What is C A Murphy's strike rate?

C A Murphy has won 195 of 1,890 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does C A Murphy do best at?

Wexford by strike rate: 11 wins from 66 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for C A Murphy?

M P Fogarty, with 175 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (8%).

Is C A Murphy in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is C A Murphy's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 1,889 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

C A Murphy

1,890 runners in the lifetime window · 293 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 95% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

195–1,890

Wins / Runs

10.3%

Strike rate

n=1,890

541 (29%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=1,889 · 0.81 incl. margin

−592.68

£1 level stake

n=1,890 at SP · −31.4%

£4.58m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). In Group and Graded company the record reads 19% (247 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,890 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Mar 33.2% when favourite M P Fogarty: 8% from 175 Group/Graded: 19% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 19% (n=247, Fair A/E 1.43), but a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 2.6% (n=39, Fair A/E 0.36). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 3% strike, Fair A/E 0.50 and −137.75 to a £1 stake over 197 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. M P Fogarty rides 9% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (8% vs 10.3%, A/E 0.74). The yard also reads well in Class 1 (18.6%, n=264). 56 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Smurfit Kappa Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham (Mar 2006, £202,683). The stable star of the record: Big Zeb (IRE) — 13 wins from 33 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.8%−1.5

n=524 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −217.98

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.6%−6.7

n=55 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −39.00

Debutants · first career start

3%−7.3

n=197 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −137.75

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.1%−5.2

n=99 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −49.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

2.6%−7.7

n=39 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −32.00

When favourite

33.2%

n=190 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −19.99

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.3%−3.0

n=772 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −275.28

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

19%+8.7

n=247 · A/E 1.43 · £1 −17.91

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 26% vs 10.3% · n=196

With Barry Geraghty 27.5% vs 10.3% · n=51

With Davy Russell 24.2% vs 10.3% · n=91

With C&D winners 21.6% vs 10.3% · n=111

In Group / Graded races 19% vs 10.3% · n=247

In Class 1 18.6% vs 10.3% · n=264

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,065 99 9.3% −315.09

Chase 505 69 13.7% −127.92

NH Flat 226 17 7.5% −123.72

Flat 94 10 10.6% −25.95

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 716 71 9.9% −267.37

Heavy 421 52 12.4% −126.08

Good 409 37 9% −98.61

Good to Soft 174 15 8.6% −50.07

Good to Firm 133 15 11.3% −40.85

Firm 21 1 4.8% −15.00

Standard (AW) 16 4 25% +5.30

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 228 22 9.6% −91.69

Fairyhouse 186 23 12.4% −41.52

Leopardstown 147 15 10.2% −68.45

Navan 125 18 14.4% −13.25

Cork 103 6 5.8% −45.88

Naas 100 15 15% −32.92

Down Royal 87 12 13.8% +54.75

Gowran Park 83 6 7.2% −54.25

Clonmel 80 11 13.8% −31.77

Limerick 75 5 6.7% −54.75

Wexford 66 11 16.7% +6.75

Tipperary 57 6 10.5% −32.13

Killarney 54 4 7.4% −29.67

Thurles 53 5 9.4% +3.25

Galway 53 1 1.9% −47.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 264 49 18.6% −16.91

Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 4 4 1 25% −0.50

Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 220 69 31.4% 1.13 −24.99

2nd–3rd fav 465 66 14.2% 0.99 −131.19

4th–6th fav 541 43 7.9% 1.13 −91.50

7th+ in betting 664 17 2.6% 0.80 −345.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 826 98 11.9% −135.85

1m5f – 2m 655 53 8.1% −332.48

2m5f – 3m 317 33 10.4% −108.73

Over 3m 42 6 14.3% +5.83

1m2f – 1m4f 34 5 14.7% −5.45

1m – 1m1f 10 0 0% −10.00

6f – 7f 6 0 0% −6.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 230 25 10.9% −82.70

2009 260 19 7.3% −162.87

2010 187 26 13.9% −43.55

2011 162 29 17.9% +26.82

2012 158 16 10.1% −25.67

2013 135 15 11.1% −23.02

2014 130 11 8.5% −56.92

2015 60 5 8.3% −41.79

2016 44 8 18.2% +14.33

2019 6 0 0% −6.00

2020 52 0 0% −52.00

2021 74 7 9.5% +61.00

2022 70 9 12.9% −15.18

2023 83 9 10.8% −44.98

2024 107 5 4.7% −64.07

2025 76 5 6.6% −44.75

2026 56 6 10.7% −31.33

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 643 62 9.6% −153.54

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

17+ runners 585 30 5.1% −359.87

14-16 runners 530 56 10.6% −36.58

11-13 runners 378 39 10.3% −115.90

8-10 runners 251 32 12.7% −59.16

5-7 runners 135 33 24.4% −19.68

2-4 runners 11 5 45.5% −1.49

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.6% completed · 1,570 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 505 73.7% 63 15 51 1 3

Hurdle 1,065 92.7% 19 6 44 7 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mister Hotelier (IRE)then Michael J McDonagh 36 4 13 15 Sep 16

Glam Gerry (IRE) 29 3 8 26 Oct 14

Aladdins Cave (GB)from Gordon Elliott · then R K Watson 29 10 16 30 Jul 14

Gates Of Rome (IRE)from P M J Doyle 28 4 14 17 May 13

Top Spin (IRE)from John Joseph Murphy · then Jonjo O'Neill 27 1 6 2 Aug 15

Voler La Vedette (IRE) 27 13 20 28 Dec 12

Big Zeb (IRE) 26 12 18 27 Dec 12

Quito De La Roque (FR) 25 9 14 5 Apr 14

Corr Point (IRE)from Jamie Osborne 22 0 4 9 Oct 14

Gondor (IRE) 21 1 7 12 May 25

Macs Charm (IRE)then Ciaran Murphy 21 4 7 21 Apr 25

Shariyan (IRE)from John M Oxx 21 3 5 27 Jul 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 293 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive; 46 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for Gavin Cromwell (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

141313106111011412713

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderM P Fogarty

9% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 0.74

RiderRWSR£1

M P Fogarty 175 14 8% −96.19

Robbie Power 149 23 15.4% +12.01

Mr M M O'Connor 140 15 10.7% −57.07

Brian Hayes 133 24 18% −1.61

Davy Russell 91 22 24.2% +18.77

Mark Walsh 86 9 10.5% −23.25

Alan Crowe 81 0 0% −81.00

Liam McKenna 79 2 2.5% −67.17

Sean Flanagan 51 5 9.8% −10.75

Barry Geraghty 51 14 27.5% −1.12

Ross Berry 46 0 0% −46.00

Mr C Motherway 43 4 9.3% −8.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

260

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£6.27m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 29 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Brave Inca (IRE) — Smurfit Kappa Champion Hurdle (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2006 · Class 1

£202,683

Big Zeb (IRE) — Seasons Holidays Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2010 · Class 1

£182,432

Brave Inca (IRE) — AIG Europe Champion Hurdle (Grade 1) Leopardstown · Jan 2006 · Grade 1

£100,000

Notable horses

Big Zeb (IRE) Voler La Vedette (IRE) Aladdins Cave (GB) Quito De La Roque (FR) Brave Inca (IRE) Impervious (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beneficial (GB) 11.2% · 15–134

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

King's Theatre (IRE) 18.6% · 18–97

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Oscar (IRE) 24% · 18–75

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Presenting (GB) 9.3% · 5–54

Progeny have won 11% of 20,050 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Flemensfirth (USA) 8.2% · 4–49

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Westerner (GB) 16.3% · 7–43

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,837 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,412 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,412 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2005 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Stay Gold (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle W.b. Gavin & Co. Handicap Hurdle22f · Heavy · 12 ran 8th 12/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Jetaway Mountain (IRE)J: Ross Berry William Hill Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 100/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Grey Balls Of Fire (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle William Hill Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 28/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) River Tara (IRE)J: Brian Hayes McGrady Financial Services Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 18/1

08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Lunar Majesty (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Waterford Greenway Beginners Steeplechase20.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 7th 12/1

30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) River Tara (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Frank O'Beirne Memorial Beginners Steeplechase26f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 12/1

25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Jetaway Mountain (IRE)J: Brian Hayes John J. Galvin Maiden Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 8th 66/1

20 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) River Tara (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran 9th 80/1

11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Lunar Majesty (IRE)J: Ross Berry Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 6th 18/1

07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Thurman (IRE)J: Ross Berry Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 14 ran 8th 50/1

07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Layenda (IRE)J: Ross Berry Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 14 ran 12th 28/1

23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Lunar Majesty (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle On August 29th Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 11 ran 6th 9/2

14 Jun 26 Downpatrick Layenda (IRE)J: Ross Berry Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle19f · Good · 12 ran 9th 25/1

14 Jun 26 Downpatrick Lunar Majesty (IRE)J: Ross Berry Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 12 ran 5th 5/1

08 Jun 26 Roscommon Haveigotnewsforyou (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly McGowan Accountancy Services Novice Chase16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 4th 25/1

08 May 26 Downpatrick Layenda (IRE)J: Ross Berry SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 200/1

07 May 26 Wexford Jetaway Mountain (IRE)J: Mr J P O'Rourke Racing Again 16th May (C & G) Point-To-Point Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 6th 13/2

02 May 26 Punchestown Goraibhmaithagat (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Palmerstown House Estate Pat Taaffe Handicap Chase (0-150) (Listed)24.5f · Yielding · 21 ran PU 12/1

29 Apr 26 Punchestown Zanoosh (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Channor Real Estate Group Novice Hurdle (Grade 1)24f · Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 11/4F

24 Apr 26 Kilbeggan Thurman (IRE)J: Ross Berry William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)19f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 9th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is C A Murphy's strike rate?: C A Murphy has won 195 of 1,890 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does C A Murphy do best at?: Wexford by strike rate: 11 wins from 66 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for C A Murphy?: M P Fogarty, with 175 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (8%).
Is C A Murphy in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is C A Murphy's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 1,889 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.