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Trainer profile

Luke Comer

1,955 runners in the lifetime window · 273 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2024 90% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
61–1,955
Wins / Runs
3.1%
Strike rate
n=1,955
237 (12%)
Placed
0.82
n=1,955 · 0.65 incl. margin
−629.39
£1 level stake
n=1,955 at SP · −32.2%
£866k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,955 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Chris Hayes: 5.3% from 300 Claiming riders: 3.4%
The read

The record is strongest at Bellewstown (8.7%, n=69), clear of the yard's 3.1% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=58, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 0.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.35 and −137.00 to a £1 stake over 204 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Chris Hayes rides 15% of the entries and edges the yard's average (5.3% vs 3.1%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the www.thetote.com Gladness Stakes at Curragh (Apr 2010, £39,000).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2%−1.1
n=498 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −340.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.1
n=58 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −58.00
Debutants · first career start
0.5%−2.6
n=204 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −137.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
1%−2.1
n=103 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −98.67
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
2.7%−0.4
n=74 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −38.00
When favourite
13.6%
n=22 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −9.67
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.4%+0.3
n=704 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −157.47
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
1.1%−2.0
n=88 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −77.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Declan McDonogh 10.5% vs 3.1% · n=57
At Bellewstown 8.7% vs 3.1% · n=69
With debutants 0.5% vs 3.1% · n=204
With Rory Cleary 0% vs 3.1% · n=86
At Curragh 0.6% vs 3.1% · n=168
With new recruits 0% vs 3.1% · n=58
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,768 53 3% −547.59
Hurdle 134 5 3.7% −75.80
NH Flat 40 2 5% −10.00
Chase 13 1 7.7% +4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 746 30 4% −323.59
Good 410 10 2.4% +17.00
Soft 391 10 2.6% −49.80
Heavy 205 6 2.9% −130.00
Good to Firm 103 2 1.9% −82.00
Good to Soft 95 3 3.2% −56.00
Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 708 29 4.1% −298.59
Leopardstown 196 7 3.6% +188.00
Curragh 168 1 0.6% −157.00
Galway 107 3 2.8% −79.00
Navan 107 1 0.9% −96.00
Gowran Park 98 1 1% −88.00
Naas 82 2 2.4% −50.00
Bellewstown 69 6 8.7% +12.00
Fairyhouse 66 1 1.5% −55.00
Roscommon 49 1 2% +152.00
Limerick 43 2 4.7% −16.00
Tipperary 35 2 5.7% −3.00
Listowel 22 0 0% −22.00
Punchestown 22 0 0% −22.00
Killarney 19 1 5.3% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 89 1 1.1% −78.00
Class 6 21 0 0% −21.00
Class 5 19 0 0% −19.00
Class 4 6 1 16.7% +7.00
Class 7 4 1 25% +9.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 31 5 16.1% 0.74 −10.42
2nd–3rd fav 119 13 10.9% 0.81 −27.47
4th–6th fav 332 19 5.7% 0.93 −127.50
7th+ in betting 1,473 24 1.6% 0.77 −464.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
King's Bastion (IRE)from Michael Bell 49 2 7 28 Aug 14
Clueless Hill (IRE) 42 2 7 17 May 24
Tajweed (IRE)from Mark Johnston 38 2 4 7 Jan 17
Bashkirov (GB)from A P O'Brien 37 3 6 5 Apr 13
Dark Street (IRE) 33 4 10 14 Jun 24
Dr Patrick (IRE) 30 1 6 5 Jul 24
Bring Us Paradise (GB)from Tony Carroll 30 2 5 6 Jun 24
Oranmore (IRE) 29 1 4 4 Jul 24
Three Comets (GER)from Roger Varian 28 1 1 22 Jun 24
Confidence (USA)from D K Weld 28 2 5 28 Jun 18
Rio Largo (IRE) 26 2 6 11 Jul 24
Angel In The Sky (IRE) 26 2 6 26 Mar 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 273 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Gosden (2); 37 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for Luke W Comer (4); 55 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
832313432253
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderChris Hayes
15% of all rides
5.3% SR · A/E 1.11
RiderRWSR£1
Chris Hayes 300 16 5.3% +161.25
Nathan Crosse 263 7 2.7% −95.50
Rory Cleary 86 0 0% −86.00
Declan McDonogh 57 6 10.5% +9.50
Mr D T Kelly 56 1 1.8% −39.00
Shane Crosse 53 1 1.9% −30.00
Robbie Colgan 48 0 0% −48.00
Gary Carroll 46 0 0% −46.00
Oisin McSweeney 43 1 2.3% −30.00
R P Walsh 37 2 5.4% −21.67
Ricky Doyle 36 2 5.6% −8.00
Jack Cleary 35 1 2.9% −30.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
62
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£885k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 12 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Kargali (IRE) — www.thetote.com Gladness Stakes (group 3) Curragh · Apr 2010 · Group 3
£39,000
Yellow Ridge (IRE) — Tote EBF Maiden Galway · Aug 2006
£13,020
Bashkirov (GB) — Bookings at dundalkstadium.com Race Dundalk (AW) · Nov 2009
£11,402

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dick Whittington (IRE) 4.1% · 5–122
Progeny have won 3.9% of 128 runs since 2008 (20 horses).
Second Thought (IRE) 1% · 1–100
Progeny have won 1% of 104 runs since 2008 (16 horses).
Bashkirov (GB) 5.4% · 4–74
Progeny have won 4.9% of 82 runs since 2008 (7 horses).
On The Ridge (IRE) 1.4% · 1–69
Progeny have won 1.4% of 69 runs since 2008 (11 horses).
Green Moon (IRE) 3.1% · 2–64
Progeny have won 1.7% of 120 runs since 2008 (19 horses).
Galileo (IRE) 4.8% · 3–62
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,195 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 889.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,064 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,064 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 May 2006 to 13 July 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Luke Comer's strike rate?
Luke Comer has won 61 of 1,955 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Luke Comer do best at?
Bellewstown by strike rate: 6 wins from 69 runners (8.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Luke Comer?
Chris Hayes, with 300 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (5.3%).
What is Luke Comer's Fair A/E?
0.82, from 1,955 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).