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Trainer profile

J Larkin

900 runners in the lifetime window · 107 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Apr 2024
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
33–900
Wins / Runs
3.7%
Strike rate
n=900
147 (16%)
Placed
0.72
Fair A/E
n=899 · 0.56 incl. margin
−531.54
£1 level stake
n=900 at SP · −59.1%
£380k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.72). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 8% (51 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 900 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Ross Coakley: 10.9% from 119 Headgear returns: 7.8%
The read

The record is strongest at Listowel (9.7%, n=31), clear of the yard's 3.7% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 7.8% (n=51, Fair A/E 1.77), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=58, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 0.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.15 and −151.00 to a £1 stake over 166 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ross Coakley rides 13% of the entries and beats the yard's average (10.9% vs 3.7%, A/E 1.55) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (9%, n=100) and on Good to Firm going (7.6%, n=92). The stable star of the record: Total Demolition (IRE) — 5 wins from 32 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0.6%−3.1
n=166 · A/E 0.15 · £1 −151.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.7
n=58 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −58.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.7
n=43 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −43.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.7
n=35 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −35.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7.8%+4.1
n=51 · A/E 1.77 · £1 +19.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=15 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +0.63
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.6%−0.1
n=471 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −287.42
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.7
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Ross Coakley 10.9% vs 3.7% · n=119
On last-time-out winners 10.5% vs 3.7% · n=38
Off a 0-7-day break 9% vs 3.7% · n=100
At Listowel 9.7% vs 3.7% · n=31
On Good to Firm going 7.6% vs 3.7% · n=92
With Ben Curtis 8.6% vs 3.7% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 588 22 3.7% −346.62
Hurdle 234 7 3% −164.25
Chase 41 1 2.4% −26.00
NH Flat 37 3 8.1% +5.33

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 227 8 3.5% −120.17
Good 208 5 2.4% −124.00
Standard (AW) 197 7 3.6% −132.00
Heavy 100 5 5% −49.25
Good to Firm 92 7 7.6% −38.12
Good to Soft 73 1 1.4% −65.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 194 7 3.6% −129.00
Fairyhouse 68 4 5.9% −13.00
Navan 67 2 3% −50.75
Down Royal 51 3 5.9% +0.00
Downpatrick 45 1 2.2% −33.00
Gowran Park 41 1 2.4% +0.00
Galway 37 2 5.4% −9.00
Curragh 34 0 0% −34.00
Bellewstown 33 1 3% −12.00
Naas 32 1 3.1% −26.00
Listowel 31 3 9.7% −8.50
Leopardstown 30 1 3.3% −22.50
Sligo 27 1 3.7% −23.00
Limerick 24 2 8.3% −16.62
Tipperary 22 0 0% −22.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 10 1 10% −1.50
Class 5 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 6 4 1 25% +0.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 21 6 28.6% 1.43 −0.87
2nd–3rd fav 79 9 11.4% 0.85 −27.67
4th–6th fav 181 11 6.1% 0.86 −67.00
7th+ in betting 619 7 1.1% 0.39 −436.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
House Limit (IRE)from Harry Dunlop 83 4 25 13 Jul 19
Chillie Billie (GB)from Phil McEntee 81 4 24 3 Jul 19
Total Demolition (IRE)from Pat Phelan 32 5 9 30 Jun 18
Emphatic (IRE)from Robert Cowell 28 3 8 2 Sep 21
Banker Burke (IRE)from Mrs John Harrington 27 0 6 23 Jul 17
Esharaat (IRE)from J E Hammond 24 0 2 12 Jun 16
Artistic Integrity (GB)from G M Lyons 22 0 5 22 Apr 16
Foreign Legion (IRE)from Luke McJannet 21 3 8 4 Sep 21
Mountain Kingdom (IRE)from Sir Mark Prescott Bt · then C A McBratney 21 0 4 29 Jun 16
Bay Of Kotor (IRE)from J F O'Shea 18 3 5 9 Feb 13
Swing Pattern (USA)from John M Oxx 18 0 2 1 Aug 12
Muck 'N' brass (IRE)from Edward Lynam 17 0 2 23 May 17
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 107 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 39 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mrs John Harrington (3) and G M Lyons (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for C A McBratney (2); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
10303283320410
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRoss Coakley
13% of all rides
10.9% SR · A/E 1.55
RiderRWSR£1
Ross Coakley 119 13 10.9% +8.38
Conor Maxwell 104 1 1% −92.00
Conor Hoban 53 1 1.9% −42.00
Andrew P Thornton 42 2 4.8% −36.75
Ben Curtis 35 3 8.6% −10.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
35
Archived wins
£392k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 5 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Total Demolition (IRE) — Hop House 13 Handicap Galway · Jul 2016
£12,300
Chillie Billie (GB) — Ladbrokes Red Day Handicap (50-75) Galway · Aug 2015
£8,280
Total Demolition (IRE) — Toals.com Bookmakers Handicap Fairyhouse · Jun 2018
£7,700
Notable horses
Total Demolition (IRE) House Limit (IRE) Chillie Billie (GB) Emphatic (IRE) Foreign Legion (IRE) Bay Of Kotor (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Red Clubs (IRE) 4.8% · 4–83
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,131 runs since 2008 (143 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.5% from 127.
Piccolo (GB) 4.9% · 4–81
Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.
Epaulette (AUS) 8.1% · 3–37
Progeny have won 9.1% of 3,066 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4% from 173. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 222.
Aussie Rules (USA) 3.1% · 1–32
Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,515 runs since 2008 (297 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 177.
Thewayyouare (USA) 15.6% · 5–32
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,152 runs since 2008 (166 horses).
Big Bad Bob (IRE) 0% · 0–27
Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,568 runs since 2008 (314 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 927 · newest first

The latest 50 of 927 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 May 2007 to 12 April 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
12 Apr 24 Dundalk (AW) Curley Rose (GB)J: Sean Bird Friday 12th July Ladies Day At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65)7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 125/1
16 Feb 24 Dundalk (AW) Curley Rose (GB)J: Cian MacRedmond Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Handicap (47-70)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 80/1
22 Dec 23 Dundalk (AW) Helmet Star (GB)J: Sean Bird Irishinjuredjockeys.com Apprentice Rated Race8f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 200/1
06 Dec 23 Dundalk (AW) Sense Of Security (GB)J: Shane Foley Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)6f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 22/1
01 Dec 23 Dundalk (AW) Sense Of Security (GB)J: Conor Maxwell Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Handicap (47-75)6f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 80/1
24 Nov 23 Dundalk (AW) Sense Of Security (GB)J: Shane Foley Dundalk Stadium Celebrates 20 Years 29th November Handicap (47-65)6f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 100/1
23 Nov 23 Thurles Anycity (IRE)J: Mr I Ryan Start Christmas Here December 17th (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran F 250/1
22 Nov 23 Dundalk (AW) Almost An Angel (GB)J: James Ryan Dundalk Stadium Gift Vouchers Available Online Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)7f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 50/1
22 Nov 23 Dundalk (AW) Praying Mantis (IRE)J: Danny Sheehy Dundalk Stadium Gift Vouchers Available Online Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 125/1
08 Nov 23 Dundalk (AW) Almost An Angel (GB)J: Cian MacRedmond Bet On The Best Night Out At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)7f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 80/1
31 Oct 23 Curragh Almost An Angel (GB)J: James Ryan Follow ToteRacing On Twitter Handicap (47-65)7f · Heavy · 20 ran 13th 33/1
15 Oct 23 Naas Our Major (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy Tifrums Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden6f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 150/1
07 Oct 23 Curragh Our Major (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy Irish European Breeders Fund Median Sires Series Maiden6f · Soft · 13 ran 13th 200/1
04 Oct 23 Navan Anycity (IRE)J: Cian MacRedmond Yellow Furze Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)10f · Yielding · 20 ran 19th 66/1
04 Oct 23 Navan Sense Of Security (GB)J: Sean Bird Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Apprentice Handicap (47-65)5.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 15th 28/1
04 Oct 23 Navan Our Dagger (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy Arkle Bar Median Auction Maiden5.5f · Yielding · 18 ran 11th 150/1
25 Sep 23 Down Royal Praying Mantis (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap (47-70)7f · Heavy · 11 ran 11th 28/1
23 Sep 23 Curragh Our Dagger (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy Bermingham Cameras Photo Finish Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 9th 150/1
21 Sep 23 Listowel Anycity (IRE)J: Danny Sheehy Tote Ireland Handicap (50-80)9f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 11th 25/1
21 Sep 23 Listowel Almost An Angel (GB)J: Danny Sheehy Thorn Plant Hire Handicap (47-70)8f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 8th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J Larkin's strike rate?
J Larkin has won 33 of 900 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.7% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J Larkin do best at?
Listowel by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 runners (9.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for J Larkin?
Ross Coakley, with 119 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (10.9%).
What is J Larkin's Fair A/E?
0.72, from 899 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).