Michael Dods
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 440 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). In Group and Graded company the record reads 16% (215 runs).
In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 15.8% (n=215, Fair A/E 1.23), but debutants struggle at 7.3% (n=506, Fair A/E 0.95). Connor Beasley rides 26% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.6%, A/E 0.92). The yard also reads well in Class 1 (15.8%, n=215). 34 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes at York (Aug 2016, £236,622). The stable star of the record: Dakota Gold (GB) — 17 wins from 79 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
SteadyWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 9,484 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 9,484 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 27 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 16 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 27 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Michael Dods's strike rate?
- Michael Dods has won 904 of 8,432 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Michael Dods do best at?
- Hamilton by strike rate: 47 wins from 307 runners (15.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Michael Dods?
- Connor Beasley, with 2,176 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 231 (10.6%).
- Is Michael Dods in form?
- In the last 14 days: 19 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 10.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 10.7% since 2008.
- What is Michael Dods's Fair A/E?
- 0.98, from 8,381 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.