What is Morgan Cole's strike rate?

Morgan Cole has won 43 of 573 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Morgan Cole do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 11 wins from 104 rides (10.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Morgan Cole ride most for?

Ed Dunlop, with 76 rides since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (9.2%).

What is Morgan Cole's Fair A/E?

0.88, from 568 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Morgan Cole

573 rides in the lifetime window · 325 individual horses

As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2025 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

43–573

Wins / Runs

7.5%

Strike rate

n=573

144 (25%)

Placed

0.88

Fair A/E

n=568 · 0.75 incl. margin

−268.45

£1 level stake

n=573 at SP · −46.8%

£440k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (49 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 573 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 11 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Sep 32.4% when favourite Ed Dunlop: 9.2% from 76 First rides: 8.6% LTO winners: 18.4% Rides the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (10.6%, n=104), clear of the rider's 7.5% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.4% (n=49, Fair A/E 1.05). Ed Dunlop supplies 13% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.2%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Class 4 (11.4%, n=88). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 2.2% over 45 rides, 5.3pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.6%+1.1

n=325 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −173.12

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

18.4%+10.9

n=49 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +58.05

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6%−1.5

n=83 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −58.25

When favourite

32.4%

n=34 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −3.96

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.3%−0.2

n=509 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −232.90

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.1%−1.4

n=49 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +38.82

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Sir Mark Prescott Bt 22.4% vs 7.5% · n=49

On last-time-out winners 18.4% vs 7.5% · n=49

With John Butler 13.9% vs 7.5% · n=36

On Soft going 2.2% vs 7.5% · n=45

In Class 4 11.4% vs 7.5% · n=88

At Wolverhampton (AW) 10.6% vs 7.5% · n=104

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 340 27 7.9% −205.28

Good to Firm 85 6 7.1% +26.50

Good 51 5 9.8% −14.42

Soft 45 1 2.2% −40.50

Good to Soft 37 3 8.1% −25.75

Heavy 12 1 8.3% −6.00

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 104 11 10.6% −38.95

Southwell (AW) 56 3 5.4% −40.30

Kempton (AW) 55 5 9.1% −33.95

Chelmsford City (AW) 51 2 3.9% −40.88

Lingfield (AW) 43 3 7% −31.20

Newcastle (AW) 31 3 9.7% −20.00

Yarmouth 21 1 4.8% −14.00

Catterick 16 0 0% −16.00

Bath 15 0 0% −15.00

Haydock 15 1 6.7% +66.00

Brighton 15 1 6.7% −8.50

Lingfield 14 1 7.1% −11.00

Nottingham 14 1 7.1% −8.00

Doncaster 13 0 0% −13.00

Chepstow 12 2 16.7% −4.17

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 250 18 7.2% −128.90

Class 5 196 14 7.1% −142.76

Class 4 88 10 11.4% +36.71

Class 2 25 1 4% −19.50

Class 3 12 0 0% −12.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 40 14 35% 1.27 +1.54

2nd–3rd fav 111 16 14.4% 0.94 −30.49

4th–6th fav 172 12 7% 0.88 −70.50

7th+ in betting 250 1 0.4% 0.14 −169.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Genesius (IRE) 22 3 11 14 Oct 24

Street Life (GB) 19 3 7 25 Jun 25

The Tron (GB) 14 2 10 7 Dec 23

Battle Point (IRE) 10 0 2 29 Sep 25

Cerulean Summer (IRE) 7 1 5 18 Feb 25

Cubanista (GB) 7 0 3 9 Oct 24

Almodovar Del Rio (IRE) 7 1 3 6 Jun 23

Turner Girl (IRE) 6 1 6 10 May 24

Gonzaga (GB) 6 0 1 28 Jul 23

Piselli Molli (IRE) 6 1 2 22 Jun 22

Sterling Knight (GB) 5 1 2 25 May 24

Nikki's Girl (IRE) 5 1 2 27 Feb 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 325 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

4481274121111455

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardEd Dunlop

13% of all rides
9.2% SR · A/E 1.16

TrainerRWSR£1

Ed Dunlop 76 7 9.2% −37.88

Marco Botti 59 3 5.1% −38.00

Sir Mark Prescott Bt 49 11 22.4% −10.62

Dylan Cunha 48 4 8.3% −7.50

John Butler 36 5 13.9% −13.57

Derek Shaw 32 2 6.3% −26.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

£440k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 18 wins

Soar Above (GB) — Wise Betting At Racing TV Handicap Kempton (AW) · Apr 2022 · Class 2

£12,885

Street Life (GB) — Sky Bet Sunday Apprentice Training Series Handicap Haydock · Sep 2021 · Class 4

£12,885

Toby Tops (GB) — Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Ascot · May 2025 · Class 4

£8,451

Notable horses

Genesius (IRE) Street Life (GB) The Tron (GB) Soar Above (GB) Almodovar Del Rio (IRE) Cerulean Summer (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Teofilo (IRE) 12% · 3–25

Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,092 runs since 2011 (908 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.2% from 628.

Hot Streak (IRE) 15.8% · 3–19

Progeny have won 8% of 1,761 runs since 2019 (123 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 782. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.9% from 154.

Outstrip (GB) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,290 runs since 2019 (240 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 635. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 265.

Havana Gold (IRE) 0% · 0–18

Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,064 runs since 2017 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.

Oasis Dream (GB) 0% · 0–17

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,050 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,989 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 573 · newest first

The latest 50 of 573 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 August 2018 to 30 October 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Lilykoy (GB)T: Dylan Cunha Flutter Proudly Supporting Pancreatic Cancer UK Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 125/1

18 Oct 25 Catterick Lilykoy (GB)T: Dylan Cunha EBF 'Confined' Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 7th 125/1

09 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Showmethewayhome (IRE)T: Ewan Whillans Arc All-Weather 1MILLION Bonus Returns Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 25/1

07 Oct 25 Southwell (AW) Lilykoy (GB)T: Dylan Cunha Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 28/1

30 Sep 25 Bath In The Post (GB)T: Dylan Cunha BetWright Bet The Wright Way Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 7th 14/1

29 Sep 25 Brighton Battle Point (IRE)T: Michael Attwater Streamline Always Leading The Way Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 50/1

26 Sep 25 Newcastle (AW) Valley Ofthe Kings (SAF)T: Dylan Cunha Arc 1MILLION Bonus Bigger Than Ever Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 7/2

22 Sep 25 Leicester Desert Beauty (GB)T: Dylan Cunha Visit racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 17/2

20 Sep 25 Chester Run Of Luck (GB)T: Ed de Giles Tribal Society HandicapClass 5 · 14.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 4th 15/2

17 Sep 25 Sandown Huggable (GB)T: Dylan Cunha Visit Sri Lanka Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 4/1

11 Sep 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Desert Beauty (GB)T: Dylan Cunha Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 10/1

08 Sep 25 Lingfield (AW) Battle Point (IRE)T: Michael Attwater Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 14/1

07 Sep 25 York Onemorenomore (GB)T: Philip McBride Sky Bet, For The Fans Mile Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good · 16 ran 15th 50/1

30 Aug 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Battle Point (IRE)T: Michael Attwater Estrella Galicia Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 22/1

23 Aug 25 Newmarket Mythical Night (IRE)T: Dylan Cunha 100,000 Tattersalls Somerville Auction Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 20 ran 18th 150/1

22 Aug 25 Newmarket Huggable (GB)T: Dylan Cunha JenningsBet Sudbury HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 2nd 9/4

21 Aug 25 York Lady Mariko (GB)T: Dylan Cunha British EBF Fillies' Handicap (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 5th 66/1

15 Aug 25 Epsom Downs Huggable (GB)T: Dylan Cunha Betfred Play Fred's 5 Million HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 1st 20/1

08 Aug 25 Thirsk Crocus Time (IRE)T: Ron Barr goracing.co.uk Future Stars Apprentice Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 11/2

08 Jul 25 Lingfield Just King High (IRE)T: Dylan Cunha Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Morgan Cole's strike rate?: Morgan Cole has won 43 of 573 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Morgan Cole do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 11 wins from 104 rides (10.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Morgan Cole ride most for?: Ed Dunlop, with 76 rides since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (9.2%).
What is Morgan Cole's Fair A/E?: 0.88, from 568 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.