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Trainer profile

John E & Thomas Kiely

220 runners in the lifetime window · 34 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
14–220
Wins / Runs
6.4%
Strike rate
n=220
55 (25%)
Placed
0.64
Fair A/E
n=220 · 0.51 incl. margin
−139.68
£1 level stake
n=220 at SP · −63.5%
£203k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.64). With a claiming rider up the record reads 10% (99 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 220 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Mr J L Gleeson: 10.8% from 65 Claiming riders: 10.1%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 10.1% (n=99, Fair A/E 1.06), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.6% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.29). Mr J L Gleeson rides 30% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.8% vs 6.4%, A/E 0.93). The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.40 across 78 runners (3.8% strike, −55.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.6%−3.8
n=38 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −36.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.4
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
4.5%−1.9
n=22 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
11.1%+4.7
n=9 · A/E 1.95 · £1 +3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.4
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
35.3%
n=17 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −0.43
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
10.1%+3.7
n=99 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −34.76
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Mr J L Gleeson 10.8% vs 6.4% · n=65
With claiming riders up 10.1% vs 6.4% · n=99
Off a 15-30-day break 3.8% vs 6.4% · n=78
With horses switching code 4% vs 6.4% · n=50
Over 1m5f – 2m 8.4% vs 6.4% · n=95
In NH Flat races 8.7% vs 6.4% · n=46
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 96 5 5.2% −53.67
Flat 67 5 7.5% −41.55
NH Flat 46 4 8.7% −33.46
Chase 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 79 4 5.1% −46.30
Good 63 5 7.9% −33.88
Good to Soft 40 3 7.5% −28.25
Heavy 26 1 3.8% −22.50
Standard (AW) 9 1 11.1% −5.75
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 21 3 14.3% −3.71
Tramore 17 2 11.8% −7.80
Punchestown 17 0 0% −17.00
Killarney 15 1 6.7% −8.50
Tipperary 14 0 0% −14.00
Listowel 14 1 7.1% +1.00
Leopardstown 14 1 7.1% −12.50
Wexford 12 1 8.3% −8.75
Limerick 12 2 16.7% +3.50
Fairyhouse 11 0 0% −11.00
Dundalk (AW) 9 1 11.1% −5.75
Gowran Park 8 0 0% −8.00
Naas 7 0 0% −7.00
Galway 6 1 16.7% −1.50
Navan 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 23 6 26.1% 0.96 −6.43
2nd–3rd fav 51 4 7.8% 0.49 −32.75
4th–6th fav 69 2 2.9% 0.39 −50.50
7th+ in betting 77 2 2.6% 0.89 −50.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
88.8% completed · 107 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 11 90.9% 1 0 0 0 0
Hurdle 96 88.5% 0 4 6 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Liberated Light (IRE)from John E Kiely 32 3 7 26 Sep 26
Fraher Field (IRE) 15 2 7 14 Oct 26
Joyeux Vivo (FR)from John E Kiely 15 0 5 30 Oct 25
Miss Aytan (IRE) 14 0 0 5 Sep 24
Amboyna (IRE) 13 1 5 26 Oct 25
The Names Jock (IRE)from John E Kiely 13 0 2 22 Jul 25
Black Soul (IRE)from John E Kiely · then Paul Stephen Kiely 13 0 3 15 Nov 24
A Dream To Share (IRE)from John E Kiely 11 1 2 1 Feb 26
Major Barry (IRE)then Paul Stephen Kiely 10 2 5 6 Sep 24
Moyassr (IRE)from Owen Burrows · then Paul W Flynn 8 1 2 5 Jun 25
Meitheal (IRE) 8 2 4 13 Jan 25
Ma Belle Etoile (IRE)then Henry De Bromhead 7 1 3 3 Jun 24
All 34 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 34 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John E Kiely (11); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Paul Stephen Kiely (2); 26 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000566108987
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr J L Gleeson
30% of all rides
10.8% SR · A/E 0.93
RiderRWSR£1
Mr J L Gleeson 65 7 10.8% −28.96
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→
14
Archived wins
£203k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 7 wins
Fraher Field (IRE) — Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle Listowel (IRE) · Sep 2026
£10,500
Major Barry (IRE) — Fermoy Handicap Hurdle Cork · Aug 2024
£8,850
A Dream To Share (IRE) — Leopardstown Members (Q.R.) Maiden Leopardstown · Jun 2025
£8,850
Notable horses
Liberated Light (IRE) Fraher Field (IRE) Major Barry (IRE) Meitheal (IRE) Amboyna (IRE) A Dream To Share (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Muhaarar (GB) 9.3% · 4–43
Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,812 runs since 2019 (414 horses).
Order Of St George (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,174 runs since 2023 (202 horses).
Kapgarde (FR) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,628 runs since 2008 (725 horses).
Mount Nelson (GB) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,274 runs since 2012 (538 horses).
Excelebration (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 9% of 3,605 runs since 2016 (244 horses).
Elvstroem (AUS) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 6.1% of 459 runs since 2019 (66 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 220 · newest first

The latest 50 of 220 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 May 2023 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) The Last Line (IRE)J: Mr Hugh Lillingston SIS, Proud Sponsors Of Irish Racing (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 14 ran 5th 33/1
30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Gaelic Seer (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson WTW Willis Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 5th 50/1
14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Fraher Field (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Matchbook Betting Exchange Mares Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 4/1
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Shuil Solas (IRE)J: Mr Derek O'Connor Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 9/2
10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Gaelic Seer (IRE)J: Anna McGuinness Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 10 ran 5th 9/4F
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) The Last Line (IRE)J: Mr Hugh Lillingston GavinLynchRacing.com Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 12th 20/1
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Liberated Light (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 9th 7/2F
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Shuil Solas (IRE)J: Mr Derek O'Connor Shanahan Power Irish EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 14/1
21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Liberated Light (IRE)J: Conor Cusack Gerard Lynch Memorial Handicap14f · Yielding · 15 ran 5th 14/1
20 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Fraher Field (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran 1st 14/1
11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Gaelic Seer (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson John Madden & Sons (Pro-Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 5 ran 3rd 5/1
02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Liberated Light (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Kilberry (Q.R.) Handicap16f · Good · 16 ran 3rd 28/1
01 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Fraher Field (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Racing Again September 19th Maiden14f · Yielding · 13 ran 12th 33/1
13 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Fraher Field (IRE)J: Miss A B O'Connor Conor Lannen Country Store (Ladies) Maiden16f · Good · 9 ran 4th 14/1
07 Aug 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Liberated Light (IRE)J: Miss O M Queally 1XBET.IE COMMITMENT TO IRISH RACING (Ladies) Handicap12.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 15/2
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Shuil Solas (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Good · 12 ran 9th 7/4F
03 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Fraher Field (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan www.mourneabbeyoil.ie Mares Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 18 ran 2nd 12/1
17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Fraher Field (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Killarney Grand Mares Maiden Hurdle23f · Good · 15 ran 6th 11/2
07 Jul 26 Tramore Liberated Light (IRE)J: Ben Coen August Festival Early Bird Packages On tramoreraces.ie Handicap16f · Good · 11 ran 5th 11/1
06 Jul 26 Roscommon Shuil Solas (IRE)J: Miss M O'Sullivan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 16 ran 5th 3/1J

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 10 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 10 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is John E & Thomas Kiely's strike rate?
John E & Thomas Kiely has won 14 of 220 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for John E & Thomas Kiely?
Mr J L Gleeson, with 65 runners since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (10.8%).
Is John E & Thomas Kiely in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is John E & Thomas Kiely's Fair A/E?
0.64, from 220 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).