Rossa Ryan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 410 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (963 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 2 winners in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.
The record is strongest at Ffos Las (27.2%, n=103) and Pontefract (24.4%, n=78) — all clear of the rider's 15.4% baseline. It is weakest at Dundalk (AW) (3% over 33 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22.8% (n=963, Fair A/E 1.08), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 8.9% (n=892, Fair A/E 1.16). Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 2 from 24 rides in the last 14 days (8.3%, 7.1pts below the 15.4% baseline). Ralph Beckett supplies 14% of the rides and beats the rider's average (20.6% vs 15.4%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (25.9%, n=305). 57 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2024, £2,484,348). The standout partner of the record: Annaf (IRE) — 5 wins from 12 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Dec–Mar.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 15.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Quiet spellBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2016→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 7,855 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 7,855 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 October 2016 to 7 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 12 runs (won 3) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 19 runs (won 7, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 17 runs (won 5) · to 7 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Rossa Ryan's strike rate?
- Rossa Ryan has won 1,212 of 7,855 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 15.4% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Rossa Ryan do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 200 wins from 981 rides (20.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Rossa Ryan ride most for?
- Ralph Beckett, with 1,125 rides since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 232 (20.6%).
- Is Rossa Ryan in form?
- In the last 14 days: 24 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 8.3%. That is below the baseline of 15.4% since 2008.
- What is Rossa Ryan's Fair A/E?
- 1.07, from 7,806 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.