What is Tobias B P Coles's strike rate?

Tobias B P Coles has won 17 of 257 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tobias B P Coles do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 53 runners (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Tobias B P Coles?

Martin Lane, with 51 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (2%).

What is Tobias B P Coles's Fair A/E?

0.86, from 256 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Tobias B P Coles

257 runners in the lifetime window · 51 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Feb 2014 93% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

17–257

Wins / Runs

6.6%

Strike rate

n=257

45 (18%)

Placed

0.86

Fair A/E

n=256 · 0.79 incl. margin

−101.27

£1 level stake

n=257 at SP · −39.4%

£72,336

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.86). Debutants are a strength: 9% on first career starts (35 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 257 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7.5% Martin Lane: 2% from 51

The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (13.2%, n=53), clear of the yard's 6.6% baseline. It is weakest at Lingfield (AW) (0% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Martin Lane rode 20% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (2% vs 6.6%, A/E 0.25). The yard also read well over 1m5f – 2m (12.9%, n=31). The record read poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 1.9% over 52 runners, 4.7pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.5%+0.9

n=40 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +19.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.3%−0.3

n=16 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −7.50

Debutants · first career start

8.6%+2.0

n=35 · A/E 1.50 · £1 −5.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.8%−2.8

n=26 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −9.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−6.6

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

When favourite

38.5%

n=13 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −1.27

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5%−1.6

n=40 · A/E 0.92 · £1 +0.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.6

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Wolverhampton (AW) 13.2% vs 6.6% · n=53

At Lingfield (AW) 0% vs 6.6% · n=30

Over 1m5f – 2m 12.9% vs 6.6% · n=31

Over 1m – 1m1f 1.9% vs 6.6% · n=52

With Martin Lane 2% vs 6.6% · n=51

With Stevie Donohoe 10% vs 6.6% · n=50

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 239 16 6.7% −89.27

Hurdle 9 0 0% −9.00

NH Flat 9 1 11.1% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 136 9 6.6% −37.34

Good to Firm 44 2 4.5% −38.50

Good 39 2 5.1% −16.00

Soft 20 2 10% −9.93

Good to Soft 15 2 13.3% +3.50

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 53 7 13.2% +25.66

Kempton (AW) 34 2 5.9% −14.00

Lingfield (AW) 30 0 0% −30.00

Southwell (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00

Yarmouth 13 1 7.7% −4.50

Brighton 13 3 23.1% +9.00

Folkestone 8 0 0% −8.00

Lingfield 6 0 0% −6.00

Newmarket 5 0 0% −5.00

Doncaster 5 1 20% +12.00

Windsor 5 0 0% −5.00

Ffos Las 4 0 0% −4.00

Huntingdon 4 1 25% +2.00

Epsom Downs 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 118 6 5.1% −33.00

Class 6 93 8 8.6% −43.84

Class 4 29 3 10.3% −7.43

Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 15 5 33.3% 1.10 −3.27

2nd–3rd fav 29 4 13.8% 0.92 −5.50

4th–6th fav 93 7 7.5% 0.93 +6.50

7th+ in betting 120 1 0.8% 0.32 −99.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dear Maurice (GB)from Ed Dunlop 27 1 7 25 Jan 14

Cotton King (GB)then Lady Herries 17 4 5 16 Apr 12

Main Beach (GB)then Paul Midgley 14 4 5 5 Jun 12

Holding Fast (IRE) 13 0 4 1 Mar 13

Skyblue (GB) 11 0 0 5 Feb 13

Choice Pearl (USA)from G M Lyons 9 0 3 8 Oct 12

All On Red (IRE)then George Baker 9 2 3 28 Sep 12

Orton Park (IRE) 8 1 1 26 Oct 13

Rich And Reckless (GB) 7 0 1 27 May 11

Littlemisssunshine (IRE)from J S Moore 7 1 3 19 Oct 10

Resist (GB)then James Given 6 0 0 1 Nov 13

Club Electra (IRE) 6 0 1 18 Mar 13

All 51 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 51 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from G M Lyons (2) and Ralph Beckett (2); 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Charlie Fellowes (3) and David O'Meara (3); 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

01318111085084100

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMartin Lane

20% of all rides
2% SR · A/E 0.25

RiderRWSR£1

Martin Lane 51 1 2% −45.50

Stevie Donohoe 50 5 10% +6.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

Archived wins

£72,336

Prize money

2011

Best season · 8 wins

Main Beach (GB) — CSP Security And Stewarding Handicap (Div 1) Kempton (AW) · Nov 2011 · Class 4

£4,205

Orton Park (IRE) — Mike The Knight Here 13.04.13 Maiden Fillies' Stakes Kempton (AW) · Mar 2013 · Class 4

£3,881

All On Red (IRE) — Padon Contracts Novice Stakes Newcastle · May 2012 · Class 4

£3,429

Notable horses

Cotton King (GB) Main Beach (GB) All On Red (IRE) Dear Maurice (GB) Orton Park (IRE) Littlemisssunshine (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Indian Ridge (IRE) 3.7% · 1–27

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,484 runs since 2008 (142 horses).

Starcraft (NZ) 19% · 4–21

Progeny have won 8.2% of 613 runs since 2009 (62 horses). Weakest on Good going: 5% from 140. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 11.3% from 160.

Royal Applause (GB) 0% · 0–18

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Dubawi (IRE) 23.5% · 4–17

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,981 runs since 2009 (1,530 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Red Clubs (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,131 runs since 2011 (143 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.5% from 127.

Balmont (USA) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 9.6% of 384 runs since 2010 (29 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.2% from 158.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 257 · newest first

The latest 50 of 257 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 April 2010 to 19 February 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Feb 14 Lingfield (AW) Minley (GB)J: Alfie Warwick 32red Free 10 Bonus HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 50/1

05 Feb 14 Kempton (AW) Wulfthryth (GB)J: Alfie Warwick Kempton For Weddings HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 16/1

25 Jan 14 Lingfield (AW) Dear Maurice (GB)J: Martin Lane Compare Bookmakers At bookmakers.co.uk Sprint Series Round 4 Handicap (Qualifier) (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 25/1

22 Jan 14 Lingfield (AW) Dear Maurice (GB)J: Alfie Warwick Ladbrokes Mobile Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 25/1

14 Dec 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Nelson's Muse (GB)J: Martin Lane Coral App Download From The App Store HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 33/1

14 Dec 13 Southwell (AW) Dear Maurice (GB)J: Alfie Warwick Ladbrokes Mobile HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 50/1

07 Dec 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Rocked The Boat (GB)J: Alfie Warwick 32red Casino E.b.f. Stallions Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 14/1

30 Nov 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Aptitude (GB)J: Adam Beschizza 32Red.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 25/1

28 Nov 13 Kempton (AW) Dear Maurice (GB)J: Alfie Warwick 175 Cash Bonus At Victor's Live Casino HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 33/1

26 Nov 13 Southwell (AW) Rocked The Boat (GB)J: Adam Beschizza 32Red Novice StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 5/1

23 Nov 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Aptitude (GB)J: Adam Beschizza 32Red E.B.F. Stallions Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 50/1

15 Nov 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Aptitude (GB)J: Adam Beschizza 32Red.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 50/1

15 Nov 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Rocked The Boat (GB)J: Adam Beschizza 32Red Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 10/1

15 Nov 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Orange Grove (GB)J: Alfie Warwick 32Red Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 33/1

14 Nov 13 Kempton (AW) La Grassetta (GER)J: Martin Lane British Stallion Studs E.B.F. Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Div 2)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 66/1

14 Nov 13 Kempton (AW) Wulfthryth (GB)J: Alfie Warwick British Stallion Studs E.B.F. Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 66/1

13 Nov 13 Lingfield (AW) Dear Maurice (GB)J: Alfie Warwick Ladbrokes HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 25/1

04 Nov 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Dear Maurice (GB)J: Alfie Warwick Compare Bookmakers At bookmakers.co.uk Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 16/1

02 Nov 13 Newmarket Wulfthryth (GB)J: Martin Lane Finjaan Standing At Gazeley Stud E.B.F. Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Div 2)Class 4 · 7f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 100/1

01 Nov 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Resist (GB)J: Harry Bentley 32Red On The App Store NurseryClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tobias B P Coles's strike rate?: Tobias B P Coles has won 17 of 257 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tobias B P Coles do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 53 runners (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tobias B P Coles?: Martin Lane, with 51 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (2%).
What is Tobias B P Coles's Fair A/E?: 0.86, from 256 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.