 9 20 Nov 25

Stolen Moment (IRE) 30 3 8 14 Apr 23

The Border Boy (IRE) 28 1 3 13 Oct 26

Oneforgonzo (IRE) 26 3 6 6 Oct 26

Isourbell (IRE) 25 0 5 6 Apr 15

Only A Dollar (IRE) 22 1 2 22 Jul 26

Springmount (IRE) 21 1 5 28 Mar 10

King In Love (FR)from Mrs Grainne M O'Connor 18 2 5 25 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 111 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Patrick G Kelly (3) and Gearoid Patrick Brouder (2); 45 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael G Cleary (2); 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

8148472530364

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSean O'Keeffe

18% of all rides
7.9% SR · A/E 1.25

RiderRWSR£1

Sean O'Keeffe 165 13 7.9% −6.00

Martin Ferris 112 4 3.6% −88.33

Miss S Ahern 105 7 6.7% −33.50

Phillip Enright 72 10 13.9% +43.00

Patrick Mangan 48 2 4.2% −9.00

Mike O'Connor 40 0 0% −40.00

Mr Derek O'Connor 32 2 6.3% −21.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£654k

Prize money

2021

Best season · 7 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Beantown (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase Navan · Jan 2008

£13,129

Cailin Vic Mo Cri (IRE) — Rockview (qr) Mares Inh Flat Race Limerick · Mar 2007

£9,329

Dantys Hampshire (IRE) — Davin Arms Racing Club Beginners Chase Tipperary · Jul 2006

£8,983

Notable horses

Sheebadiva (IRE) Nicole's Milan (IRE) Analyse That (IRE) Ask And Answer (IRE) Stolen Moment (IRE) Oneforgonzo (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Shirocco (GER) 3% · 2–67

Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,192 runs since 2010 (922 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Milan (GB) 10.2% · 5–49

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,883 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Fame And Glory (GB) 4.3% · 2–46

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,212 runs since 2016 (504 horses).

Wareed (IRE) 6.5% · 3–46

Progeny have won 7.8% of 510 runs since 2009 (50 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.5% from 157.

Ask (GB) 7% · 3–43

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,219 runs since 2014 (283 horses).

Arakan (USA) 5.3% · 2–38

Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,467 runs since 2009 (266 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.5% from 134.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,058 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,058 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Market Ready (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Gerry Comerford Drilling Beginners Steeplechase20f · Good · 10 ran 7th 8/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) King In Love (FR)J: Sean O'Keeffe William Hill Challenge Series Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 33/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Market Ready (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Mahon Falls Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 3rd 11/2

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) The Border Boy (IRE)J: Phillip Enright William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 17 ran 7th 25/1

06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Oneforgonzo (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Mongey Communications Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 6th 13/2

04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) The Border Boy (IRE)J: Danny Power Gortnavogue Ltd. T/A Seamus Weldon Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 16 ran 8th 16/1

07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Oneforgonzo (IRE)J: Phillip Enright BOYLE Sports Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 17/2

07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Deise Crystal (GB)J: Phillip Enright WTW Willis Handicap Hurdle (Div I)22.5f · Yielding · 19 ran PU 8/1

07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Hillstar Blues (IRE)J: Anna McGuinness Anglo Printers Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 13th 50/1

22 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) The Border Boy (IRE)J: Danny Power Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 15 ran 5th 22/1

22 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Deise Crystal (GB)J: Anna McGuinness Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 15 ran 4th 6/1

16 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Market Ready (IRE)J: Anna McGuinness Frank King Memorial Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 2nd 5/1

14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Hillstar Blues (IRE)J: Anna McGuinness Comeragh Veterinary Kilmackthomas Handicap Hurdle21f · Good · 10 ran PU 25/1

08 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Oneforgonzo (IRE)J: Anna McGuinness Wexfordraces.ie Handicap Steeplechase19f · Good · 8 ran 4th 4/1

07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Deise Crystal (GB)J: Anna McGuinness Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 14 ran 5th 6/1

29 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Oneforgonzo (IRE)J: Anna McGuinness Tote.ie Money-Back 2nd Every Race Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 19 ran 11th 50/1

22 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Only A Dollar (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Handicap Steeplechase15.5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 22/1

17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) The Border Boy (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Europe Hotel And Resort Handicap Steeplechase (Div II)23f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran PU 17/2

16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Market Ready (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Noel C. Duggan Structural Steel 110 Series Final Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 14/1

06 Jun 26 Punchestown Tiffany Mae (IRE)J: Danny Power Ladbrokes 'Big Daily Boosts On Racing' Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)16.5f · Good To Yielding · 24 ran 23rd 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sean Aherne's strike rate?: Sean Aherne has won 50 of 926 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sean Aherne do best at?: Clonmel by strike rate: 8 wins from 75 runners (10.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Sean Aherne?: Sean O'Keeffe, with 165 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (7.9%).
Is Sean Aherne in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Sean Aherne's Fair A/E?: 0.87, from 925 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.