4:48 Navan
A 17-runner Flat contest over 1m2f30y at Navan (4:48), on Yielding going. KTB has scored every runner; the preview below reads the race off those numbers.
How the race shapes up
No one obviously wants the lead — likely a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Sheamus Seimhiu KTB Selection61/100
Sheamus Seimhiu is a limited performer who showed some encouragement when second here over a mile on his return from a break. He now steps up in trip for the first time which asks a fresh question of him. The trainer has a solid 12% strike rate at Navan while the jockey's 6% record at the track is more modest.
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2Nephin Mountain54/100
Limited class performer who has been busy this year and showed his best at this track when winning here over a mile last season. He steps up in trip today having been placed without winning at this distance on his only previous try. Trainer's modest 5% strike rate at Navan is offset by the jockey's stronger 8% record at the track.
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3Capolinea54/100
Capolinea has shown very little in three starts to date and remains a limited performer on the balance of what she has produced. The yard has a solid 10% strike rate at Navan from 60 runs while the jockey posts an 8% record from 93 rides here. Stepping up markedly in trip today asks a fresh question of a horse whose going suitability is still unknown from such a light career.
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4Reponse Finale53/100
Limited performer who has shown some consistency this year but lacks real punch at this level. Has placed on yielding ground and at today's trip yet has never won either and was well held on his only previous run here. Trainer and jockey both operate at a modest 8% strike rate at Navan.
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5Albatala51/100
Modest performer who showed a bit more when winning a handicap over this trip at Gowran in May before running no sort of race over 2m at Listowel last time. Drops back in distance here which should suit, though he has been well beaten on his only previous visit to Navan and is 0-2 on yielding ground. Trainer's modest record at the track is a concern.
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6Kodi Brown46/100
Limited performer who has shown some ability on this track and trip.
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7Spanish Princess44/100
Limited performer who has shown very little in seven starts and was well beaten when last seen at this track.
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8Casheldale Lass43/100
Limited filly who has shown very little in recent starts and finished a remote last of 16 here on her only previous visit to Navan.
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9Connova43/100
Connova is a limited performer who has been consistent without winning, placing in five of her last six starts including a second here over this trip.
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10All Is Bright43/100
All Is Bright has shown very little in four starts and sits right at the bottom of the ratings for a limited performer.
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11Matties Point43/100
Limited performer who has shown very little in four starts to date.
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12Suerte42/100
Limited performer who has struggled for the most part this year and showed little at this track on her only previous visit.
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13God Knows40/100
Limited performer who has been out of form for some time with a string of poor efforts.
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14Lady Crossing35/100
Limited performer who has shown little in recent starts and now steps up in trip having failed to make an impact at this distance before.
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15Giordano35/100
Giordano has shown very little in three runs to date, finishing ninth or worse each time including a remote 12th on his only visit to this track.
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16Captain Ciano34/100
Limited performer who has been out of form for some time and showed little at this track on his only visit.
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17Tullyesker28/100
Limited performer who has struggled in six starts to date and showed no improvement when finishing eighth of 14 at this track last time.
KTB verdict
KTB's top-rated runner is Sheamus Seimhiu on a Fit Score of 61/100. On our numbers the main dangers are Nephin Mountain and Capolinea.
KTB Selection Sheamus Seimhiu
This is the narrative read of the 4:48 Navan. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Navan racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Navan results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which runner does KTB rate highest in the 4:48 at Navan?
Sheamus Seimhiu tops the KTB Fit ranking for this race on a score of 61/100.
How many runners are in this race?
17 runners are declared (non-runners excluded).
What is the going for the 4:48 at Navan?
The going is described as Yielding.
What distance is this race run over?
It is run over 1m2f30y.
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