Sean Thomas Doyle
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.19). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 15% (41 runs, true-first definition).
A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 14.6% (n=41, Fair A/E 2.11), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.3% (n=92, Fair A/E 0.43). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.8% over 36 runners, 7.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.48 across 56 runners (3.6% strike, −19.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Dawn Homes Novices' Championship Handicap Chase at Ayr (Apr 2018, £64,980). The stable star of the record: Crosshue Boy (IRE) — 7 wins from 43 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2010→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 447 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 447 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 August 2010 to 1 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Sean Thomas Doyle's strike rate?
- Sean Thomas Doyle has won 45 of 447 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Sean Thomas Doyle do best at?
- Punchestown by strike rate: 7 wins from 48 runners (14.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Is Sean Thomas Doyle in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Sean Thomas Doyle's Fair A/E?
- 1.19, from 447 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.