What is Barry McHugh's strike rate?

Barry McHugh has won 520 of 5,999 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Barry McHugh do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 76 wins from 554 rides (13.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Barry McHugh ride most for?

Richard Fahey, with 1,121 rides since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 120 (10.7%).

Is Barry McHugh in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Barry McHugh's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 5,960 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Barry McHugh

5,999 rides in the lifetime window · 2,639 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 7 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

520–5,999

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=5,999

1,501 (25%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=5,960 · 0.86 incl. margin

−1,341.31

£1 level stake

n=5,999 at SP · −22.4%

£4.98m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 320 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (498 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 5,999 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Feb 32.2% when favourite Richard Fahey: 10.7% from 1,121 LTO winners: 16.1% Claiming: 10.6% Rides the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (13.7%, n=554), clear of the rider's 8.7% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (0% over 35 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.1% (n=498, Fair A/E 1.08), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 4.3% (n=115, Fair A/E 0.83). Richard Fahey supplies 19% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.7% vs 8.7%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Goffs UK Premier Yearling Stakes at York (Aug 2018, £147,540). The standout partner of the record: Stanley Rigby (GB) — 5 wins from 14 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Dec–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8%−0.7

n=2,636 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −588.29

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.1%+7.4

n=498 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −110.53

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.6%−3.1

n=824 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −255.24

When favourite

32.2%

n=357 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −8.16

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

10.6%+1.9

n=843 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −166.69

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.7%−3.0

n=1,065 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −243.67

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.3%−4.4

n=115 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −74.92

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 16.1% vs 8.7% · n=498

With Brian Ellison 16.9% vs 8.7% · n=249

At Doncaster 2.4% vs 8.7% · n=249

With Ollie Pears 15.6% vs 8.7% · n=128

At Southwell (AW) 13.7% vs 8.7% · n=554

At Ascot 0% vs 8.7% · n=35

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 5,998 520 8.7% −1,340.31

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,838 197 10.7% −267.46

Good 1,387 103 7.4% −390.89

Good to Firm 1,304 103 7.9% −302.16

Good to Soft 708 44 6.2% −239.00

Soft 600 55 9.2% −151.68

Heavy 140 15 10.7% +0.88

Firm 22 3 13.6% +9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 575 55 9.6% −32.70

Southwell (AW) 554 76 13.7% −73.43

Newcastle (AW) 514 47 9.1% −76.17

Redcar 473 25 5.3% −253.54

Beverley 371 29 7.8% −66.95

Thirsk 331 25 7.6% −81.42

Catterick 275 33 12% +19.93

York 264 9 3.4% −125.30

Pontefract 251 14 5.6% −77.12

Doncaster 249 6 2.4% −192.79

Ripon 239 21 8.8% −7.47

Newcastle 238 27 11.3% +23.00

Hamilton 210 23 11% −7.67

Musselburgh 202 25 12.4% −1.50

Ayr 193 14 7.3% −74.20

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 2,113 189 8.9% −489.11

Class 6 1,815 176 9.7% −215.53

Class 4 1,123 91 8.1% −351.66

Class 2 409 30 7.3% −65.25

Class 3 392 25 6.4% −165.84

Class 1 115 5 4.3% −74.92

Class 7 24 3 12.5% +26.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 433 125 28.9% 1.07 −38.70

2nd–3rd fav 1,039 167 16.1% 1.02 −159.11

4th–6th fav 1,989 157 7.9% 1.01 −294.50

7th+ in betting 2,538 71 2.8% 0.85 −849.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 2,498 186 7.4% −677.64

Under 6f 1,233 133 10.8% −41.76

1m – 1m1f 1,099 90 8.2% −287.85

1m2f – 1m4f 906 88 9.7% −239.96

1m5f – 2m 246 22 8.9% −94.10

2m1f – 2m4f 17 1 5.9% +0.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 190 11 5.8% −122.17

2009 213 25 11.7% −3.25

2010 544 60 11% −109.86

2011 421 50 11.9% +10.82

2012 483 42 8.7% −119.11

2013 469 41 8.7% −72.12

2014 394 22 5.6% −165.17

2015 417 30 7.2% −73.59

2016 450 30 6.7% −126.17

2017 334 25 7.5% −100.62

2018 307 27 8.8% −82.93

2019 361 49 13.6% +44.52

2020 426 37 8.7% −117.53

2021 178 11 6.2% −115.69

2022 240 21 8.8% −28.92

2023 114 4 3.5% −85.38

2025 170 16 9.4% +47.95

2026 288 19 6.6% −122.09

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 4,311 377 8.7% −890.27

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 2,029 169 8.3% −695.58

11-13 runners 1,850 145 7.8% −349.26

5-7 runners 979 130 13.3% −15.79

14-16 runners 715 44 6.2% −158.55

17+ runners 350 17 4.9% −85.12

2-4 runners 76 15 19.7% −37.01

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Keep It Dark (GB) 36 4 13 1 Jan 16

Thatcherite (IRE) 27 4 9 19 Jun 17

Flicka's Boy (GB) 26 2 8 7 May 17

Phoenix Clubs (IRE) 24 3 10 15 Aug 13

Warfare (GB) 23 2 6 23 Aug 18

Taffetta (GB) 21 2 7 25 Oct 16

Sir George (IRE) 21 4 12 2 Jan 13

Ours (IRE) 20 3 7 20 Sep 11

Abate (GB) 19 4 7 16 May 23

Maureb (IRE) 19 1 7 31 Jan 19

Adherence (GB) 19 2 6 12 Oct 17

Shillito (GB) 19 0 4 24 Sep 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 2,639 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1511887108788812

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRichard Fahey

19% of all rides
10.7% SR · A/E 1.04

TrainerRWSR£1

Richard Fahey 1,121 120 10.7% −269.43

Tony Coyle 740 52 7% −246.88

Adrian Nicholls 281 25 8.9% −120.00

Brian Ellison 249 42 16.9% −13.52

Paul Midgley 228 17 7.5% −11.90

Tracy Waggott 213 21 9.9% −50.62

Julie Camacho 163 13 8% −31.67

Noel Wilson 141 8 5.7% −59.50

Marjorie Fife 140 10 7.1% −44.25

Ollie Pears 128 20 15.6% +13.70

James Given 127 15 11.8% −8.80

Geoff Oldroyd 118 8 6.8% −23.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

524

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.00m

Prize money

2010

Best season · 60 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Red Balloons (GB) — Goffs UK Premier Yearling Stakes York · Aug 2018 · Class 2

£147,540

Bengali Boys (IRE) — Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes Newbury · Jul 2017 · Class 2

£122,925

Summer Sands (GB) — Racing TV Redcar Two Year Old Trophy (Listed) Redcar · Oct 2019 · Listed

£99,243

Notable horses

Stanley Rigby (GB) Keep It Dark (GB) Thatcherite (IRE) Sir George (IRE) Abate (GB) Tees Spirit (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Monsieur Bond (IRE) 4.6% · 5–109

Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,982 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.

Acclamation (GB) 9.7% · 10–103

Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Kodiac (GB) 11.9% · 12–101

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,606 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.

Royal Applause (GB) 9.7% · 9–93

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Kyllachy (GB) 11% · 10–91

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 9.1% · 8–88

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,220 runs since 2009 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,036 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,036 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2006 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Pete's Angel (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Virgin Bet Supports Safer Gambling Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 14/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Sands of Seve (GB)T: Stephen Hanlon All-Weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 20/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Star Material (IRE)T: Adrian Keatley Prestige Vehicles Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 14/1

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Sue's Last Chance (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 11/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Wobwobwob (IRE)T: Adrian Keatley Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 6/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Ninety Nine (IRE)T: John Wainwright Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 14th 100/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Miss Tino (GB)T: David Thompson Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 9th 50/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Uncertainty (IRE)T: Simon Whitaker Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Selling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Heavy · 12 ran 5th 16/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Take The A Train (GB)T: Stephen Hanlon Market Cross Jewellers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 28/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Rhythm N Hooves (GB)T: Robert Cowell Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 5/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Wobwobwob (IRE)T: Adrian Keatley William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 20/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Crown Inn To Win (IRE)T: Ivan Furtado bettingsites.co.uk New Betting Sites Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 33/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Miss Tino (GB)T: David Thompson Every Race Live On Racing TV Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 7 ran 5th 200/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Uncertainty (IRE)T: Simon Whitaker racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 18 ran 1st 40/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Wrestling Revenue (IRE)T: Ben Haslam Sam Hall Memorial Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 4th 10/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Waiting For Archie (GB)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Every Race Live On Racing TV Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 13/2

10 Oct 26 York Castle Stuart (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 2 · 10.5f · Soft · 18 ran 13th 13/2

09 Oct 26 York Pete's Angel (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey William Hill Epic Boosts Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 4th 100/1

05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Sun Lord (FR)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 12/1

05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Sue's Last Chance (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 30 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Barry McHugh's strike rate?: Barry McHugh has won 520 of 5,999 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Barry McHugh do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 76 wins from 554 rides (13.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Barry McHugh ride most for?: Richard Fahey, with 1,121 rides since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 120 (10.7%).
Is Barry McHugh in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Barry McHugh's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 5,960 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.