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Trainer profile

M A Cahill

461 runners in the lifetime window · 74 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
22–461
Wins / Runs
4.8%
Strike rate
n=461
89 (19%)
Placed
0.95
Fair A/E
n=461 · 0.74 incl. margin
−195.50
£1 level stake
n=461 at SP · −42.4%
£267k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95).

Deterministic profile computed from 461 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Alan Persse: 6.1% from 82
The read

It is weakest at Limerick (0% over 39 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=54, Fair A/E 0.00). Alan Persse rides 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.1%, A/E 1.67) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (9.4%, n=53). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 44 runners, 4.8pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.1%−2.7
n=95 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −77.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.8
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.8
n=54 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −54.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.8
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.8
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
10.5%
n=19 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −12.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.7%−0.1
n=254 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −83.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With debutants 0% vs 4.8% · n=54
Over 1m – 1m1f 9.4% vs 4.8% · n=53
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 4.8% · n=44
At Limerick 0% vs 4.8% · n=39
In Chase races 0% vs 4.8% · n=35
Off a 15-30-day break 7.6% vs 4.8% · n=158
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 206 11 5.3% −106.00
Flat 196 10 5.1% −36.50
Chase 35 0 0% −35.00
NH Flat 24 1 4.2% −18.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 127 6 4.7% −68.00
Good 102 6 5.9% −7.00
Heavy 85 2 2.4% −71.50
Standard (AW) 84 5 6% −21.50
Good to Soft 51 3 5.9% −15.50
Good to Firm 10 0 0% −10.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 84 5 6% −21.50
Limerick 39 0 0% −39.00
Cork 37 3 8.1% −6.00
Gowran Park 33 2 6.1% −17.50
Punchestown 27 2 7.4% −5.00
Clonmel 23 0 0% −23.00
Tipperary 20 2 10% +13.00
Thurles 20 2 10% −7.00
Navan 20 1 5% −7.00
Listowel 20 0 0% −20.00
Naas 19 2 10.5% +24.50
Tramore 16 0 0% −16.00
Fairyhouse 16 0 0% −16.00
Kilbeggan 11 0 0% −11.00
Roscommon 11 0 0% −11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 23 3 13% 0.71 −9.00
2nd–3rd fav 43 7 16.3% 1.22 +4.00
4th–6th fav 93 5 5.4% 0.83 −45.50
7th+ in betting 302 7 2.3% 0.97 −145.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Jake Peter (IRE)from Patrick J Flynn 40 3 12 16 Jan 26
Miracles In May (IRE) 38 3 13 12 Jan 24
Theatre Run (IRE) 32 3 8 14 Sep 20
Hinemoa (FR)from N Clement 23 2 6 3 Jul 24
Beeverstown Bullet (IRE) 19 0 3 18 Apr 23
Pilgrim Way (IRE) 19 3 8 10 Nov 19
Akeela (GB)then Ian Patrick Donoghue 17 1 5 21 May 25
Rebel Cowgirl (IRE) 16 1 3 16 Apr 26
John The Diva (FR) 16 2 8 29 Jan 26
Beeverstown Place (IRE) 15 0 4 10 Apr 25
Apprentice (IRE) 12 1 1 16 May 24
Wild Wild Wind (IRE) 11 0 5 16 Apr 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 74 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John James Feane (2); 45 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard; 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
839950366250
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAlan Persse
18% of all rides
6.1% SR · A/E 1.67
RiderRWSR£1
Alan Persse 82 5 6.1% +15.00
Phillip Enright 39 3 7.7% −11.00
Ben Coen 38 3 7.9% −22.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
22
Archived wins
£267k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 5 wins
Pilgrim Way (IRE) — Horse & Jockey Hotel Handicap Hurdle Cork · May 2019
£12,320
Pilgrim Way (IRE) — Buy Tickets Online At TipperaryRaces.ie Handicap Hurdle Tipperary · May 2016
£7,380
Moll (IRE) — Crowne Plaza Race & Stay Maiden (Plus 10) Dundalk (AW) · Jan 2020
£7,092
Notable horses
Jake Peter (IRE) Miracles In May (IRE) Theatre Run (IRE) Pilgrim Way (IRE) Hinemoa (FR) John The Diva (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Intikhab (USA) 7.5% · 3–40
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,951 runs since 2008 (362 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 277. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 266.
Approve (IRE) 7.9% · 3–38
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,687 runs since 2014 (179 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.7% from 503. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 554.
King's Theatre (IRE) 8.8% · 3–34
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Kalanisi (IRE) 15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,750 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.
Sans Frontieres (IRE) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,256 runs since 2018 (156 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.1% from 184.
Tamayuz (GB) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 10.4% of 5,189 runs since 2012 (401 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 461 · newest first

The latest 50 of 461 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 March 2008 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Lolapipa (IRE)J: Alan Persse Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Median Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 200/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Lolapipa (IRE)J: Alan Persse Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 125/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Auguste Gusteau (IRE)J: Alan Persse Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 25/1
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Beeverstown Boy (FR)J: Mr D Allen John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 3rd 100/30
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Tears I Nevercried (IRE)J: Alan Persse Spin Southwest Maiden11f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 150/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Beeverstown Boy (FR)J: Paddy Cody 1xBet.ie Supports Safer Gambling Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 17 ran 6th 80/1
29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Lolapipa (IRE)J: Alan Persse Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 11th 200/1
24 Jul 26 Cork (IRE) Auguste Gusteau (IRE)J: Ben Coen Follow Us On Social Media Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 19 ran 13th 20/1
08 Jul 26 Fairyhouse Auguste Gusteau (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Good · 15 ran 7th 150/1
04 Jul 26 Naas Jewels Legacy (IRE)J: Alan Persse Care At Home Handicap (0-60)11f · Good · 16 ran 16th 66/1
18 Jun 26 Leopardstown Jewels Legacy (IRE)J: Alan Persse 1878 At 3Arena Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)9f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 13th 66/1
10 Jun 26 Limerick Willie's Mill (IRE)J: Alan Persse Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden8f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 13th 150/1
01 Jun 26 Gowran Park Jewels Legacy (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Ladies Day July 25th Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)9.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 10th 16/1
26 May 26 Dundalk (AW) Auguste Gusteau (IRE)J: Alan Persse Moffett - The Competitive Edge Maiden5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 50/1
16 May 26 Navan Auguste Gusteau (IRE)J: Alan Persse Cusack Hotel Group Family Day July 11th Maiden5f · Yielding · 13 ran 7th 50/1
16 Apr 26 Limerick Rebel Cowgirl (IRE)J: Cian Quirke Professor Maria Hinfelaar Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)19.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 6th 9/2
16 Apr 26 Limerick Wild Wild Wind (IRE)J: Hugh Horgan Big Boss Group Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 4/1F
02 Apr 26 Clonmel Wild Wild Wind (IRE)J: Hugh Horgan KEP Italia Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Soft · 16 ran 4th 11/4F
19 Mar 26 Cork Wild Wild Wind (IRE)J: Hugh Horgan William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Yielding · 22 ran 8th 4/1
27 Feb 26 Dundalk (AW) Auguste Gusteau (IRE)J: Alan Persse Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden6f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 5 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is M A Cahill's strike rate?
M A Cahill has won 22 of 461 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M A Cahill do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 3 wins from 37 runners (8.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M A Cahill?
Alan Persse, with 82 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.1%).
Is M A Cahill in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M A Cahill's Fair A/E?
0.95, from 461 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).