Luke Comer
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82).
The record is strongest at Bellewstown (8.7%, n=69), clear of the yard's 3.1% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=58, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 0.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.35 and −137.00 to a £1 stake over 204 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Chris Hayes rides 15% of the entries and edges the yard's average (5.3% vs 3.1%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the www.thetote.com Gladness Stakes at Curragh (Apr 2010, £39,000).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,064 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,064 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 May 2006 to 13 July 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Luke Comer's strike rate?
- Luke Comer has won 61 of 1,955 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Luke Comer do best at?
- Bellewstown by strike rate: 6 wins from 69 runners (8.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Luke Comer?
- Chris Hayes, with 300 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (5.3%).
- What is Luke Comer's Fair A/E?
- 0.82, from 1,955 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.