1:56 Gowran Park

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Cosmic Front KTB Selection55/100

   Form 6 · W. P. Mullins · Paul Townend

   Cosmic Front arrives as the KTB selection having won once in two starts at this trip and now drops back from 2m1½f. He is unproven on yielding to soft ground and this is his first run at Gowran Park. The yard and jockey both hold a solid 23% strike rate at the track. With recent form of 6 and trainer-jockey figures of 1215/3919 (31%) with an A/E of 0.95, he brings the strongest combination of ability and powerful connections. The strong pace should suit his style as the selection looks to capitalise on dropping in distance.

2. 2Carrigeen Ardisia54/100

   Form 736/ · James M Barcoe · Donagh Meyler

   Carrigeen Ardisia has shown little in three runs to date, finishing no closer than seventh on his latest start. He has been beaten a long way both times he has tried this trip. The trainer has a solid 11% strike rate at Gowran from 46 runs while the jockey is operating at a modest 4% from 137 rides here. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is the type to benefit if the strong pace collapses. Unproven on yielding to soft ground with no course form, he remains a modest prospect on the available evidence.

3. 3Lirakali52/100

   Form 2 · Henry de Bromhead · Jordan Gainford

   Lirakali showed promise when second on debut over this trip. The small sample means little else can be read into that run or his ability on yielding to soft ground. Henry de Bromhead has a solid 13% strike rate at Gowran from 524 runs while Jordan Gainford is operating at 11% from 53 rides here. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should be suited by the strong pace shape. With recent form of 2 he remains an interesting contender despite the limited evidence.

4. 4Ballito Beauty52/100

   Form 24 · Mrs Lorna Fowler · J J Slevin

   Ballito Beauty has shown ability in two starts so far, finishing second then fourth, though the small sample means her level must be treated with caution. The drop back from 2m3f to 2m poses a fresh question. Trainer Lorna Fowler has a 10% strike rate from 10 runs at Gowran while jockey J J Slevin is operating at 7% from 123 rides here. Usually held up and producing her effort late with limited evidence, she could be helped by the race collapsing off a strong pace. Unproven on yielding to soft ground with no course form, she is one of the more interesting fillies in the line-up.

5. 5French Adventure50/100

   Form 3331-P · David M O'Brien · Josh Williamson(3)

   French Adventure is a debutant with low data confidence so the assessment rests on pedigree and connections. The yard has a poor 0% strike-rate from 49 runs at Gowran Park. Josh Williamson has a solid 17% strike-rate from only six rides here with an A/E of 1.56. Recent form reads 3331-P and by Kapgarde he brings a 13% overall win rate in his pedigree. With trainer and jockey figures of 2/8 (25%), he is hard to weigh up but cannot be entirely dismissed in a race of this nature.

6. 6Mister Class50/100

   Gavin Cromwell

   Mister Class is a newcomer with no racecourse experience. The Gavin Cromwell yard has a modest 9% strike rate at Gowran from a large sample of 321 runners. Pedigree and sales background offer the only clues here but data confidence remains low.

7. 7Midfield Magic49/100

   Form 4- · Gavin Cromwell · Keith Donoghue

   Midfield Magic showed fair promise when fourth on debut over this trip at Gowran. The yard has a solid 9% strike rate here from a big sample while Donoghue's 7% from 134 rides is in line with expectations. Usually held up with limited evidence and placed once from one run on yielding to soft, the overall picture remains tentative with recent form of 4-.

8. 8Highland Call49/100

   Form 87 · Timothy Doyle · Mr D Doyle(5)

   Lightly raced with just two runs and modest form of 87 so far. The yard's record at Gowran is poor at 4% from 425 runs while the jockey has a solid 10% strike rate from his 10 rides here. Usually held up with limited evidence and unproven on yielding to soft, the trip looks a fair question and the small sample makes any firm conclusions risky.

9. 9That's It Girl48/100

   Form 8 · Gavin Cromwell · Ben Harvey

   That's It Girl was well held on her sole start over 2m1½f and now drops back in trip for only her second run. The yard has a solid 9% strike rate from 321 runs at Gowran Park while Ben Harvey is 6% from 16 rides here. With so little form in the book this is a very tentative read.

10. 10Detroit Maverick47/100

    Form 1/225- · Gordon Elliott

    Lightly raced with only three runs in the last year, Detroit Maverick has shown ability by finishing second twice after an initial win. He has been placed at this trip without winning, though the small sample makes it hard to be certain about his ideal distance. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, the yard has an 11% strike rate from 621 runs at Gowran Park.

11. 11The Captain's Word46/100

    Form 423- · Henry de Bromhead · Darragh O'Keeffe

    The Captain's Word showed fair form when placed on his only start to date at this trip. Henry de Bromhead operates at a 13% strike rate from 524 runs here while Darragh O'Keeffe is on a 7% strike rate from 126 rides. Typically settling in midfield with limited evidence and unproven on yielding to soft, with only one run on the clock the overall picture remains thin and has to be treated with caution.

12. 12Always Scoring45/100

    Form 316- · J P Flavin · Jordan Canavan(7)

    Lightly raced with just three career starts and only one in the last year so the form is hard to weigh up. Showed ability when winning on debut before a placed effort and a lesser run last time. Trainer has a solid 12% strike-rate at Gowran but the jockey has had only two rides here which is too small a sample to judge.

13. 13Awordinyourear45/100

    Form 90- · Terence O'Brien · John Shinnick

    Lightly raced with just two runs and no strong recent form to go on. The step up to 2m is a fresh question and the going remains unknown given the small sample. Usually held up and producing effort late, trainer and jockey both have modest records at Gowran Park.

14. 14Ataboymiley43/100

    Form F · P J Rothwell · Tiernan Power Roche

    Ataboymiley fell on his only start so far and steps up markedly in trip today as a fresh question. The yard's modest 4% strike rate from 395 runs at Gowran Park offers little encouragement. With only one run on the board overall the form is impossible to assess with any confidence.

15. 15Gerrymadiddler42/100

    Form P- · Liam P Cusack · Brian Hayes

    Gerrymadiddler is a debutant so the form book offers nothing concrete. The pedigree and sales background give little to go on either and the first-time headgear adds further uncertainty. Connections have a modest record at Gowran with both trainer and jockey operating below the course average.

16. 16Lyrical Park42/100

    Form 340- · G. O'Leary · Sean Flanagan

    Lyrical Park showed fair form when third on debut over 2m3f and has been given a chance by the handicapper. She now drops back in trip to 2m for the first time which asks a fresh question. Usually held up with limited evidence, the yard's modest 2% strike rate at Gowran Park and the jockey's 6% record here add little encouragement.

17. 17Coreopsis41/100

    Form 4-2 · Vincent Laurence Halley · Phillip Enright

    Coreopsis is a debutant with very limited public form to go on. The yard has yet to strike at Gowran from eight attempts while the jockey operates at a 6% strike rate here from a large sample. Pedigree and sales background will have to carry the bulk of the assessment on what is a low-confidence first run.

18. 18Golden Photo40/100

    Form PP1- · M K Flannery · Tom Kelly(7)

    Golden Photo is a debutant with no racecourse form to go on. The yard and jockey both have very limited track experience here so little guidance there either. Pedigree and sales background will have to carry the assessment but with low data confidence overall this one is hard to weigh up.

19. 19George Dundee40/100

    Form F57-51 · Terence O'Brien · Danny Power(7)

    George Dundee is a debutant so the form book offers nothing concrete. His recent work has been steady rather than sparkling and the yard's modest 8% strike rate at Gowran suggests he will need to improve to be competitive first time. Pedigree and sales background are the main pointers here but with low data confidence any firm conclusions are risky.

20. 20Piper Street40/100

    Form 600 · P J Rothwell · Conor Clarke(7)

    Piper Street has shown very little in three starts to date, finishing well beaten on each occasion. The drop back to 2m is a question mark after his last run over further, though he has been tried at this trip twice already without success. Usually held up and producing effort late, trainer strike rate here is modest and the jockey has had too few rides at the track for any meaningful read.

21. 21Ballyteigue Bay38/100

    Form 30P-8 · J A Berry · Ross Berry(7)

    Ballyteigue Bay has shown some ability with a placed effort at today's trip but his recent form of 30P-8 is patchy and he has failed to complete on two of his last three starts. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, the yard's poor 3% strike rate from 114 runs at Gowran Park is a clear negative while the 7 lb claimer has yet to register a win from five rides here.

22. 22Poetic Parable38/100

    Form 7 · Ross O'Sullivan · Shane Markey(7)

    Poetic Parable showed little on his sole start when finishing seventh. The yard has a modest 4% strike rate from 92 runs at Gowran Park while the 7 lb claimer has had too few rides here to judge. With only one career run everything else remains unknown.