G Pannier
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 13% (39 runs, true-first definition).
A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 12.8% (n=39, Fair A/E 2.83), but debutants struggle at 0% (n=44, Fair A/E 0.00). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 6.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.25 and +48.00 to a £1 stake over 184 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Mme Ambre Molins rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.5%, A/E 0.96). The stable star of the record: Singapore Ma (FR) — 8 wins from 46 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 665 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 665 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 April 2005 to 5 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is G Pannier's strike rate?
- G Pannier has won 34 of 640 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does G Pannier do best at?
- Chantilly by strike rate: 9 wins from 113 runners (8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for G Pannier?
- Mme Ambre Molins, with 73 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (5.5%).
- Is G Pannier in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is G Pannier's Fair A/E?
- 0.99, from 631 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.