What is Kevin Prendergast's strike rate?

Kevin Prendergast has won 332 of 3,316 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Kevin Prendergast do best at?

Down Royal by strike rate: 13 wins from 67 runners (19.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Kevin Prendergast?

Chris Hayes, with 1,286 runners since 2008 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 142 (11%).

What is Kevin Prendergast's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 3,310 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Kevin Prendergast

3,316 runners in the lifetime window · 445 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jun 2025 98% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

332–3,316

Wins / Runs

10%

Strike rate

n=3,316

996 (30%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=3,310 · 0.74 incl. margin

−1,018.53

£1 level stake

n=3,316 at SP · −30.7%

£9.38m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 170 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,316 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 11.3% 29.4% when favourite Chris Hayes: 11% from 1,286 Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Down Royal (19.4%, n=67), Limerick (18.8%, n=80) and Bellewstown (16.3%, n=49) — all clear of the yard's 10% baseline. It is weakest at Navan (4.7% over 192 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 7% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.90). Chris Hayes rides 39% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11%, A/E 0.94). The yard also reads well on Firm going (19.4%, n=36). 69 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Shelbourne Hotel Goffs Million at Curragh (Sep 2006, £985,000). The stable star of the record: Mustameet (USA) — 8 wins from 20 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.3%+1.3

n=523 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −69.73

New recruits · first run for the yard

27.3%+17.3

n=11 · A/E 2.56 · £1 +4.50

Debutants · first career start

7.9%−2.1

n=404 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −129.54

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.2%−0.8

n=152 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −67.80

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7%−3.0

n=43 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −24.50

When favourite

29.4%

n=306 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −63.89

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.5%−2.5

n=689 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −220.05

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.3%+0.3

n=398 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −84.98

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Down Royal 19.4% vs 10% · n=67

At Limerick 18.8% vs 10% · n=80

On Firm going 19.4% vs 10% · n=36

On last-time-out winners 15.1% vs 10% · n=311

At Navan 4.7% vs 10% · n=192

At Bellewstown 16.3% vs 10% · n=49

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,259 326 10% −1,022.78

Hurdle 42 5 11.9% +16.50

NH Flat 15 1 6.7% −12.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 928 104 11.2% −125.20

Good 723 64 8.9% −278.40

Good to Firm 514 46 8.9% −272.01

Standard (AW) 493 49 9.9% −191.96

Heavy 350 37 10.6% −81.00

Good to Soft 272 25 9.2% −73.21

Firm 36 7 19.4% +3.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 635 52 8.2% −234.50

Dundalk 491 49 10% −189.96

Leopardstown 413 42 10.2% −82.62

Naas 259 23 8.9% −102.25

Gowran Park 226 15 6.6% −152.85

Navan 192 9 4.7% −127.12

Fairyhouse 130 12 9.2% −23.12

Roscommon 129 13 10.1% −44.84

Cork 115 9 7.8% −71.36

Tipperary 93 14 15.1% −10.81

Galway 84 8 9.5% −19.50

Limerick 80 15 18.8% −11.57

Killarney 73 11 15.1% +8.41

Down Royal 67 13 19.4% +41.70

Listowel 67 10 14.9% +14.73

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 398 41 10.3% −84.98

Class 5 2 1 50% +0.88

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 382 104 27.2% 0.98 −82.88

2nd–3rd fav 817 123 15.1% 0.98 −202.65

4th–6th fav 1,119 70 6.3% 0.80 −408.00

7th+ in betting 998 35 3.5% 0.88 −325.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,355 150 11.1% −275.64

1m – 1m1f 929 98 10.5% −269.23

1m2f – 1m4f 702 53 7.5% −337.02

Under 6f 168 20 11.9% −76.39

1m5f – 2m 148 10 6.8% −61.25

2m1f – 2m4f 13 1 7.7% +2.00

2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 399 47 11.8% −76.62

2009 391 43 11% −137.37

2010 344 41 11.9% −42.19

2011 318 32 10.1% −132.76

2012 247 24 9.7% −85.88

2013 264 24 9.1% −116.78

2014 192 21 10.9% −28.26

2015 207 19 9.2% −100.92

2016 172 22 12.8% +35.94

2017 122 7 5.7% −54.75

2018 105 10 9.5% −37.26

2019 102 7 6.9% −39.51

2020 138 13 9.4% −18.63

2021 114 8 7% −67.92

2022 72 5 6.9% −48.63

2023 61 4 6.6% −44.07

2024 57 5 8.8% −11.92

2025 11 0 0% −11.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,302 95 7.3% −488.67

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 915 72 7.9% −289.32

11-13 runners 753 61 8.1% −304.19

8-10 runners 729 93 12.8% −133.46

17+ runners 454 33 7.3% −141.62

5-7 runners 417 64 15.3% −133.34

2-4 runners 48 9 18.8% −16.60

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Vastonea (IRE) 58 6 17 7 Apr 19

Celtic Dane (IRE) 41 3 7 19 Aug 13

Brown Butterfly (GB) 38 3 10 28 Aug 13

Crafty Codger (IRE)then Eamonn O'Connell 36 2 6 18 Jul 16

Master Melody (IRE)then Karl Thornton 32 3 9 10 Oct 14

Aared (IRE) 30 4 12 9 Nov 20

Miss Cunning (IRE)then Aengus King 29 3 5 4 Feb 22

Choose Me (IRE) 28 4 13 6 Nov 10

Butterfly Garden (IRE) 26 3 8 29 Aug 24

Sestriere (IRE)then Roger Fell 24 0 8 2 Dec 20

Maude Adams (IRE) 24 5 7 20 Dec 13

Danseur De Feu (IRE) 23 1 7 7 Nov 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 445 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 59 had their first archived run for this yard.

25 have since run for another yard, most often for Eoin Doyle (2); 35 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1018131481010119998

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderChris Hayes

39% of all rides
11% SR · A/E 0.94

RiderRWSR£1

Chris Hayes 1,286 142 11% −276.99

Declan McDonogh 1,069 121 11.3% −395.34

Gary Halpin 277 18 6.5% −127.53

Sam James 214 20 9.3% −53.80

Dylan Hogan 78 5 6.4% −33.75

Sammy Jo Bell 39 5 12.8% +14.50

Scott McCullagh 33 3 9.1% −15.50

Christopher Geoghegan 31 4 12.9% +7.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

480

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£14.9m

Prize money

2007

Best season · 56 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Miss Beatrix (IRE) — Shelbourne Hotel Goffs Million Curragh · Sep 2006

£985,000

Awtaad (IRE) — Tattersalls Irish 2,000 Guineas (Group 1) Curragh · May 2016 · Group 1

£171,000

Miss Beatrix (IRE) — Moyglare Stud Stakes (Fillies) Curragh (IRE) · Aug 2006 · Group 1

£168,600

Notable horses

Mustameet (USA) Vastonea (IRE) Katie T (IRE) Almass (IRE) Celtic Dane (IRE) Maude Adams (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Verglas (IRE) 11.6% · 18–155

Progeny have won 10.2% of 6,977 runs since 2008 (499 horses).

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 9.4% · 12–127

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,875 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Shamardal (USA) 14.1% · 13–92

Progeny have won 14.7% of 10,414 runs since 2009 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,289. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Awtaad (IRE) 9.2% · 6–65

Progeny have won 11.5% of 2,890 runs since 2020 (210 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.7% from 104. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6% from 117.

Medicean (GB) 6.2% · 4–65

Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).

Sahm (USA) 7.9% · 5–63

Progeny have won 9.9% of 272 runs since 2008 (20 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,378 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,378 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 13 June 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Jun 25 Cork Glory To Be (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Rathbarry Stud Maiden5f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 7/2

05 Jun 25 Leopardstown Iowntheball (GB)J: W J Lee BoyleSports 'Home Of The Early Payout' Handicap9f · Good · 12 ran 5th 10/1

23 May 25 Curragh Glory To Be (IRE)J: Chris Hayes QuinnBet Irish European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden6f · Good · 10 ran 4th 33/1

13 May 25 Killarney Jerandme (IRE)J: Jack Cleary FEXCO Handicap17f · Good · 15 ran 12th 50/1

16 Apr 25 Gowran Park Reponse Finale (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Golf At Gowran Park Claiming Race8f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 11/8F

29 Mar 25 Curragh Reponse Finale (IRE)J: Sam James Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 3YO Spring Series Median Auction Fillies Maiden10f · Soft · 14 ran 10th 22/1

07 Mar 25 Dundalk (AW) Jerandme (IRE)J: Mr Finian Maguire Every Cheltenham Festival Race Live Only On Racing TV (Q.R.) Handicap16f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 12/1

21 Feb 25 Dundalk (AW) Iowntheball (GB)J: Chris Hayes Irishinjuredjockeys.com Rated Race10.5f · Standard · 4 ran 3rd 11/4

07 Feb 25 Dundalk (AW) Jerandme (IRE)J: Chris Hayes William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap16f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 16/1

27 Jan 25 Dundalk (AW) Iowntheball (GB)J: Chris Hayes William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap8f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 4/1

17 Jan 25 Dundalk (AW) Jerandme (IRE)J: Aileen O'Sullivan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Rated Race16f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 14/1

29 Nov 24 Dundalk (AW) Jerandme (IRE)J: Chris Hayes William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap16f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 18/1

27 Nov 24 Dundalk (AW) Lost Soul (IRE)J: Sean Davis Dundalk Stadium Gift Vouchers Available Online Handicap (47-65)16f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 8/1

13 Nov 24 Dundalk (AW) Lost Soul (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)10.5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 8/1

01 Nov 24 Dundalk (AW) Profit Refused (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap6f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 11/1

20 Oct 24 Leopardstown Copie Conforme (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap (50-80)10f · Heavy · 20 ran 7th 12/1

17 Oct 24 Curragh Talgo Abbess (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish European Breeders Fund Median Sires Series Maiden6f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 15th 25/1

13 Oct 24 Naas Iowntheball (GB)J: Chris Hayes Irish EBF Auction Series Race Final7f · Yielding · 16 ran 7th 9/1

12 Oct 24 Naas Lost Soul (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Punctual Print Maiden8f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 9th 50/1

11 Oct 24 Dundalk (AW) Reponse Finale (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kevin Prendergast's strike rate?: Kevin Prendergast has won 332 of 3,316 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Kevin Prendergast do best at?: Down Royal by strike rate: 13 wins from 67 runners (19.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Kevin Prendergast?: Chris Hayes, with 1,286 runners since 2008 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 142 (11%).
What is Kevin Prendergast's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 3,310 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.