No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
38–259
Wins / Runs
14.7%
Strike rate
n=259
89 (34%)
Placed
1.14
Fair A/E
n=258 · 0.97 incl. margin
−60.27
£1 level stake
n=259 at SP · −23.3%
£186k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
22.6%
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 40 runners a season, winning with 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.14).
Deterministic profile computed from 259 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFired May–Jun41.5% when favouriteSent off the favourite in 16% of races
The read
The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (23.7%, n=38), clear of the yard's 14.7% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.1% (n=65, Fair A/E 0.33). The yard also read well in Class 5 (19.5%, n=113) and off a 15-30-day break (18.9%, n=95). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 2.8% over 36 runners, 11.9pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Lillie Langtry Fillies' Stakes at Goodwood (Jul 2005, £29,000). The stable star of the record was Cleaver (GB) — 6 wins from 37 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired May–Jun.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.1%−11.6
n=65 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −52.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.7%−7.0
n=13 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−14.7
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−14.7
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−14.7
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
41.5%
n=41 · A/E 1.46 · £1 +16.98
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
13.5%−1.2
n=52 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −17.87
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−14.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners30.6% vs 14.7% · n=36
Off a 61-180-day break2.8% vs 14.7% · n=36
At Lingfield (AW)23.7% vs 14.7% · n=38
In Class 67.9% vs 14.7% · n=38
In Class 519.5% vs 14.7% · n=113
Off a 15-30-day break18.9% vs 14.7% · n=95
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat1993115.6%−28.80
Hurdle43614%−16.20
NH Flat1200%−12.00
Chase5120%−3.27
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)731115.1%−20.84
Good to Firm631117.5%+1.71
Good56916.1%−14.47
Good to Soft29310.3%−10.00
Soft2827.1%−14.17
Heavy6116.7%−1.50
Firm4125%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW)38923.7%+3.66
Kempton (AW)2827.1%−17.50
Fontwell19421.1%+2.50
Newbury16425%+3.33
Windsor1317.7%−4.00
Yarmouth1218.3%−9.12
Goodwood12216.7%+2.00
Sandown11218.2%+0.00
Bath9111.1%−6.00
Brighton8450%+31.00
Folkestone8112.5%−6.17
Worcester7228.6%−1.70
Salisbury600%−6.00
Warwick5120%+0.00
Kempton500%−5.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 51132219.5%+2.70
Class 4741013.5%−24.97
Class 63837.9%−23.00
Class 326311.5%−7.00
Class 2700%−7.00
Class 1100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite451737.8%1.36+12.98
2nd–3rd fav791519%1.19−2.75
4th–6th fav7867.7%0.95−13.50
7th+ in betting5700%0.00−57.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f1051918.1%+0.08
1m5f – 2m72912.5%−23.38
1m – 1m1f3139.7%−14.50
2m1f – 2m4f23521.7%−6.97
2m5f – 3m1815.6%−15.00
6f – 7f600%−6.00
Over 3m4125%+5.50
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200855916.4%+1.08
200939615.4%−4.59
201036411.1%−16.00
201132618.8%−5.70
201226415.4%−11.94
20134025%−27.50
201431722.6%+4.38
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1982914.6%−48.80
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners84910.7%−44.95
11-13 runners791417.7%−5.17
5-7 runners451022.2%+2.35
14-16 runners37513.5%+1.50
17+ runners900%−9.00
2-4 runners500%−5.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 29 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive; 15 had their first archived run for this yard.
12 have since run for another yard, most often for Graham Mays (4); 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
312016019228221214011
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
62
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£425k
Prize money
2006
Best season · 11 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,570 runs since 2008 (223 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.8% from 377.
Dansili (GB)19% · 4–21
Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,841 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.
Exceed and Excel (AUS)20% · 4–20
Progeny have won 11.8% of 16,019 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Robellino (USA)15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 10.3% of 524 runs since 2008 (47 horses).
Kris (GB)10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 6.7% of 179 runs since 2008 (14 horses).
Johannesburg (USA)31.3% · 5–16
Progeny have won 9.8% of 2,562 runs since 2008 (191 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 244. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.8% from 104.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 476 · newest first
The latest 50 of 476 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2005 to 24 October 2014.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Lady Herries's strike rate?
Lady Herries has won 38 of 259 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lady Herries do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 38 runners (23.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Lady Herries's Fair A/E?
1.14, from 258 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Lady Herries·SR 14.7%·A/E 1.14
KTB
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