3:05 Naas
The Irish Stallion Farms EBF Garnet Stakes is a competitive Listed race over a mile at Naas on soft ground, featuring a field of 16 that includes several useful performers with placed form in stronger company. The KTB Fit scores range from 64 down to 43, highlighting a race where course record, going suitability and trainer-jockey combinations at Naas will be key. With the selection Faiyum heading the ratings on 64, the numbers point to a contest where proven ability at this venue and trip on testing conditions could prove decisive.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is a lone leader with high confidence, suggesting one horse will get an uncontested lead that may prove difficult for the many held-up runners to reel in. Almost the entire field is composed of hold-up types who produce their effort late, with only Duchess Of Kenli likely to race prominently and Wild Bessie the sole front-runner. The key question is whether any of the closers can bridge the gap to the uncontested leader on this soft surface, or whether the pace advantage will be decisive.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Faiyum KTB Selection64/100
Faiyum is a useful performer with an official rating of 102 who won over this trip earlier in the season and has since shown solid placed form in better company. Dropping back from a mile and a half looks a positive and he boasts a strong course record at Naas, where he has won once from two starts. The yard operates at a 15% strike rate at the track from 901 runs while Colin Keane rides with a 17% strike rate from 763 rides here. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he arrives with recent form figures of 1-3428. The only significant question mark is that he has never raced on soft ground.
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2Princess Child59/100
Princess Child is a useful performer rated 100 who has run well at this track once before when finishing third. She boasts a solid record on soft ground with one win and three places from four starts and has won over today's trip in the past. Stepping up from seven furlongs today asks a fresh question while the yard has a 12% strike rate at Naas from 649 runs and the jockey sits on 7% from 175 rides. Usually held up with high confidence, her recent form reads 500662. She has the benefit of draw two in what is likely to be a race run with an uncontested leader.
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3Queen's Reign59/100
Queen's Reign is a useful performer rated 96 who has shown consistent placed form on soft ground, landing two minor prizes from five attempts. She steps up to a mile for the first time today having won at the trip earlier in her career, though the first-time headgear adds an unknown element. This is her first run at Naas and both trainer and jockey have no recorded strikes here. Usually held up, her recent form figures read 032-63 and she has been competitive without winning on soft. The race shape may not play to her strengths given the likely uncontested leader.
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4Drop Dead Gorgeous58/100
Drop Dead Gorgeous is a useful performer rated 91 who has already won here over this trip on soft ground. Recent form has been patchy with figures of 395890 but the course record and going suitability both read well. Aidan O'Brien has a 22% strike rate at Naas from 1439 runs while Ryan Moore boasts a 37% strike rate from 133 rides at the track. Usually held up with high confidence, she is a three-year-old with the benefit of a middle draw. The combination of trainer, jockey and proven ability on soft at this venue makes her a major player.
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5Killashee Warrior55/100
Killashee Warrior is a useful performer rated 91 who has shown consistent form without winning lately, finishing in the frame on three of his last four starts. He steps up to a mile for the first time since winning over the trip earlier in his career, which looks a positive, though he remains unproven on soft ground. The yard holds a solid record at Naas with an A/E of 1.07 from 74 runs while Shane Foley rides with a 10% strike rate from 790 rides here. Usually held up with high confidence, his recent form reads -47837. Draw three could prove advantageous if the leader is allowed an easy time.
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6Glyfada54/100
Glyfada is a useful performer who has won both starts at this track including over today's trip. Recent form of 2115 shows solid consistency at this level yet the wide draw in stall 12 could make things tougher. Trainer and jockey both have established records at Naas though neither is striking at a high rate. Usually held up, he is stepping up in class and remains unproven on soft ground.
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7Classiest53/100
Classiest is a useful performer who showed smart form when winning first time out over today's trip. Has not matched that level in two subsequent starts at longer distances and now drops back in trip. Trainer has a strong 22% strike rate at Naas from a huge sample while the jockey sits on a more modest 9%. Usually held up, she has one run on soft with no win or place.
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8Bay Colony52/100
Bay Colony is a fair performer who has shown consistent placed form at this trip, including a third here at Naas last season. He has been below that level on his last two starts and now faces a wide draw in stall 16. The trainer holds a solid 12% strike rate at the track while the jockey is operating at 10%, though the horse remains unproven on soft ground. Usually held up with high confidence.
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9Treasure Rose50/100
Treasure Rose is a fair performer who has shown some consistency at this track with a placed effort among three runs. She has won on soft ground from just two attempts and is stepping back up to a trip at which she has placed twice before. The yard's modest record here is offset by the jockey's solid strike-rate at Naas. Usually held up with high confidence.
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10Duchess Of Kenli50/100
Duchess Of Kenli is a fair performer who has won two of her three starts at this trip. She showed useful improvement when taking a 1m maiden here on her penultimate start before a solid effort in a stronger race last time. Trainer and jockey both have established records at Naas but neither is operating at a high strike rate. Usually races prominently, she is the only prominent runner besides the front-runner.
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11Qualixia49/100
Qualixia is a useful performer who has shown her best form on soft ground, winning once and placing twice from three runs. She has been placed without winning at this trip and arrives off the back of a modest return effort. The trainer has a solid 12% strike rate at Naas while the jockey sits on 5%. She is drawn wide in stall 15.
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12Rebel Wave46/100
Rebel Wave is a fair performer who has improved sharply this year, winning three of his last four starts including a win at this trip. He showed little on his only run here at Naas when fifth, and the trainer and jockey both operate at a modest 7% strike rate at the track. The soft ground remains an unknown given the small sample of runs. Usually held up with high confidence.
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13Noli Timere45/100
Noli Timere is a fair performer who has won once from two runs at Naas and also has two wins from eight starts at today's 1m trip. He steps up from 7f today having been well held on his last three starts, including a heavy defeat in this grade last time. The trainer holds a solid 13% strike rate at the track but the jockey is operating at just 5%, while the horse remains unproven on soft ground. Usually held up with high confidence.
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14Wild Bessie45/100
Wild Bessie is a fair performer who has been below form in two starts since a 7f win at this track in the spring. Steps up to 1m for the first time today having failed to trouble the judge in two previous attempts at the distance. First-time headgear is now applied. Tends to make the running or race on the pace and is the only confirmed front-runner in a race with a lone-leader shape.
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15Blue Blue Moon44/100
Blue Blue Moon is a fair performer who has won twice in six starts this year including at this trip. Looks suited by soft ground having won his only start on it and has already shown some ability at this track when fifth here. Trainer and jockey both have modest records at Naas. Usually held up with high confidence.
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16Rion Rubette43/100
Rion Rubette is a fair performer who has placed once from four runs at Naas without winning. He has won on soft ground but steps up in trip today having failed to trouble the judge in three previous tries at a mile. First-time headgear is now applied and the trainer's poor record at the track adds further caution. Usually held up with high confidence.
KTB verdict
Faiyum is the KTB selection. A useful performer who won over this trip earlier in the season and has solid placed form in better company since, he drops back from a mile and a half which looks a plus and boasts a strong course record at Naas. The yard and jockey both operate at a healthy level here and his draw in stall one could be ideal if the leader is allowed an easy time up front. Main dangers include Drop Dead Gorgeous, who has already won here over this trip on soft ground with strong trainer and jockey records at the venue, and Princess Child, who has a solid record on soft and has placed at this track before. Queen's Reign and Killashee Warrior add further depth to what looks a typically competitive Naas Listed event.
KTB Selection Faiyum
This is the narrative read of the 3:05 Naas. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Naas racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Naas results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Naas racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has already won over this trip and distance at Naas on soft ground?
Drop Dead Gorgeous, who has a 1 from 1 course record over this trip on soft.
How many horses in the field are unproven on soft ground?
Six horses have no runs on soft: Faiyum, Killashee Warrior, Glyfada, Bay Colony, Duchess Of Kenli and Noli Timere, plus Wild Bessie who is also unproven.
Which runner is the only confirmed front-runner in a race with a lone-leader pace shape?
Wild Bessie tends to make the running or race on the pace.
Who has the strongest jockey record at Naas among the principals?
Ryan Moore on Drop Dead Gorgeous with a 37% strike rate from 133 rides.
Which horse is stepping up in trip from 7f having been well held on recent starts?
Noli Timere, who steps up from 7f today.
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