Jamie Moriarty
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 320 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (52 rides).
The record is strongest at Pontefract (15.6%, n=32), clear of the rider's 8.5% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.3% (n=52, Fair A/E 0.98), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.7% (n=148, Fair A/E 0.97). Paul Midgley supplied 29% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (5.5% vs 8.5%, A/E 0.82). The rider also read well over 1m – 1m1f (14.4%, n=118). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.6% over 38 rides, 5.9pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Rowan Lodge (IRE) — 5 wins from 18 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Jun–Jul.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,341 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,341 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 28 July 2009.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Jamie Moriarty's strike rate?
- Jamie Moriarty has won 54 of 632 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jamie Moriarty do best at?
- Pontefract by strike rate: 5 wins from 32 rides (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Jamie Moriarty ride most for?
- Paul Midgley, with 183 rides since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (5.5%).
- What is Jamie Moriarty's Fair A/E?
- 1.02, from 629 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.