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Jockey profile

Michael J Murphy

127 rides in the lifetime window · 96 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jul 2014 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
10–127
Wins / Runs
7.9%
Strike rate
n=127
34 (27%)
Placed
0.74
Fair A/E
n=125 · 0.63 incl. margin
−66.71
£1 level stake
n=127 at SP · −52.5%
£40,392
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.74).

Deterministic profile computed from 127 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming: 8.2%
The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 8.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −60.71 to a £1 stake over 110 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The rider also read well off a 8-14-day break (17.1%, n=35) and over 1m – 1m1f (12.9%, n=31). The record read poorly off a 15-30-day break — 4.5% over 44 rides, 3.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 5: Fair A/E 0.60 across 50 rides (6% strike, −36.38 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.3%−1.6
n=95 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −48.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
12.5%+4.6
n=16 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −9.33
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−7.9
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
When favourite
18.8%
n=16 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −7.21
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.2%+0.3
n=110 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −60.71
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−7.9
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 17.1% vs 7.9% · n=35
Over 1m – 1m1f 12.9% vs 7.9% · n=31
On Good to Firm going 12.1% vs 7.9% · n=33
Off a 15-30-day break 4.5% vs 7.9% · n=44
In Class 6 10.7% vs 7.9% · n=56
In Class 5 6% vs 7.9% · n=50 · A/E 0.60
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 47 3 6.4% −29.00
Good to Firm 33 4 12.1% −11.33
Good 20 1 5% −8.00
Good to Soft 15 1 6.7% −11.88
Soft 9 1 11.1% −3.50
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 19 2 10.5% −6.00
Yarmouth 15 4 26.7% +6.79
Lingfield (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Kempton (AW) 9 1 11.1% −4.00
Southwell (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Doncaster 6 0 0% −6.00
Leicester 5 0 0% −5.00
Nottingham 5 0 0% −5.00
Salisbury 4 1 25% +1.50
Sandown 4 1 25% +0.00
Brighton 4 0 0% −4.00
Haydock 4 0 0% −4.00
Newmarket 3 0 0% −3.00
Warwick 3 0 0% −3.00
Chepstow 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 56 6 10.7% −13.33
Class 5 50 3 6% −36.38
Class 4 10 1 10% −6.00
Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 17 3 17.6% 0.72 −8.21
2nd–3rd fav 33 5 15.2% 1.01 −4.50
4th–6th fav 36 2 5.6% 0.68 −13.00
7th+ in betting 41 0 0% 0.00 −41.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rough Rock (IRE) 6 2 2 10 Oct 11
Axiom (GB) 5 0 1 1 Jun 12
Presvis (GB) 5 1 3 24 Jul 08
Ezdeyaad (USA) 4 0 2 27 Jun 12
Dannios (GB) 4 2 2 3 Oct 11
Jennie Jerome (IRE) 3 1 3 15 Sep 08
Isdaal (GB) 2 0 0 26 Jun 12
Raamz (IRE) 2 0 0 13 Apr 12
Drawnfromthepast (IRE) 2 0 1 15 Oct 11
Harley Fern (GB) 2 0 0 20 May 10
Tevez (GB) 2 0 2 5 Apr 10
Denton Ryal (GB) 2 0 0 20 Oct 09
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 96 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00086092260050
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Ed Walker 19 2 10.5% −5.33
Luca Cumani 18 2 11.1% −10.88
Chris Dwyer 8 2 25% +8.00
Michael Wigham 6 0 0% −6.00
Kevin Morgan 5 0 0% −5.00
D Donovan 5 0 0% −5.00
Ronald Harris 4 0 0% −4.00
William Knight 4 1 25% +1.00
Rod Millman 2 1 50% +3.50
S W James 2 0 0% −2.00
Mark Rimmer 2 0 0% −2.00
Ruth Carr 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
10
Archived wins
£41,936
Prize money
2011
Best season · 5 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Presvis (GB) — Variety Club Day On 30th August Handicap Sandown · Jul 2008 · Class 4
£5,828
Castano (GB) — Axminster Carpets Apprentice Handicap Salisbury · Aug 2008 · Class 5
£3,238
Jennie Jerome (IRE) — Firstbet 50 Matched Telephone Betting 0800 230 0800 Handicap Yarmouth · Aug 2008 · Class 5
£2,720
Notable horses
Rough Rock (IRE) Dannios (GB) Presvis (GB) Jennie Jerome (IRE) Castano (GB) Trip Switch (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Pivotal (GB) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,788 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,565 runs since 2008 (871 horses).
Sakhee (USA) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,981 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 611. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.2% from 139.
Lemon Drop Kid (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 12.8% of 1,419 runs since 2008 (122 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 9.6% from 198.
Mind Games (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,234 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.5% from 104.
Primo Valentino (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,160 runs since 2008 (78 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.6% from 132. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.2% from 181. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 3.3% from 183.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 142 · newest first

The latest 50 of 142 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 29 September 2006 to 14 July 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Jul 14 Lingfield (AW) Red Willow (GB)T: John E Long 32red.com Classified Claiming StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 50/1
06 Jun 14 Goodwood Iseemist (IRE)T: John Gallagher EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Fillies' HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 4th 5/1
07 Aug 13 Yarmouth Choral Prince (IRE)T: Mike Murphy Greatyarmouth-racecourse.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Good To Firm · 3 ran 3rd 9/2
11 Apr 13 Kempton (AW) Legal Pursuit (GB)T: Edward Bevan Mascot Grand National 06.05.13 Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 50/1
28 Feb 13 Kempton (AW) Bow To No One (IRE)T: Alan Jarvis BetVictor Non Runner No Bet At Cheltenham HandicapClass 4 · 16f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 16/1
05 Jul 12 Yarmouth Camera Shy (IRE)T: Kevin Morgan Injured Jockeys Fund 'hands And Heels' Apprentice Series HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 4th 6/1
28 Jun 12 Yarmouth Primo Lady (GB)T: Gay Kelleway Best Prices At BetVictor.com HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 6th 40/1
27 Jun 12 Kempton (AW) Ezdeyaad (USA)T: Ed Walker Olly Murs Live At Kempton 17.08.12 Handicap (London Mile Qualifier)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 14/1
26 Jun 12 Newbury Isdaal (GB)T: Kevin Morgan Pump Technology Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 3/1F
13 Jun 12 Yarmouth New Leyf (IRE)T: Ed Walker BetVictor For Euro 2012 HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 12th 7/1
06 Jun 12 Nottingham Gracie's Games (GB)T: Richard Price Play Big Money Totejackpot At Totepool.com HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 4th 6/1
01 Jun 12 Epsom Downs Axiom (GB)T: Ed Walker Investec Mile (handicap)Class 2 · 8.5f · Good · 17 ran 16th 33/1
18 May 12 Newmarket Midnight Rider (IRE)T: Chris Wall Racing Excellence 'hands And Heels' Apprentice Series HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 6th 3/1F
11 May 12 Nottingham Whiskey Junction (GB)T: Mick Quinn Calverts Carpets York Ltd Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 10/1
07 May 12 Beverley Yes It's The Boy (USA)T: Ed Walker White Rabbit Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11th 6/1
13 Apr 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Raamz (IRE)T: Kevin Morgan 32red.com Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 33/1
11 Apr 12 Kempton (AW) Bull Five (GB)T: Nick Littmoden Win Big With Betdaq Multiples Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 15/2
07 Apr 12 Kempton (AW) Axiom (GB)T: Ed Walker Betfred Goals Galore Handicap (London Mile Qualifier)Class 2 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 10/1
30 Mar 12 Lingfield (AW) Raamz (IRE)T: Kevin Morgan Barry O'Connor Celebration Birthday Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 12/1
30 Mar 12 Lingfield (AW) Isdaal (GB)T: Kevin Morgan Laurence Wright Retirement HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 7/2F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael J Murphy's strike rate?
Michael J Murphy has won 10 of 127 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Michael J Murphy's Fair A/E?
0.74, from 125 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).