No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.9%−0.6
n=51 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −31.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−4.5
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−4.5
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
0%
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.7%−0.8
n=27 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −22.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On first rides for the horse3.9% vs 4.5% · n=51 · A/E 0.47
In Flat races4.5% vs 4.5% · n=67 · A/E 0.48
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)2500%−25.00
Good16212.5%+2.00
Good to Firm1516.7%−8.50
Good to Soft600%−6.00
Soft400%−4.00
Heavy100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW)1300%−13.00
Wolverhampton (AW)1100%−11.00
Musselburgh9111.1%−2.50
Doncaster500%−5.00
Hamilton400%−4.00
Warwick300%−3.00
Newbury200%−2.00
Redcar200%−2.00
Catterick2150%+3.00
Goodwood200%−2.00
Ascot200%−2.00
Chester100%−1.00
Leicester100%−1.00
Ayr100%−1.00
Haydock100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 64624.3%−34.50
Class 51815.6%−5.00
Class 4300%−3.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite6116.7%0.64−1.00
2nd–3rd fav1616.3%0.48−9.50
4th–6th fav2100%0.00−21.00
7th+ in betting2414.2%1.05−11.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f2514%−12.00
1m – 1m1f1400%−14.00
1m5f – 2m1218.3%−5.50
6f – 7f900%−9.00
Under 6f7114.3%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20082328.7%−5.00
20092414.2%−17.50
20101600%−16.00
2011400%−4.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps6634.5%−41.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners3113.2%−18.00
14-16 runners2214.5%−17.00
8-10 runners9111.1%−2.50
17+ runners500%−5.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 57 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00000801702000
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Jake Black (IRE) — Bollinger Champagne Series Final Amateurs' Handicap York · Aug 2005 · Class 4
£7,254
Dragon Slayer (IRE) — Variety Club Amateur Derby Handicap Sandown · Aug 2008 · Class 5
£6,246
Jake Black (IRE) — Bollinger Champagne Challenge Series Amateur Handicap Pontefract · Aug 2005 · Class 5
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,176 runs since 2008 (140 horses).
Zafonic (USA)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.7% of 658 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.2% from 190.
Bahamian Bounty (GB)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.
Bertolini (USA)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Groom Dancer (USA)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7% of 1,020 runs since 2008 (94 horses).
Kris (GB)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 6.7% of 179 runs since 2008 (14 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 150 · newest first
The latest 50 of 150 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2005 to 27 June 2011.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mr S Dobson's strike rate?
Mr S Dobson has won 3 of 67 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr S Dobson's Fair A/E?
0.48, from 67 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mr S Dobson·SR 4.5%·A/E 0.48
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