What is Tracy Waggott's strike rate?

Tracy Waggott has won 197 of 2,629 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tracy Waggott do best at?

Musselburgh by strike rate: 22 wins from 155 runners (14.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Tracy Waggott?

Tom Eaves, with 220 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (8.6%).

Is Tracy Waggott in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Tracy Waggott's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 2,609 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Tracy Waggott

2,629 runners in the lifetime window · 163 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 93% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

197–2,629

Wins / Runs

7.5%

Strike rate

n=2,629

646 (25%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=2,609 · 0.80 incl. margin

−766.52

£1 level stake

n=2,629 at SP · −29.2%

£1.48m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 9% (77 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,629 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 29.6% when favourite Tom Eaves: 8.6% from 220 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Musselburgh (14.2%, n=155), clear of the yard's 7.5% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=73, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.52 and −248.25 to a £1 stake over 337 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Tom Eaves rides 8% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.6%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (17.3%, n=347). The stable star of the record: Windforpower (IRE) — 11 wins from 121 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.7%−4.8

n=337 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −248.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

1.1%−6.4

n=90 · A/E 0.26 · £1 −82.50

Debutants · first career start

0%−7.5

n=73 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −73.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.5%−2.0

n=55 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −28.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.1%+1.6

n=77 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −34.00

When favourite

29.6%

n=162 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +2.23

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.6%−0.9

n=558 · A/E 0.91 · £1 +14.62

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.5

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 17.3% vs 7.5% · n=347

With Robert Winston 17.2% vs 7.5% · n=87

On last-time-out winners 14.1% vs 7.5% · n=199

With Kelly Harrison 16.7% vs 7.5% · n=42

At Musselburgh 14.2% vs 7.5% · n=155

With debutants 0% vs 7.5% · n=73

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,447 191 7.8% −722.02

Hurdle 161 6 3.7% −23.50

NH Flat 21 0 0% −21.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 727 70 9.6% −136.84

Good 671 49 7.3% −191.97

Standard (AW) 519 39 7.5% −66.71

Soft 329 15 4.6% −213.00

Good to Soft 313 19 6.1% −141.50

Heavy 53 3 5.7% −12.00

Firm 17 2 11.8% −4.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 432 35 8.1% −23.71

Redcar 375 24 6.4% −120.67

Catterick 302 20 6.6% −145.87

Newcastle 222 18 8.1% −75.25

Thirsk 194 17 8.8% −72.38

Beverley 159 18 11.3% −26.42

Musselburgh 155 22 14.2% −8.05

Carlisle 152 5 3.3% −83.50

Ripon 115 9 7.8% −39.00

Pontefract 96 7 7.3% −19.17

Southwell (AW) 76 3 3.9% −43.00

Sedgefield 66 4 6.1% +61.50

Doncaster 57 1 1.8% −53.50

Hamilton 48 2 4.2% −36.00

Wetherby 44 4 9.1% −21.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,132 100 8.8% −343.63

Class 5 922 55 6% −295.47

Class 4 420 34 8.1% −221.13

Class 3 92 5 5.4% −66.29

Class 2 46 3 6.5% +177.00

Class 7 9 0 0% −9.00

Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 196 55 28.1% 1.19 −2.02

2nd–3rd fav 417 61 14.6% 1.02 −64.50

4th–6th fav 807 52 6.4% 0.83 −287.00

7th+ in betting 1,209 29 2.4% 0.74 −413.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 930 67 7.2% −183.46

1m – 1m1f 544 41 7.5% −176.64

Under 6f 507 52 10.3% −126.37

1m2f – 1m4f 410 27 6.6% −211.55

1m5f – 2m 129 3 2.3% −107.00

2m1f – 2m4f 99 7 7.1% +48.50

2m5f – 3m 9 0 0% −9.00

Over 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 84 1 1.2% −74.00

2009 95 7 7.4% −34.17

2010 134 19 14.2% +37.95

2011 140 11 7.9% +11.00

2012 218 16 7.3% −90.50

2013 242 24 9.9% +2.75

2014 208 17 8.2% −67.50

2015 158 7 4.4% −91.50

2016 156 7 4.5% −59.00

2017 150 11 7.3% −77.75

2018 126 7 5.6% −85.25

2019 130 7 5.4% −86.47

2020 116 13 11.2% −27.67

2021 117 9 7.7% −72.12

2022 100 9 9% +0.83

2023 114 10 8.8% −17.50

2024 140 8 5.7% −96.75

2025 128 11 8.6% +122.13

2026 73 3 4.1% −61.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,089 179 8.6% −449.52

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

11-13 runners 898 69 7.7% −227.89

8-10 runners 880 73 8.3% −275.86

14-16 runners 424 22 5.2% −52.09

5-7 runners 297 26 8.8% −135.30

17+ runners 115 4 3.5% −70.50

2-4 runners 15 3 20% −4.88

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Windforpower (IRE)from Ronald Harris 121 11 37 1 Jul 19

Shadowtime (GB)from Mark Johnston 81 8 23 3 Aug 16

Captain Royale (IRE)from Jeremy Noseda 77 9 22 13 Oct 15

Solar Spirit (IRE)from John Quinn 76 6 21 7 Nov 16

Ghathanfar (IRE) 74 7 29 14 Oct 24

Thrust Control (IRE)from Brian Ellison 58 2 11 18 May 15

Without Delay (IRE)from Kevin Philippart De Foy 57 5 15 30 Sep 26

Border Bandit (USA) 56 6 15 4 Apr 17

Whispered Times (USA)from P C Haslam 54 5 14 26 May 15

Mrs Bagerran (IRE) 51 3 15 13 Oct 25

Dean Iarracht (IRE)from Michael Dods 50 6 16 30 Sep 13

Henley (GB)from William Jarvis 48 6 16 20 Oct 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 163 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 35 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ben Haslam (3) and Mark Johnston (3); 25 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Alexandra Dunn (2); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

13104789967757

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTom Eaves

8% of all rides
8.6% SR · A/E 1.10

RiderRWSR£1

Tom Eaves 220 19 8.6% −100.87

Barry McHugh 213 21 9.9% −50.62

Royston Ffrench 194 8 4.1% −148.00

Dale Swift 151 14 9.3% +12.00

Connor Beasley 120 7 5.8% −63.00

Joe Fanning 105 13 12.4% −16.77

William Pyle 97 8 8.2% −58.62

Jason Hart 88 7 8% −54.92

Robert Winston 87 15 17.2% +53.50

Franny Norton 80 8 10% +9.00

Ben Curtis 79 11 13.9% −17.50

Paddy Mathers 77 9 11.7% +29.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

205

Archived wins

£1.51m

Prize money

2013

Best season · 24 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Heavenly Heather (GB) — BetMGM Fillies' And Mares' Championships Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Apr 2025 · Class 2

£77,310

Intrinsic Bond (GB) — William Hill Great St Wilfrid Handicap Ripon · Aug 2022 · Class 2

£51,540

Robert Johnson (GB) — Turners Cesarewitch Trial Handicap Newmarket · Sep 2024 · Class 2

£25,770

Notable horses

Windforpower (IRE) Captain Royale (IRE) Valantino Oyster (IRE) Shadowtime (GB) Kind Review (GB) Ghathanfar (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Royal Applause (GB) 6.5% · 13–201

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 7.7% · 14–182

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,853 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Red Clubs (IRE) 9.1% · 11–121

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,131 runs since 2011 (143 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.5% from 127.

Kodiac (GB) 12.8% · 11–86

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,582 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Singspiel (IRE) 9.9% · 8–81

Progeny have won 12% of 4,376 runs since 2008 (378 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.5% from 118.

Captain Rio (GB) 11.7% · 9–77

Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,812 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,812 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 August 2005 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Nip About (GB)J: Billy Garritty All-weather Championship Is Back Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 50/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Magnanimous Grecia (IRE)J: Jason Hart Racing To School EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 200/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Miss Rainbow (IRE)J: Jason Hart Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 11/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Magnanimous Grecia (IRE)J: David Allan EBF "Confined" Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D With No More Than Three Runs) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 7th 250/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Nip About (GB)J: Connor Beasley QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 7/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Brittunculi (GB)J: William Pyle Download The At The Races App Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 500/1

03 Oct 26 Ascot Heavenly Heather (GB)J: Barry McHugh Betmgm Rous Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 6th 16/1

30 Sep 26 Catterick Without Delay (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 5th 100/30J

23 Sep 26 Redcar Nip About (GB)J: Connor Beasley Weatherbysshop.co.uk Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 8 ran 5th 40/1

19 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Heathers Feather (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Happy Birthday Dave Miller From Probio energy.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 9/1

18 Sep 26 Ayr Heavenly Heather (GB)J: Connor Beasley Arran Scottish Sprint EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 5.5f · Soft · 14 ran 9th 7/1

09 Sep 26 Carlisle Magnanimous Grecia (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Quooker Tap 100 Degrees Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 13 ran 13th 200/1

08 Sep 26 Catterick Miss Rainbow (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Fifth Regiment Royal Artillery Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 9/2

03 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Brittunculi (GB)J: William Pyle Admiral Jackpot Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 4 ran 4th 200/1

02 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Heathers Feather (IRE)J: Jason Hart Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 11/1

26 Aug 26 Catterick Without Delay (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Celebrate National Racehorse Week Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 5/2F

25 Aug 26 Musselburgh Bea Kindly (GB)J: William Pyle National Racehorse Week Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 33/1

21 Aug 26 York Heavenly Heather (GB)J: Barry McHugh Coolmore City Of Troy Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 10th 80/1

19 Aug 26 Carlisle Heathers Feather (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Armstrong Watson Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 25/1

17 Aug 26 Catterick Miss Rainbow (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Chapman Milestones Celebration, Thank You NHS Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 8th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 26 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 26 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Tracy Waggott's strike rate?: Tracy Waggott has won 197 of 2,629 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tracy Waggott do best at?: Musselburgh by strike rate: 22 wins from 155 runners (14.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tracy Waggott?: Tom Eaves, with 220 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (8.6%).
Is Tracy Waggott in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tracy Waggott's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 2,609 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.