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Trainer profile

Sean Thomas Doyle

447 runners in the lifetime window · 104 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 97% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
45–447
Wins / Runs
10.1%
Strike rate
n=447
114 (26%)
Placed
1.19
n=447 · 0.96 incl. margin
−74.88
£1 level stake
n=447 at SP · −16.8%
£688k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.19). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 15% (41 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 447 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec 23.5% when favourite Claiming riders: 11.2% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races
The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 14.6% (n=41, Fair A/E 2.11), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.3% (n=92, Fair A/E 0.43). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.8% over 36 runners, 7.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.48 across 56 runners (3.6% strike, −19.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Dawn Homes Novices' Championship Handicap Chase at Ayr (Apr 2018, £64,980). The stable star of the record: Crosshue Boy (IRE) — 7 wins from 43 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.3%−6.8
n=92 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −48.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−10.1
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Debutants · first career start
7.8%−2.3
n=90 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −10.75
First-time headgear · true-first definition
14.6%+4.5
n=41 · A/E 2.11 · £1 +23.75
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
14.3%+4.2
n=7 · A/E 2.32 · £1 −1.50
When favourite
23.5%
n=34 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −6.89
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.2%+1.1
n=286 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −29.64
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.7%−4.4
n=35 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −15.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Mr H D Dunne 22.9% vs 10.1% · n=35
On last-time-out winners 22.2% vs 10.1% · n=36
With J J Slevin 19.4% vs 10.1% · n=31
With Mr J L Scallan 18.9% vs 10.1% · n=37
Off a 61-180-day break 3.6% vs 10.1% · n=56
Off a break of 180+ days 2.8% vs 10.1% · n=36
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 250 26 10.4% −26.73
Chase 117 14 12% +0.85
NH Flat 65 3 4.6% −46.00
Flat 15 2 13.3% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 148 17 11.5% +23.01
Good 127 9 7.1% −58.77
Heavy 96 13 13.5% +3.88
Good to Soft 62 3 4.8% −47.00
Good to Firm 14 3 21.4% +4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wexford 51 4 7.8% −27.75
Punchestown 48 7 14.6% +4.76
Cork 35 5 14.3% +15.76
Fairyhouse 31 3 9.7% −7.25
Tramore 29 2 6.9% −12.00
Limerick 24 2 8.3% +8.50
Gowran Park 23 1 4.3% −18.00
Kilbeggan 22 2 9.1% −11.50
Clonmel 22 3 13.6% −5.00
Downpatrick 18 1 5.6% −10.00
Down Royal 17 3 17.6% +4.50
Tipperary 14 0 0% −14.00
Navan 13 1 7.7% −7.00
Roscommon 13 1 7.7% −8.50
Naas 13 0 0% −13.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 35 2 5.7% −15.00
Class 2 3 1 33.3% +20.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 43 9 20.9% 0.81 −11.89
2nd–3rd fav 87 23 26.4% 1.73 +34.01
4th–6th fav 129 6 4.7% 0.69 −64.00
7th+ in betting 188 7 3.7% 1.45 −33.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.7% completed · 367 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 117 83.8% 3 5 10 0 1
Hurdle 250 89.6% 4 4 16 1 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Crosshue Boy (IRE) 43 7 13 7 Aug 21
Monbeg Park (IRE)then Jack Foley 24 5 14 1 May 25
Lucky Max (GER) 23 4 6 26 Nov 23
Gracemount (IRE) 21 3 10 2 Jun 19
Nephin Beg (IRE)then P J Rothwell 18 1 2 29 Dec 24
Get In There (IRE) 17 3 7 26 Aug 12
Er Dancer (FR) 15 1 3 12 Nov 24
Emma Prada (IRE)then Roger Joseph McGrath 14 0 4 26 Dec 21
Definite Knockoff (IRE) 12 2 4 21 Jul 13
Some Woman (IRE) 11 0 0 20 Aug 23
Craig Star (IRE)then Donald McCain 11 2 5 6 Oct 16
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 104 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Liz Doyle (2) and Paul Nicholls (2); 53 had their first archived run for this yard.

24 have since run for another yard, most often for P J Rothwell (3) and Christian Williams (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
94161014078781614
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr J L Scallan
8% of all rides
18.9% SR · A/E 1.69
RiderRWSR£1
Mr J L Scallan 37 7 18.9% +22.60
Mr H D Dunne 35 8 22.9% +38.00
J J Slevin 31 6 19.4% +2.13
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
45
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£688k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 8 wins
Crosshue Boy (IRE) — Dawn Homes Novices' Championship Handicap Chase Ayr · Apr 2018 · Class 2
£64,980
Monbeg Park (IRE) — QuinnBet Handicap Chase (Listed) Leopardstown · Mar 2025 · Listed
£26,550
Theatre Bird (IRE) — Ifg E.B.F. Mares Hurdle (grade 3) Leopardstown · Dec 2013 · Grade 3
£22,750

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Brian Boru (GB) 16.3% · 7–43
Progeny have won 11% of 4,124 runs since 2009 (285 horses).
Beneficial (GB) 15.8% · 6–38
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,045 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Walk In The Park (IRE) 17.2% · 5–29
Progeny have won 13.3% of 7,015 runs since 2011 (702 horses).
Maxios (GB) 17.4% · 4–23
Progeny have won 11.7% of 2,151 runs since 2017 (270 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 317. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 7.9% from 191.
Ocovango (GB) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,007 runs since 2019 (307 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 196.
Diamond Boy (FR) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 12% of 2,291 runs since 2016 (287 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 447 · newest first

The latest 50 of 447 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 August 2010 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sean Thomas Doyle's strike rate?
Sean Thomas Doyle has won 45 of 447 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sean Thomas Doyle do best at?
Punchestown by strike rate: 7 wins from 48 runners (14.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Sean Thomas Doyle in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Sean Thomas Doyle's Fair A/E?
1.19, from 447 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).