What is Tim Easterby's strike rate?

Tim Easterby has won 1,937 of 20,845 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.3% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tim Easterby do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 84 wins from 552 runners (15.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Tim Easterby?

David Allan, with 7,426 runners since 2008 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 848 (11.4%).

Is Tim Easterby in form?

In the last 14 days: 70 runners, 5 winners, a strike rate of 7.1%. That is in line with the baseline of 9.3% since 2008.

What is Tim Easterby's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 20,718 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Tim Easterby

20,845 runners in the lifetime window · 1,491 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 3.3% of 1,452 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.

Last runner 2 days ago 92% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

1,937–20,845

Wins / Runs

9.3%

Strike rate

n=20,845

5,770 (28%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=20,718 · 0.82 incl. margin

−5,905.37

£1 level stake

n=20,845 at SP · −28.3%

£24.5m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 1,100 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95).

Deterministic profile computed from 20,845 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 28.6% when favourite David Allan: 11.4% from 7,426 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hamilton (15.2%, n=552), clear of the yard's 9.3% baseline. It is weakest at Goodwood (1.7% over 59 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 3.4% (n=1,224, Fair A/E 0.77). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.71 and −877.15 to a £1 stake over 2,182 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. David Allan rides 36% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.4% vs 9.3%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (14.1%, n=1,608). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 4.6% over 925 runners, 4.7pts below the baseline. 40 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes at Ascot (Oct 2023, £283,550). The stable star of the record: Copper Knight (IRE) — 19 wins from 122 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.9%−4.4

n=2,182 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −877.15

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.6%−4.7

n=194 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −19.00

Debutants · first career start

3.4%−5.9

n=1,224 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −599.14

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.7%−0.6

n=736 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −139.99

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.5%−1.8

n=360 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −173.05

When favourite

28.6%

n=1,631 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −173.15

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.9%−0.4

n=2,789 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −849.70

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.4%+0.1

n=382 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −74.83

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With debutants 3.4% vs 9.3% · n=1,224

At Hamilton 15.2% vs 9.3% · n=552

Off a 0-7-day break 14.1% vs 9.3% · n=1,608

On last-time-out winners 13.9% vs 9.3% · n=1,911

Off a 61-180-day break 4.6% vs 9.3% · n=925

At Goodwood 1.7% vs 9.3% · n=59

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 19,199 1784 9.3% −5,372.67

Hurdle 1,044 84 8% −373.28

Chase 434 58 13.4% −101.75

NH Flat 168 11 6.5% −57.67

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 6,485 574 8.9% −2,010.40

Good to Firm 5,129 468 9.1% −1,622.42

Good to Soft 3,400 316 9.3% −901.73

Soft 3,106 308 9.9% −751.90

Standard (AW) 1,889 183 9.7% −385.39

Heavy 769 85 11.1% −192.08

Firm 67 3 4.5% −41.45

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ripon 1,797 198 11% −393.27

Redcar 1,767 145 8.2% −504.13

Beverley 1,586 144 9.1% −634.86

Thirsk 1,553 117 7.5% −534.58

York 1,529 87 5.7% −504.49

Catterick 1,357 160 11.8% −255.55

Doncaster 1,058 59 5.6% −443.50

Carlisle 1,025 108 10.5% −200.51

Pontefract 946 98 10.4% −235.57

Haydock 931 72 7.7% −309.36

Newcastle (AW) 797 55 6.9% −308.70

Ayr 732 82 11.2% −50.73

Musselburgh 720 84 11.7% −223.40

Southwell (AW) 564 71 12.6% +22.19

Hamilton 552 84 15.2% −33.60

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 6,733 610 9.1% −2,139.24

Class 4 5,479 514 9.4% −1,705.14

Class 6 3,836 449 11.7% −637.85

Class 3 2,251 187 8.3% −629.16

Class 2 2,151 139 6.5% −751.15

Class 1 393 38 9.7% −40.83

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 2,020 531 26.3% 1.01 −288.16

2nd–3rd fav 4,327 714 16.5% 1.03 −566.71

4th–6th fav 6,652 462 6.9% 0.86 −1,999.00

7th+ in betting 7,846 230 2.9% 0.83 −3,051.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 8,234 687 8.3% −2,328.38

Under 6f 4,102 411 10% −1,192.48

1m – 1m1f 3,210 311 9.7% −951.04

1m2f – 1m4f 2,719 274 10.1% −538.69

1m5f – 2m 1,484 147 9.9% −576.29

2m1f – 2m4f 737 69 9.4% −247.90

2m5f – 3m 271 30 11.1% −71.09

Over 3m 88 8 9.1% +0.50

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 714 60 8.4% −160.75

2009 708 62 8.8% −250.39

2010 948 105 11.1% −259.14

2011 1,008 104 10.3% −111.55

2012 1,067 97 9.1% −355.06

2013 960 80 8.3% −420.17

2014 869 67 7.7% −230.48

2015 778 77 9.9% −251.64

2016 901 80 8.9% −279.06

2017 1,003 96 9.6% −258.93

2018 1,214 129 10.6% −238.18

2019 1,312 130 9.9% −158.67

2020 1,090 99 9.1% −206.15

2021 1,469 150 10.2% −360.95

2022 1,532 126 8.2% −435.71

2023 1,397 121 8.7% −524.05

2024 1,234 93 7.5% −509.31

2025 1,368 138 10.1% −415.89

2026 1,273 123 9.7% −479.29

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 15,663 1566 10% −3,499.04

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 7,155 710 9.9% −2,212.03

11-13 runners 6,086 465 7.6% −1,550.10

5-7 runners 3,279 471 14.4% −762.62

14-16 runners 2,651 172 6.5% −789.34

17+ runners 1,460 69 4.7% −515.34

2-4 runners 214 50 23.4% −75.94

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Poet's Dawn (GB) 137 17 46 3 Oct 26

Confessional (GB) 136 11 50 3 Aug 19

Copper Knight (IRE)from Hugo Palmer 122 19 42 9 Oct 26

Jewel Maker (IRE)from D K Weld 109 12 31 3 Oct 26

Little Ted (GB) 108 10 41 10 Oct 26

Bossipop (GB) 102 9 34 24 Sep 22

Count D'orsay (IRE)from Charles O'Brien 96 10 31 27 Oct 25

Captain Dunne (IRE) 96 11 30 18 Nov 16

The Nifty Fox (GB) 96 7 27 9 Oct 14

Relight My Fire (GB) 88 7 26 22 Nov 19

Temper Trap (GB) 87 15 27 18 Sep 25

Flying Pursuit (GB) 87 9 24 1 Nov 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,491 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 55 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Hugo Palmer (2) and Sir Michael Stoute (2); 45 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 59 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

5 from 70 7.1% · −2.2pts vs baseline

Last 14 days7.1%

Lifetime base9.3%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

9111079101010108811

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDavid Allan

36% of all rides
11.4% SR · A/E 0.98

RiderRWSR£1

David Allan 7,426 848 11.4% −1,712.37

Duran Fentiman 3,845 253 6.6% −1,279.76

Rachel Richardson 1,202 92 7.7% −398.95

Sean Kirrane 947 97 10.2% −322.36

James Sullivan 588 49 8.3% −118.81

Cam Hardie 312 20 6.4% −29.50

Jason Hart 310 31 10% −43.00

Mr William Easterby 299 31 10.4% −49.39

Jamie Hamilton 279 24 8.6% −110.40

Graham Gibbons 206 23 11.2% −18.37

Mrs Emily Roberts 204 21 10.3% −79.50

Ella McCain 171 19 11.1% −36.84

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

2,141

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£26.6m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 150 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Art Power (IRE) — Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Oct 2023 · Group 1

£283,550

Winter Power (IRE) — Coolmore Wootton Bassett Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) York · Aug 2021 · Group 1

£226,840

Midnight Martini (GB) — Dbs 300000 St Leger Yearling Stakes York · Aug 2009 · Class 2

£147,720

Notable horses

Copper Knight (IRE) Poet's Dawn (GB) Ryedane (IRE) Temper Trap (GB) Garden Oasis (GB) Malcheek (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 9.9% · 40–405

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,925 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Kodiac (GB) 9.6% · 38–394

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,539 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 9.7% · 38–390

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,217 runs since 2008 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Dark Angel (IRE) 12.5% · 45–360

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,878 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Captain Rio (GB) 10.7% · 35–326

Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Poet's Voice (GB) 12.7% · 38–300

Progeny have won 10.1% of 6,039 runs since 2008 (384 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 263. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.3% from 142.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 23,379 · newest first

The latest 50 of 23,379 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Spirit Of Applause (GB)J: Sean Kirrane bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 4/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Vince L'Amour (IRE)J: Duran Fentiman William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 25/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Per Contra (IRE)J: David Allan Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 13/2

19 Oct 26 Pontefract King Of Persia (GB)J: David Allan William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 6/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Bollin Neil (GB)J: Shay Farmer Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Good · 10 ran 9th 11/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Marbuzet (GB)J: Jake Dickson Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Good · 10 ran 8th 12/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Miraculous (IRE)J: Duran Fentiman William Hill Catterick Dash Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 6th 40/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Vince Le Prince (GB)J: David Allan William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 11/4F

17 Oct 26 Catterick Quest For Fun (GB)J: Sean Kirrane William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 4th 100/30

17 Oct 26 Catterick Brighton Boy (IRE)J: David Allan William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 1st 3/1F

17 Oct 26 Catterick Mister Sox (GB)J: Sean Kirrane William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Veterans' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 7/2

17 Oct 26 Catterick Manila Scouse (GB)J: Duran Fentiman William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Veterans' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 28/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Golden West (GB)J: David Allan Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 9/2

17 Oct 26 Catterick Stoneacre Joe (GB)J: David Allan Every Race Live On Racing TV Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 7 ran 6th 28/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Leading Times (GB)J: Sean Kirrane Northumbria Leisure For Jukeboxes Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 7/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Kitsune Power (IRE)J: Miss Rebecca Burley Watch Racing Replays At racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 12th 22/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Sweet Kiss (GB)J: Miss Amy Collier Watch Racing Replays At racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 1st 100/30F

16 Oct 26 Haydock Stirrup Cup (GB)J: David Allan Shape Engineering Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 9/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Triple P (GB)J: Duran Fentiman racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 18 ran 15th 33/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock I'm Next (GB)J: David Allan Weatherbys Stallion Book Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tim Easterby's strike rate?: Tim Easterby has won 1,937 of 20,845 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.3% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tim Easterby do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 84 wins from 552 runners (15.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tim Easterby?: David Allan, with 7,426 runners since 2008 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 848 (11.4%).
Is Tim Easterby in form?: In the last 14 days: 70 runners, 5 winners, a strike rate of 7.1%. That is in line with the baseline of 9.3% since 2008.
What is Tim Easterby's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 20,718 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.