3:48 Beverley
This Class 5 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes over 5f at Beverley features a field of 13 two-year-olds, several of whom are lightly raced or making their debut. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Mubehir heading the numbers on 52 despite three prior runs without a win. Conditions are good ground and the race lacks an obvious front-runner, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical contest where being well placed could prove decisive.
How the race shapes up
With no horse obviously wanting the lead the pace is expected to be steady rather than strong, making this a tactical affair. Several runners, including the selection Mubehir, Floral Maid, Justice Time, Lord Bishop and Spectacular Diver, are usually held up and will look to produce their effort late. The key question is whether those coming from off the pace can pick up quickly enough in a race that may not truly test stamina, or whether being handy early will pay in the closing stages.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Mubehir KTB Selection52/100
Mubehir is a modest performer who has shown some ability on both his starts at Beverley, finishing second over today's 5f trip on his penultimate outing. He has since run poorly here on his most recent start and remains winless after three runs. The Paul Midgley yard posts a 9% strike rate at the track from a large sample of 692 runs, which adds little confidence, while David Nolan has an 8% strike rate from 327 rides here. Usually held up, he produces his effort late and remains unproven on good ground. His course record reads placed but no win.
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2Floral Maid46/100
Floral Maid finished second on her debut here over this trip and that effort reads as fair form for a Class 5 race. She drops in class today. The Brian Ellison yard has a modest 9% strike rate at Beverley from 578 runs and Cam Hardie has limited experience at the track with a 4% strike rate from 383 rides. Usually held up with only limited evidence available, she remains unproven on good ground. Her sole course visit resulted in a placing but no win.
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3Woodvale46/100
Woodvale is a newcomer by Mayson who was bought for 40,000gns as a yearling and is bred to have speed. James Tate's yard has a solid 17% strike rate at Beverley from 78 runs, while Connor Beasley has a 13% strike rate from 342 rides at the track. With no racecourse form to go on and only low data confidence available this is very much an unknown quantity on debut. The colt has no course win on record.
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4Harry Akoya45/100
Harry Akoya is a newcomer with no racecourse experience so the form picture is limited. He cost 32,000 guineas as a yearling and is by Harry Angel out of a dam who produced several winners, though none at this trip. Nigel Tinkler's yard has a modest 8% strike rate at Beverley from a huge sample of 952 runs, which offers no particular encouragement on debut. Alex Jary takes the ride and the horse has no course win on record.
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5Aughavannon44/100
Aughavannon showed little on his debut over 6f and now drops back to 5f for the first time, which asks a fresh question of this lightly-raced 2-year-old. He drops in class. Simon Waugh has a 0% strike rate from seven runs at Beverley, though Oisin Orr has a 19% strike rate from 134 rides at the track. He has one run on good ground with no win or place. There is not enough evidence to judge whether the trip, the going or the track will suit and he has no course form on record.
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6Youngheartsrunfree44/100
Youngheartsrunfree is a debutant with limited information available beyond pedigree and sales background. Declan Carroll has a modest 7% strike rate from 342 runs at Beverley and the colt is drawn wide in stall 13 with no course win on record.
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7Justice Time43/100
Justice Time has shown only modest form in two runs at this trip so far and is drawn wide in stall 10. Brian Ellison has a 9% strike rate from 578 runs at Beverley while Luke Morris has a 12% strike rate from 155 rides here. He drops in class, is usually held up with limited evidence and has one run on good with no win or place.
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8Fancied Angel42/100
Fancied Angel showed moderate early pace when finishing fifth on debut over this trip. First-time headgear is now fitted and the trip looks suitable enough on what little she has shown. Adam Kirby has no Beverley record while Sam James has a 12% strike rate at the track. She remains unproven on good ground with no course form on record.
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9Lord Bishop42/100
Lord Bishop has only one run to his name so the form is impossible to weigh up with any confidence. He drops back from 6f to 5f today which asks a fresh question and drops in class. Brian Ellison has a modest 9% strike rate at Beverley from a big sample while Harry Russell has a 5% strike rate from 106 rides here. He remains unproven on good ground.
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10Espresso Breeze42/100
Espresso Breeze is a newcomer whose assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background. Bryan Smart has a solid 10% strike rate at Beverley from 573 runs and Paul Mulrennan has a 10% strike rate from 846 rides at the track. The colt has no course win on record.
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11Claudia Miss41/100
Claudia Miss is a newcomer with no racecourse form so the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background. Tim Easterby has a 10% strike rate at Beverley from a huge sample of 2414 runs while Sean Kirrane has a 6% strike rate from 109 rides here. She has no course win on record.
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12Kompozitor40/100
Kompozitor showed little on debut over 7f and now drops sharply in trip to 5f, which asks a fresh question. He drops in class. David and Nicola Barron have a modest 4% strike rate at Beverley from 23 runs while Tom Eaves has a 7% strike rate from 887 rides here. He remains unproven on good ground with no course form on record.
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13Spectacular Diver38/100
Spectacular Diver is a modest performer who has shown a bit of ability on his day, including a placed effort over this trip and when finishing third on his one visit to Beverley. He steps up in class having been beaten a fair way on his last two starts over 6f. Tim Easterby has a 10% strike rate here from 2414 runs while David Allan is yet to record a win from his rides at the track. Usually held up, he has four runs on good with no win or place.
KTB verdict
Mubehir is named as the KTB Selection. He has shown some ability on both his starts at this track, notably finishing second over today's trip on his penultimate run, and the steadily-run nature of the race may suit his usual held-up run style. His main dangers are likely to come from Floral Maid, who shaped with promise when second on debut here over the same distance, and the debutant Woodvale who represents a yard with a strong record at Beverley. The race remains open with several unknowns in the field, but the selection's course experience gives him a foothold in a tactical 5f event.
KTB Selection Mubehir
This is the narrative read of the 3:48 Beverley. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Beverley racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Beverley results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Why does the pace shape point to a tactical race?
The pace shape lacks a leader with medium confidence and no horse obviously wants the lead, making it likely a steadily-run affair where being handy pays.
Which runners are noted as usually held up?
Mubehir, Floral Maid, Justice Time, Lord Bishop and Spectacular Diver are described as usually held up and producing their effort late.
Which horse is dropping back sharply in trip from 7f to 5f?
Kompozitor is dropping sharply in trip from 7f to 5f.
Which trainer has the highest strike rate at Beverley among those with meaningful sample sizes in this race?
James Tate has a 17% strike rate at Beverley from 78 runs.
Which horse is the only one in the field with a previous placing at Beverley besides Mubehir and Floral Maid?
Spectacular Diver finished third on his one visit to Beverley.
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