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Trainer profile

M McDonagh

312 runners in the lifetime window · 49 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Apr 2014
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
6–312
Wins / Runs
1.9%
Strike rate
n=312
29 (9%)
Placed
0.51
Fair A/E
n=312 · 0.39 incl. margin
−251.50
£1 level stake
n=312 at SP · −80.6%
£120k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.51).

Deterministic profile computed from 312 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Sep–Oct Claiming riders: 2.3%
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −103.50 to a £1 stake over 130 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.00 across 54 runners (0% strike, −54.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Longfield Stables Abergwaun Stakes at Tipperary (Oct 2008, £35,805). The stable star of the record was Senor Benny (USA) — 5 wins from 76 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.9
n=70 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −70.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.9
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.9
n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.9
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.9
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.3%+0.4
n=130 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −103.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
7.7%+5.8
n=13 · A/E 1.62 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m5f – 3m 4.3% vs 1.9% · n=46
Over 6f – 7f 0% vs 1.9% · n=54 · A/E 0.00
Off a 8-14-day break 0% vs 1.9% · n=54 · A/E 0.00
Off a 31-60-day break 3.8% vs 1.9% · n=53 · A/E 1.15
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 117 1 0.9% −111.00
Hurdle 114 3 2.6% −92.50
Chase 64 2 3.1% −31.00
NH Flat 17 0 0% −17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 108 3 2.8% −81.00
Soft 84 1 1.2% −77.00
Good 53 1 1.9% −47.50
Good to Firm 24 0 0% −24.00
Standard (AW) 23 0 0% −23.00
Good to Soft 18 1 5.6% +3.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ballinrobe 39 0 0% −39.00
Limerick 37 0 0% −37.00
Dundalk (AW) 23 0 0% −23.00
Sligo 23 1 4.3% −17.50
Galway 23 1 4.3% −16.00
Roscommon 22 0 0% −22.00
Thurles 22 0 0% −22.00
Fairyhouse 14 1 7.1% −2.00
Naas 14 0 0% −14.00
Curragh 12 0 0% −12.00
Listowel 12 0 0% −12.00
Tramore 12 1 8.3% −3.00
Tipperary 11 1 9.1% −5.00
Cork 10 0 0% −10.00
Navan 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 13 1 7.7% −7.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 17 3 17.6% 1.42 +1.50
4th–6th fav 48 2 4.2% 0.67 −27.00
7th+ in betting 244 1 0.4% 0.16 −223.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Shesonlyahorse (IRE)then Kevin McDonagh 35 2 8 3 Apr 14
Senor Benny (USA) 34 1 4 30 Apr 10
Theonewiththeleg (IRE)then Kevin McDonagh 29 1 6 3 Jan 14
Robertstown Rover (IRE)from G A Kingston · then Kevin McDonagh 24 2 6 23 Mar 14
Deal Clincher (GB)from Peter Winkworth 16 0 1 26 Nov 10
Red Humour (IRE)from B W Hills 16 0 1 24 Aug 10
Under The Spell (IRE) 12 0 1 28 May 13
Fla's Long Shot (IRE)then Kevin McDonagh 11 0 0 1 Feb 14
Moonlight Fencer (IRE) 11 0 0 27 Dec 12
Montiano (IRE) 11 0 0 31 May 10
Two Euro Luck (IRE)then Kevin McDonagh 10 0 1 8 Oct 13
Garbally Grey (IRE)then Kevin McDonagh 8 0 0 27 Mar 14
All 49 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 49 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive; 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Kevin McDonagh (8); 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
700000303604
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Flanagan 23 0 0% −23.00
Mark Enright 23 3 13% +3.50
Michael Hussey 14 0 0% −14.00
Declan McDonogh 13 0 0% −13.00
B J Cooper 11 0 0% −11.00
Shane Foley 11 0 0% −11.00
A E Lynch 11 1 9.1% −4.00
Christopher Geoghegan 10 1 10% −4.00
Niall P Madden 9 1 11.1% +12.00
Declan Bates 8 0 0% −8.00
Paul Townend 8 0 0% −8.00
Ken Whelan 7 0 0% −7.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
11
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£272k
Prize money
2013
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Senor Benny (USA) — Longfield Stables Abergwaun Stakes (Listed) Tipperary · Oct 2008 · Listed
£35,805
Senor Benny (USA) — Abergwaun Stakes () Tipperary (IRE) · Oct 2007 · Listed
£32,550
Senor Benny (USA) — Tipperary Town & District Traders Handicap (60-100) Tipperary · Aug 2007
£16,275
Notable horses
Senor Benny (USA) Shesonlyahorse (IRE) Robertstown Rover (IRE) Marfooq (USA) Theonewiththeleg (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Benny The Dip (USA) 2.7% · 1–37
Progeny have won 7.4% of 203 runs since 2008 (21 horses).
Carroll House (IRE) 5.6% · 2–36
Progeny have won 6.2% of 1,033 runs since 2008 (133 horses).
Catcher In The Rye (IRE) 5.7% · 2–35
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,570 runs since 2008 (239 horses).
Definite Article (GB) 3.4% · 1–29
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Elusive City (USA) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,427 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.
Reset (AUS) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,388 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12% from 208.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 460 · newest first

The latest 50 of 460 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 3 April 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Apr 14 Clonmel Shesonlyahorse (IRE)J: A P Heskin Slievenamon Beginners Chase16f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 14/1
27 Mar 14 Cork Garbally Grey (IRE)J: Mr S D Bohan Mallow Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 23 ran 13th 50/1
23 Mar 14 Downpatrick Robertstown Rover (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Bet With The Tote Handicap Chase (0-102)21.5f · Soft · 11 ran PU 14/1
20 Mar 14 Thurles Shesonlyahorse (IRE)J: Mark Enright Jimmy Neville Memorial Handicap Chase (0-109)16f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 8/1
16 Mar 14 Limerick Robertstown Rover (IRE)J: Mr E D Linehan Adare Heritage Handicap Chase (0-109)24f · Heavy · 15 ran 6th 25/1
15 Mar 14 Limerick Shesonlyahorse (IRE)J: M P Fogarty Family Day 30th March Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Heavy · 17 ran 11th 33/1
15 Mar 14 Limerick Garbally Grey (IRE)J: Mr S D Bohan Tote Jackpot (c & G) Maiden Hurdle19f · Heavy · 18 ran 8th 100/1
21 Feb 14 Thurles Garbally Grey (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Munster Flat Race16f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 50/1
21 Feb 14 Thurles Robertstown Rover (IRE)J: Mark Enright Rock Of Cashel Handicap Chase (0-102)22f · Heavy · 18 ran PU 14/1
01 Feb 14 Fairyhouse Fla's Long Shot (IRE)J: Mark Enright Follow Fairyhouse On Facebook Handicap Chase (0-109)21.5f · Heavy · 18 ran PU 33/1
01 Feb 14 Fairyhouse Sonny Quaid (IRE)J: Mr S D Bohan Book On-Line At fairyhouse.ie For Special Offers Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 20 ran 19th 100/1
19 Jan 14 Fairyhouse Shesonlyahorse (IRE)J: Davy Russell Fairyhouse For Fundraisers Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Soft · 12 ran PU 33/1
18 Jan 14 Naas Garbally Grey (IRE)J: Mr S D Bohan Tipper Road (pro/am) Flat Race19f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 9th 100/1
18 Jan 14 Naas Fla's Long Shot (IRE)J: Andrew Ring Cheltenham Trial Day 23rd February Handicap Chase (0-109)16f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 8th 25/1
18 Jan 14 Naas Sonny Quaid (IRE)J: M P Butler Book Hospitality On Line Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 22 ran 19th 100/1
06 Jan 14 Thurles Robertstown Rover (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Thurles Racecourse Handicap Chase (0-102)24f · Heavy · 18 ran PU 10/1
05 Jan 14 Naas Shesonlyahorse (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares Beginners Chase19f · Soft · 13 ran 9th 40/1
03 Jan 14 Dundalk (AW) Theonewiththeleg (IRE)J: Connor King Happy New Year To All Our Patrons Handicap (47-65)12f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 33/1
01 Jan 14 Tramore Fla's Long Shot (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Tom Carroll Memorial Handicap Chase (0-95)21f · Heavy · 14 ran PU 16/1
29 Dec 13 Limerick Shesonlyahorse (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Student Race Festival 9th & 10th April Mares Beginners Chase19.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M McDonagh's strike rate?
M McDonagh has won 6 of 312 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.9% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M McDonagh do best at?
Ballinrobe by strike rate: 0 wins from 39 runners (0%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is M McDonagh's Fair A/E?
0.51, from 312 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).