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Trainer profile

Deborah Cole

216 runners in the lifetime window · 28 individual horses
As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
20–216
Wins / Runs
9.3%
Strike rate
n=216
59 (27%)
Placed
0.97
n=216 · 0.85 incl. margin
−66.57
£1 level stake
n=216 at SP · −30.8%
£245k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97).

Deterministic profile computed from 216 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 26 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Chris Ward: 8.5% from 142
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.3% (n=70, Fair A/E 0.57). Chris Ward rides 66% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.5%, A/E 0.94). The yard also reads well in Chase races (21.3%, n=75) and off a 31-60-day break (12.9%, n=62). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 2.4% over 125 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Immortal Fame (IRE) — 5 wins from 13 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.3%−5.0
n=70 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −46.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.3%−3.0
n=16 · A/E 1.34 · £1 −7.50
Debutants · first career start
8.3%−1.0
n=12 · A/E 2.64 · £1 +39.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.3
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.3
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
55.6%
n=9 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +3.78
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9%−0.3
n=155 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −33.60
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.3
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 21.3% vs 9.3% · n=75
In Hurdle races 2.4% vs 9.3% · n=125
On Good to Soft going 4.7% vs 9.3% · n=43
With a new jockey booking 5.5% vs 9.3% · n=73
With horses switching code 13.6% vs 9.3% · n=44
Off a 31-60-day break 12.9% vs 9.3% · n=62
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 125 3 2.4% −104.50
Chase 75 16 21.3% +2.93
NH Flat 16 1 6.3% +35.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 115 11 9.6% −51.82
Good to Soft 43 2 4.7% −33.00
Soft 41 4 9.8% +23.75
Heavy 9 1 11.1% −6.50
Good to Firm 8 2 25% +1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Worcester 39 3 7.7% −13.50
Uttoxeter 24 3 12.5% −5.75
Stratford 19 2 10.5% −6.00
Hereford 16 2 12.5% −6.50
Warwick 16 1 6.3% +35.00
Bangor-on-Dee 13 1 7.7% −11.00
Fontwell 9 0 0% −9.00
Leicester 8 2 25% −1.00
Newton Abbot 8 1 12.5% −4.25
Huntingdon 7 0 0% −7.00
Cheltenham 6 0 0% −6.00
Market Rasen 6 1 16.7% −0.50
Southwell 5 1 20% +0.50
Newbury 4 0 0% −4.00
Wetherby 4 1 25% −2.47

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 104 12 11.5% −48.10
Class 5 73 6 8.2% +14.50
Class 3 24 1 4.2% −22.47
Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 2 7 1 14.3% −2.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 5 38.5% 1.22 −0.22
2nd–3rd fav 53 9 17% 0.94 −7.35
4th–6th fav 66 5 7.6% 0.99 −26.00
7th+ in betting 84 1 1.2% 0.53 −33.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80.5% completed · 200 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 75 85.3% 1 1 9 0 0
Hurdle 125 77.6% 1 1 26 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Magistrato (FR)from Paul Nicholls 21 4 11 20 Aug 26
Imac Wood (FR)from Daniela Mele 21 4 7 11 Nov 25
Hauraki Gulf (GB) 20 3 12 2 Mar 25
Trickalight (IRE)from Liam Kenny 14 0 2 11 Sep 24
Immortal Fame (IRE)from Tom Lacey 13 5 6 4 Jun 26
Jac Jumper (FR)from Francois Nicolle 12 0 3 2 Jul 25
Cabayo Lady (GB) 10 1 1 14 Nov 22
Flight Deck (IRE)from Jonjo O'Neill 9 0 2 1 Feb 25
Shes All Pride (IRE) 8 0 1 19 Jun 26
Feryl Beryl (GB) 8 0 0 22 Mar 25
All 28 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 28 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Dan Skelton (2) and Olly Murphy (2); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
21170066141467128
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderChris Ward
66% of all rides
8.5% SR · A/E 0.94
RiderRWSR£1
Chris Ward 142 12 8.5% −77.10
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
20
Archived wins
£245k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 7 wins
Magistrato (FR) — Brian And Sheila Vaughan Memorial Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Stratford · Aug 2025 · Class 2
£13,008
Magistrato (FR) — Bobby Renton Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Wetherby · Oct 2025 · Class 3
£8,450
Magistrato (FR) — Big Tolns Fernott, Big Day Out Handicap Chase Newton Abbot · Jul 2024 · Class 4
£6,839

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Westerner (GB) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,831 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Kapgarde (FR) 19% · 4–21
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,616 runs since 2008 (724 horses).
Karaktar (IRE) 19% · 4–21
Progeny have won 12.7% of 724 runs since 2008 (146 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.6% from 260. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 18.6% from 140.
Kayf Tara (GB) 15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,742 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Leading Light (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,201 runs since 2008 (225 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.
Fame And Glory (GB) 38.5% · 5–13
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,208 runs since 2008 (504 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 216 · newest first

The latest 50 of 216 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 June 2021 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Deborah Cole's strike rate?
Deborah Cole has won 20 of 216 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.3% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Deborah Cole do best at?
Worcester by strike rate: 3 wins from 39 runners (7.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Deborah Cole?
Chris Ward, with 142 runners since 2008 — 66% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (8.5%).
Is Deborah Cole in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Deborah Cole's Fair A/E?
0.97, from 216 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 26 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).