What is Louisa Carberry's strike rate?

Louisa Carberry has won 46 of 411 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Louisa Carberry do best at?

Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 12 wins from 79 runners (15.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Louisa Carberry?

Peter Carberry, with 54 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (9.3%).

Is Louisa Carberry in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Louisa Carberry's Fair A/E?

1.29, from 400 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Louisa Carberry

411 runners in the lifetime window · 110 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago 90% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

46–411

Wins / Runs

11.2%

Strike rate

n=411

120 (29%)

Placed

1.29

Fair A/E

n=400 · 1.11 incl. margin

+41.10

£1 level stake

n=406 at SP · +10.1%

£3.92m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

2.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.29). In Group and Graded company the record reads 16% (110 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 411 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May Peter Carberry: 9.3% from 54 Group/Graded: 16.4%

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 16.4% (n=110, Fair A/E 1.60), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=44, Fair A/E 0.00). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 9.5% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.22 and +15.90 to a £1 stake over 158 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Peter Carberry rides 13% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.3%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (18.6%, n=59). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 2.3% over 43 runners, 8.9pts below the baseline. 18 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris at Auteuil (FR) (May 2024, £352,174). The stable star of the record: Gran Diose (FR) — 10 wins from 30 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.5%−1.7

n=158 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +15.90

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−11.2

n=44 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −41.00

Debutants · first career start

6.1%−5.1

n=66 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −30.40

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.3%−3.9

n=41 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −27.60

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

22.2%+11.0

n=9 · A/E 2.73 · £1 +34.80

When favourite

25.9%

n=27 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −6.30

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.4%−3.8

n=27 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −12.90

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

16.4%+5.2

n=110 · A/E 1.60 · £1 +81.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With James Reveley 25% vs 11.2% · n=36

With new recruits 0% vs 11.2% · n=44

With Felix De Giles 21.2% vs 11.2% · n=33

In Flat races 2.3% vs 11.2% · n=43

Off a 31-60-day break 18.6% vs 11.2% · n=59

On last-time-out winners 17.8% vs 11.2% · n=45

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 207 32 15.5% +112.10

Hurdle 159 13 8.2% −32.80

Flat 43 1 2.3% −36.20

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 234 22 9.4% −10.90

Heavy 148 22 14.9% +59.20

Standard (AW) 12 1 8.3% −7.20

Good to Soft 11 0 0% −10.00

Good 6 1 16.7% +10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 250 28 11.2% +1.00

Compiegne (FR) 79 12 15.2% +63.50

Dieppe (FR) 13 1 7.7% −8.20

Angers 9 2 22.2% +19.00

Deauville (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00

Clairefontaine 6 0 0% −6.00

Enghien (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00

Chantilly (FR) 5 1 20% −0.20

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Nantes (FR) 4 1 25% +8.00

Pau (FR) 3 1 33.3% +1.00

Moulins (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Craon 2 0 0% −2.00

Longchamp (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Saint-Cloud (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 110 18 16.4% +81.90

Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 28 7 25% 0.90 −7.30

2nd–3rd fav 78 21 26.9% 1.65 +58.70

4th–6th fav 108 11 10.2% 1.33 +9.00

7th+ in betting 192 7 3.6% 1.08 −19.30

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.2% completed · 366 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 207 87.4% 14 6 6 0 0

Hurdle 159 79.9% 8 2 22 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Gran Diose (FR) 30 10 18 18 Oct 25

Surdoue De Ballon (FR)then Kayley Woollacott 23 1 8 2 Dec 21

Docteur De Ballon (FR) 18 8 12 26 Mar 23

It's Jennifer (FR) 18 3 6 7 Dec 19

Dinette De Ballon (FR) 15 1 3 12 May 21

A Posteriori (FR) 13 1 5 25 Nov 18

Realm Keeper (USA)from A Fabre · then Venetia Williams 12 1 1 20 Oct 18

Jolimay (FR) 11 2 4 17 Sep 26

Canichette (FR) 11 2 6 30 Nov 23

Dourdour (FR) 11 0 0 13 Jun 20

On Your Mark (FR)from Sophie Leech 10 1 2 20 Jun 23

Astre De Ballon (FR)from Y-M Porzier · then D Retif 9 1 1 17 Apr 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 110 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Sophie Leech (3) and F-M Cottin (2); 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard; 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

33171114153004101814

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPeter Carberry

13% of all rides
9.3% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

Peter Carberry 54 5 9.3% −21.40

P A Carberry 53 6 11.3% +58.00

Thomas Beaurain 45 5 11.1% −16.70

James Reveley 36 9 25% +14.90

Felix De Giles 33 7 21.2% +30.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.92m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 6 wins

Gran Diose (FR) — Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2024 · Grade 1

£352,174

Docteur De Ballon (FR) — Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2021 · Grade 1

£329,464

Docteur De Ballon (FR) — Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2020 · Grade 1

£244,335

Notable horses

Gran Diose (FR) Docteur De Ballon (FR) It's Jennifer (FR) Jolimay (FR) Canichette (FR) Celebre D'Allen (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Doctor Dino (FR) 22.4% · 11–49

Progeny have won 15.9% of 3,240 runs since 2013 (500 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.8% from 565. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 212. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 699. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.

Martaline (GB) 7.9% · 3–38

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,350 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Turgeon (USA) 3% · 1–33

Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,191 runs since 2008 (341 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 269.

Planteur (IRE) 32.3% · 10–31

Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,538 runs since 2017 (165 horses).

Cokoriko (FR) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 13.1% of 2,325 runs since 2017 (383 horses).

Astarabad (USA) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 13.2% of 1,601 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 18.3% from 377.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 411 · newest first

The latest 50 of 411 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 March 2014 to 9 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Demasketoi (FR)J: Kylian Geffroy Prix Hubert Hardy17.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 7th 25/1

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Ojibwe (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix Leopold Bara18f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 8/1

24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Flying Trix (IRE)J: Thomas Beaurain Prix De Beaune18f · Heavy · 15 ran 8th 18/1

22 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Tao De Maine (FR)J: Julien Guillochon Prix Claude Rouget13.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 13th 12/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Robin Hill (FR)J: Thomas Beaurain Prix Prince D'ecouen - Grand Handicap D'automneClass 1 · 21.5f · Heavy · 18 ran 4th 13/2

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Ojibwe (FR)J: Gauvain Faivre-Picon Prix De Distre17.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 1st 11/1

13 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Baron De Flandres (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix Blanpain De Saint-mars17f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 6th 8/11F

05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Isabella Gigante (IRE)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix Du Mondial Du Lion - Prix Des OeilletsClass 2 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 150/1

01 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Flying Trix (IRE)J: Thomas Beaurain Prix MarittimoClass 2 · 18f · Very Soft · 10 ran 6th 20/1

26 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Molly De Gascogne (FR)J: Thomas Beaurain Prix Pierre Et Bernard CypresClass 2 · 18f · Very Soft · 12 ran F 10/1

26 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Robin Hill (FR)J: James Reveley Prix GrandlieuClass 1 · 19.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 4th 7/1

22 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Mississipi (FR)J: Thomas Beaurain Prix Patrick Lec18f · Very Soft · 13 ran 5th 18/1

21 Sep 26 Angers (FR) La Garde Du Breuil (FR)J: S Castela Prix Richmond Brissac - Challenge Apgo15f · Good · 14 ran 8th 100/1

21 Sep 26 Angers (FR) Baron De Flandres (FR)J: Mr Thomas Guineheux Prix Richmond Brissac - Challenge Apgo15f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 25/1

21 Sep 26 Angers (FR) Isabella Gigante (IRE)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix Claude Rouget8f · Good · 9 ran 8th 100/1

17 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Jolimay (FR)J: Thomas Beaurain Prix Violon IIClass 1 · 22f · Heavy · 15 ran 9th 18/1

17 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Mieszko (FR)J: James Reveley Prix Henri GleizesClass 2 · 17.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 9th 20/1

12 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Chasuble (FR)J: Theo Dumouch Prix Achille-Fould18f · Heavy · 14 ran PU 25/1

12 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Sea The Wood (FR)J: Kylian Geffroy Prix Achille-Fould18f · Heavy · 14 ran 4th 28/1

08 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Robin Hill (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix Jean Bart18f · Very Soft · 16 ran PU 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Louisa Carberry's strike rate?: Louisa Carberry has won 46 of 411 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Louisa Carberry do best at?: Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 12 wins from 79 runners (15.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Louisa Carberry?: Peter Carberry, with 54 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (9.3%).
Is Louisa Carberry in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Louisa Carberry's Fair A/E?: 1.29, from 400 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.