What is Christian Williams's strike rate?

Christian Williams has won 200 of 2,108 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Christian Williams do best at?

Fakenham by strike rate: 22 wins from 104 runners (21.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Christian Williams?

Jack Tudor, with 981 runners since 2008 — 47% of the total. That pairing has won 102 (10.4%).

Is Christian Williams in form?

In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 9.5% since 2008.

What is Christian Williams's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 2,106 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Christian Williams

2,108 runners in the lifetime window · 289 individual horses

As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.9% of 269 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.2–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 10 Nov 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago 97% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

200–2,108

Wins / Runs

9.5%

Strike rate

n=2,108

475 (23%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=2,106 · 0.83 incl. margin

−646.65

£1 level stake

n=2,108 at SP · −30.7%

£3.16m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 18% (82 runs, true-first definition). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,108 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Jun 30.7% when favourite Jack Tudor: 10.4% from 981 Headgear returns: 13.2% Claiming riders: 11.1% Group/Graded: 12.8% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Fakenham (21.2%, n=104), clear of the yard's 9.5% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 18.3% (n=82, Fair A/E 1.65), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 3.5% (n=144, Fair A/E 0.52). A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run are the standout value angle: 13.2% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.20 and +3.78 to a £1 stake over 114 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 17 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 9.5pts below the 9.5% baseline). Jack Tudor rides 47% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.4%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (20.9%, n=43) and beyond 3m (16.6%, n=362). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase at Ayr (Apr 2023, £112,540). The stable star of the record: Uno Mas (GB) — 13 wins from 52 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.8%−2.7

n=470 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −181.49

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.5%−6.0

n=144 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −98.12

Debutants · first career start

4.1%−5.4

n=148 · A/E 0.82 · £1 +2.12

First-time headgear · true-first definition

18.3%+8.8

n=82 · A/E 1.65 · £1 +15.12

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

13.2%+3.7

n=114 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +3.78

When favourite

30.7%

n=212 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −25.86

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.1%+1.6

n=642 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −177.77

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.8%+3.3

n=39 · A/E 1.60 · £1 +17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 20.4% vs 9.5% · n=191

At Fakenham 21.2% vs 9.5% · n=104

With James Bowen 20.6% vs 9.5% · n=97

Off a 0-7-day break 20.9% vs 9.5% · n=43

Beyond 3m 16.6% vs 9.5% · n=362

With first-time headgear 18.3% vs 9.5% · n=82

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,048 62 5.9% −500.90

Chase 896 134 15% −103.87

NH Flat 107 4 3.7% +15.12

Flat 57 0 0% −57.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 969 97 10% −365.43

Good to Soft 489 48 9.8% −210.14

Soft 384 32 8.3% +32.18

Heavy 150 12 8% −55.55

Good to Firm 98 11 11.2% −29.71

Standard (AW) 17 0 0% −17.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ffos Las 174 8 4.6% −125.54

Chepstow 147 4 2.7% −97.90

Newton Abbot 130 14 10.8% −75.54

Worcester 120 5 4.2% −81.50

Warwick 119 17 14.3% +135.07

Southwell 110 15 13.6% +7.63

Uttoxeter 108 8 7.4% −29.62

Fakenham 104 22 21.2% −9.92

Taunton 87 4 4.6% −49.59

Hereford 82 7 8.5% −43.92

Exeter 77 5 6.5% −20.88

Wincanton 76 5 6.6% −25.38

Stratford 69 4 5.8% −20.00

Bangor-on-Dee 53 5 9.4% −22.25

Ludlow 46 2 4.3% −33.62

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 904 65 7.2% −473.86

Class 5 736 85 11.5% −97.02

Class 3 246 23 9.3% −64.96

Class 2 134 14 10.4% −49.38

Class 1 67 10 14.9% +44.25

Class 6 14 2 14.3% −4.88

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 252 75 29.8% 1.02 −21.98

2nd–3rd fav 382 68 17.8% 1.06 −44.17

4th–6th fav 621 38 6.1% 0.84 −243.00

7th+ in betting 853 19 2.2% 0.80 −337.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84% completed · 1,944 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 896 81% 24 13 130 1 2

Hurdle 1,048 86.5% 18 7 112 3 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Cap Du Nord (FR) 71 10 20 21 Jun 25

Uno Mas (GB)from Paul Power 52 13 17 21 Apr 24

Kitty's Light (GB) 44 7 16 7 Nov 26

Jony Max (IRE) 42 5 18 18 Aug 25

Faded Fantasy (IRE)from G M Lyons 41 4 9 17 Oct 26

Planned Paradise (IRE) 33 4 11 7 Nov 26

Unspeakable (IRE) 33 3 7 18 Sep 26

Always Busy (IRE) 32 3 9 10 Jul 26

Strictlyadancer (IRE)from Sean Thomas Doyle 32 6 11 4 Dec 24

Prince Cleni (FR) 31 4 8 24 May 26

Limited Reserve (IRE)from Paul Morgan 28 4 8 8 Apr 23

Fever Dream (IRE) 27 5 11 18 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 289 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 29 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul Morgan (4) and Sean Thomas Doyle (3); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 53 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

0 from 17 0% · −9.5pts vs baseline

Last 14 days0%

Lifetime base9.5%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

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A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJack Tudor

47% of all rides
10.4% SR · A/E 1.04

RiderRWSR£1

Jack Tudor 981 102 10.4% −213.14

Nick Scholfield 300 21 7% −146.09

Ellis Collier 100 9 9% −30.50

James Bowen 97 20 20.6% +22.86

Adam Wedge 79 8 10.1% −29.50

Robert Dunne 36 2 5.6% −21.00

Mr J J Murphy-Knight 36 1 2.8% −33.50

Tom O'Brien 32 1 3.1% −25.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

200

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.16m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 32 wins

Kitty's Light (GB) — Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Ayr · Apr 2023 · Class 1

£112,540

Kitty's Light (GB) — bet365 Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Sandown · Apr 2023 · Class 1

£90,032

Cap Du Nord (FR) — Coral Trophy Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Kempton · Feb 2022 · Grade 3

£85,425

Notable horses

Uno Mas (GB) Cap Du Nord (FR) Kitty's Light (GB) Win My Wings (IRE) Strictlyadancer (IRE) Jony Max (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mahler (GB) 14% · 16–114

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,892 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Court Cave (IRE) 16.1% · 15–93

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,964 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Westerner (GB) 11% · 9–82

Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,867 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Voix Du Nord (FR) 14.1% · 10–71

Progeny have won 16.8% of 2,009 runs since 2010 (167 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 20.1% from 497. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.7% from 339.

Sholokhov (IRE) 13.2% · 9–68

Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,279 runs since 2008 (423 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 9.1% · 6–66

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,895 runs since 2013 (687 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,108 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,108 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 April 2017 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Aintree Nichoir (FR)J: Adam Wedge William Hill Extra Places Every Day "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 50/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso Kitty's Light (GB)J: Kielan Woods luckytiger.co.uk Bet 20 Win 20 Wishing Well Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 100/30

07 Nov 26 Aintree Lord Snootie (IRE)J: David Noonan Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 33/1

07 Nov 26 Aintree Deep Cave (IRE)J: Adam Wedge Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 12/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso Rule Me In (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Fifty Shades Of Earl Grey Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Forgive 'N Forget Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 4/5F

07 Nov 26 Kelso Planned Paradise (IRE)J: Ellis Collier Everything Kverneland Think Paxtons' David Edgar Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 28f · Good · 3 ran 3rd 7/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso Annual Invitation (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Graeme Todd Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 4th 7/1

06 Nov 26 Aintree Dixie Mafia (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Download The BetMGM App Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 25f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 4th 6/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow The Two Four (IRE)J: Jack Tudor LSL Racing 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 66/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Purple Fountain (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Free Tips On attheraces.com Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 7th 250/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Wheresdcueballgoin (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Ascot Colts And Fillies' Club Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 33/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot The Rarest Hour (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Ascot Colts And Fillies' Club Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8th 40/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Williethebuilder (IRE)J: Toby McCain-Mitchell Lavazza Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 6th 7/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Beau Quali (FR)J: Toby McCain-Mitchell Grundon Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 22/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Top Coeur (FR)J: Jack Tudor Grundon Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 20/1

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Some Buck (IRE)J: Adam Wedge bettingsites.co.uk Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 40/1

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Common People (IRE)J: Jack Tudor bettingsites.co.uk Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 66/1

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Pappariche (GB)J: Adam Wedge Overton Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 3rd 14/1

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Ker D'oudairies (FR)J: Adam Wedge Bangor-On-Dee Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 6/1

27 Oct 26 Newcastle Rule Me In (IRE)J: Kielan Woods attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 1st 11/10F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Christian Williams's strike rate?: Christian Williams has won 200 of 2,108 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Christian Williams do best at?: Fakenham by strike rate: 22 wins from 104 runners (21.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Christian Williams?: Jack Tudor, with 981 runners since 2008 — 47% of the total. That pairing has won 102 (10.4%).
Is Christian Williams in form?: In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 9.5% since 2008.
What is Christian Williams's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 2,106 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.