What is Vaclav Luka Jr's strike rate?

Vaclav Luka Jr has won 71 of 1,059 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Vaclav Luka Jr do best at?

Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 36 wins from 396 runners (9.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Vaclav Luka Jr?

Theo Bachelot, with 226 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (8%).

Is Vaclav Luka Jr in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Vaclav Luka Jr's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 1,055 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Vaclav Luka Jr

1,059 runners in the lifetime window · 218 individual horses

As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

71–1,059

Wins / Runs

6.7%

Strike rate

n=1,059

234 (22%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=1,055 · 0.85 incl. margin

−153.75

£1 level stake

n=1,058 at SP · −14.5%

£2.30m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). New recruits from other yards win at 10% first time out (67 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,059 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 27% when favourite Theo Bachelot: 8% from 226 New recruits: 10.4% Claiming riders: 6.9% Sends off the favourite in 3% of races

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 10.4% (n=67, Fair A/E 1.94), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 3.5% (n=57, Fair A/E 0.67). Theo Bachelot rides 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (12.9%, n=31) and on Good going (10.7%, n=103). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 3% over 132 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Handicap de Deauville at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2016, £34,559). The stable star of the record: Ideal King (FR) — 6 wins from 39 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.9%−0.8

n=370 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −35.30

New recruits · first run for the yard

10.4%+3.7

n=67 · A/E 1.94 · £1 +20.20

Debutants · first career start

4%−2.7

n=151 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −31.30

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.5%−3.2

n=57 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −28.10

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.8%−1.9

n=21 · A/E 0.82 · £1 +5.00

When favourite

27%

n=37 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −0.45

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.9%+0.2

n=130 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −37.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.9%−2.8

n=76 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −53.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Mlle Marie Velon 14.7% vs 6.7% · n=34

With Maxime Guyon 13% vs 6.7% · n=46

On last-time-out winners 12.3% vs 6.7% · n=73

At trips under 6f 12.9% vs 6.7% · n=31

On Good going 10.7% vs 6.7% · n=103

On Good to Soft going 3% vs 6.7% · n=132

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 91.4% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 659 48 7.3% −34.95

Good to Soft 132 4 3% −111.20

Soft 119 5 4.2% −39.80

Good 103 11 10.7% +47.50

Heavy 43 3 7% −12.30

Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (AW) 396 36 9.1% +35.85

Chantilly 389 22 5.7% −52.90

Saint-Cloud 88 4 4.5% −19.60

Longchamp (FR) 85 3 3.5% −45.50

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 48 2 4.2% −38.70

Clairefontaine 12 1 8.3% −7.40

Compiegne (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00

Vichy (FR) 7 2 28.6% +4.80

Lyon Parilly (FR) 6 1 16.7% −2.30

Dieppe (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Aix-Les-Bains (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

San Siro (ITY) 2 0 0% −2.00

Le Lion-D'Angers 1 0 0% −1.00

Craon (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 79 3 3.8% −56.00

Class 3 15 2 13.3% −0.50

Class 2 9 1 11.1% +17.00

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 40 11 27.5% 1.18 +2.55

2nd–3rd fav 136 20 14.7% 1.03 −25.80

4th–6th fav 261 16 6.1% 0.80 −66.40

7th+ in betting 621 24 3.9% 1.15 −64.10

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 435 28 6.4% −144.35

1m – 1m1f 386 25 6.5% −58.70

1m2f – 1m4f 167 12 7.2% +6.20

1m5f – 2m 39 2 5.1% +20.90

Under 6f 31 4 12.9% +23.20

2m1f – 2m4f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2009 1 0 0% —

2010 4 0 0% −4.00

2011 1 0 0% −1.00

2012 8 0 0% −8.00

2013 33 2 6.1% +49.00

2014 54 3 5.6% −39.00

2015 39 5 12.8% +8.50

2016 65 6 9.2% +0.80

2017 123 9 7.3% −5.10

2018 107 7 6.5% +4.70

2019 95 5 5.3% −48.00

2020 67 5 7.5% +13.20

2021 79 11 13.9% +68.60

2022 94 6 6.4% −38.50

2023 60 0 0% −60.00

2024 56 2 3.6% −32.70

2025 86 5 5.8% −32.50

2026 87 5 5.7% −29.75

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 405 30 7.4% +16.45

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 435 30 6.9% +60.50

11-13 runners 241 13 5.4% −107.40

8-10 runners 232 17 7.3% −85.75

5-7 runners 80 6 7.5% −23.50

17+ runners 70 5 7.1% +3.40

2-4 runners 1 0 0% −1.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ideal King (FR) 39 6 15 16 Jan 26

Troizilet (FR)from F Rossi 26 4 9 21 Aug 21

Nine Ou Four (IRE) 25 3 7 14 Feb 20

Borsakov (IRE)from Mme Pia Brandt 22 1 5 9 Jul 20

Veakalto (IRE)from F Rossi 22 2 4 25 Feb 20

Nagano Gold (GB) 19 3 9 16 Dec 21

Mowaeva (FR)from Andrea Marcialis · then M Boutin 18 4 6 31 Mar 23

Star Rock (FR)from M Delzangles 17 1 4 29 Sep 26

Wakai Go (CZE) 17 0 3 2 Aug 26

Phu Hai (FR)from Yasmin Almenrader 17 3 5 20 Mar 18

Rousse (GB)from H-F Devin 16 1 3 23 Mar 21

Risk Major (FR)from Joel Phelippon 16 0 1 1 Dec 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 218 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from F Rossi (3) and C Escuder (2); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for M Boutin (3) and F Vermeulen (2); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

7718528867119

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTheo Bachelot

21% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 1.04

RiderRWSR£1

Theo Bachelot 226 18 8% −21.90

Clement Lecoeuvre 126 6 4.8% −41.90

Eddy Hardouin 90 8 8.9% −2.70

Maxime Guyon 46 6 13% +1.20

Mickael Barzalona 43 3 7% −3.60

A Madamet 36 2 5.6% −25.00

Mlle Marie Velon 34 5 14.7% +38.30

Bauyrzhan Murzabayev 33 2 6.1% +36.00

Delphine Santiago 30 3 10% +0.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.30m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 11 wins

Wireless (FR) — Grand Handicap de Deauville (3yo+) (Straight) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2016

£34,559

Troizilet (FR) — Grand Handicap de l'Inauguration de ParisLongchamp (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2018

£30,973

Rousse (GB) — Prix du Brionnais (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2018

£24,336

Notable horses

Ideal King (FR) Troizilet (FR) Mowaeva (FR) Nine Ou Four (IRE) Nagano Gold (GB) Phu Hai (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sidestep (AUS) 15.4% · 6–39

Progeny have won 9% of 655 runs since 2019 (65 horses).

Medicean (GB) 9.7% · 3–31

Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).

Siyouni (FR) 0% · 0–31

Progeny have won 13% of 8,369 runs since 2014 (980 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 460.

Areion (GER) 3.6% · 1–28

Progeny have won 10.6% of 1,319 runs since 2008 (177 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.6% from 144.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 3.8% · 1–26

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,235 runs since 2014 (1,110 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Wootton Bassett (GB) 15.4% · 4–26

Progeny have won 13% of 5,706 runs since 2015 (793 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 162.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,059 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,059 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 October 2009 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Lady Agata (IRE)J: Tony Piccone Prix De Berd'huisClass 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 1st 15/2

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Quartz Du Houley (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix Omaha Beach6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 5th 9/2

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Madam Secretary (GER)J: Augustin Madamet Prix Du Chenet9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 18/1

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Chiprana (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix Des Biches11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 11/1

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Awaiting Christmas (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix De La Vierge De LoretteClass 2 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 4th 100/30

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Grecian Storm (GB)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix D'argentine9.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 5/4F

09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Quartz Du Houley (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Du Carrefour Du Mont Du TrembleClass 3 · 7f · Very Soft · 15 ran 2nd 11/2

04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Piemont (IRE)J: Tony Piccone Qatar Prix du Festival des NationsClass 2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 13th 15/2

04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Jawwal (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Longines (Group 1)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 15th 66/1

29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Star Rock (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix De La Chambre Du DucClass 2 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 40/1

20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Flying Aquangel (IRE)J: Glen Meury Prix Philippe Lorain13f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 7/1

20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) No Limits (FR)J: Mme Martina Lukova Prix De L'imperatrice Eugenie - Handicap Challenge10f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 4th 9/4

20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Chiprana (FR)J: Adrian Le Lay Martin Prix Radio Evasion (Prix De La Table Du Grand Maitre)11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 20/1

14 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Terremana (FR)J: Pierre Le Digabel Prix Jean Deforge9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 13th 125/1

14 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Memento Mori (IRE)J: Augustin Madamet Prix De Chaumont8f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 66/1

14 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Cemballo (HUN)J: Augustin Madamet Prix Du Canal Du Hameau8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 11/4

10 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Piemont (IRE)J: Tony Piccone Prix De Saint-nicolasClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 6th 5/2F

10 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Quartz Du Houley (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De La Cour Du Chemin VertClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 4th 3/1

04 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Memento Mori (IRE)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Du Bois FrancClass 3 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran F 33/1

04 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Jawwal (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De La Chapelle Saint-pierreClass 1 · 5.5f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Vaclav Luka Jr's strike rate?: Vaclav Luka Jr has won 71 of 1,059 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Vaclav Luka Jr do best at?: Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 36 wins from 396 runners (9.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Vaclav Luka Jr?: Theo Bachelot, with 226 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (8%).
Is Vaclav Luka Jr in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Vaclav Luka Jr's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 1,055 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.