What is Michael Hourigan's strike rate?

Michael Hourigan has won 188 of 2,619 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael Hourigan do best at?

Listowel by strike rate: 25 wins from 177 runners (14.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Michael Hourigan?

A P Heskin, with 564 runners since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 47 (8.3%).

What is Michael Hourigan's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 2,617 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Michael Hourigan

2,619 runners in the lifetime window · 264 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Sep 2024 92% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

188–2,619

Wins / Runs

7.2%

Strike rate

n=2,619

605 (23%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=2,617 · 0.76 incl. margin

−1,111.66

£1 level stake

n=2,619 at SP · −42.4%

£3.17m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

1.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 9% (92 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,619 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov 30.1% when favourite A P Heskin: 8.3% from 564 Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Listowel (14.1%, n=177), clear of the yard's 7.2% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=44, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 1.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.44 and −156.75 to a £1 stake over 174 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. A P Heskin rides 22% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.3%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Firm going (17.5%, n=40). 28 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Hennessy Cognac Gold Cup at Leopardstown (Feb 2007, £117,000). The stable star of the record: False Economy (IRE) — 8 wins from 51 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.9%−2.3

n=431 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −214.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−7.2

n=44 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −44.00

Debutants · first career start

1.7%−5.5

n=174 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −156.75

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.7%+1.5

n=92 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +5.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.8%−0.4

n=88 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −29.00

When favourite

30.1%

n=143 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −11.14

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.8%−1.4

n=1,111 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −401.14

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.7%−2.5

n=232 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −149.42

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17.3% vs 7.2% · n=185

With Barry Geraghty 16.5% vs 7.2% · n=139

With R Walsh 18.6% vs 7.2% · n=43

On Firm going 17.5% vs 7.2% · n=40

At Listowel 14.1% vs 7.2% · n=177

With debutants 1.7% vs 7.2% · n=174

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,482 108 7.3% −602.68

Chase 678 58 8.6% −278.48

NH Flat 256 14 5.5% −162.50

Flat 203 8 3.9% −68.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 868 63 7.3% −311.19

Good 677 46 6.8% −290.71

Heavy 579 41 7.1% −265.72

Good to Soft 232 12 5.2% −133.62

Good to Firm 200 18 9% −107.92

Firm 40 7 17.5% +17.50

Standard (AW) 23 1 4.3% −20.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Limerick 331 32 9.7% −112.72

Cork 222 11 5% −132.25

Punchestown 177 5 2.8% −151.90

Listowel 177 25 14.1% +77.87

Killarney 159 8 5% −79.54

Clonmel 157 10 6.4% −68.42

Fairyhouse 137 4 2.9% −107.75

Thurles 120 13 10.8% −29.43

Ballinrobe 109 11 10.1% −56.75

Galway 106 7 6.6% −56.50

Naas 104 6 5.8% −16.25

Kilbeggan 96 6 6.3% −33.84

Tipperary 78 3 3.8% −52.00

Leopardstown 78 3 3.8% −56.25

Gowran Park 73 6 8.2% −9.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 198 9 4.5% −124.42

Class 2 23 2 8.7% +18.00

Class 4 21 6 28.6% +0.98

Class 3 10 0 0% −10.00

Class 5 7 1 14.3% −4.12

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 173 55 31.8% 1.29 +9.81

2nd–3rd fav 454 67 14.8% 1.04 −105.47

4th–6th fav 668 39 5.8% 0.85 −249.00

7th+ in betting 1,324 27 2% 0.67 −767.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 1,007 90 8.9% −244.37

1m5f – 2m 754 38 5% −497.25

2m5f – 3m 659 54 8.2% −249.12

Over 3m 110 6 5.5% −31.92

1m2f – 1m4f 42 0 0% −42.00

6f – 7f 25 0 0% −25.00

1m – 1m1f 21 0 0% −21.00

Under 6f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 331 19 5.7% −173.67

2009 304 24 7.9% −73.91

2010 288 22 7.6% −136.52

2011 249 22 8.8% −50.18

2012 266 18 6.8% −149.54

2013 254 22 8.7% −111.88

2014 164 18 11% −74.45

2015 130 8 6.2% −64.50

2016 106 4 3.8% −76.00

2017 75 6 8% +4.50

2018 67 5 7.5% −22.00

2019 68 6 8.8% +5.33

2020 59 1 1.7% −44.00

2021 57 6 10.5% +9.25

2022 69 5 7.2% −29.84

2023 69 1 1.4% −66.75

2024 63 1 1.6% −57.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,113 79 7.1% −319.60

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

17+ runners 766 40 5.2% −338.46

14-16 runners 721 40 5.5% −352.45

11-13 runners 544 38 7% −255.76

8-10 runners 392 46 11.7% −97.64

5-7 runners 183 19 10.4% −80.60

2-4 runners 13 5 38.5% +13.25

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.5% completed · 2,160 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 678 79.2% 38 15 79 5 4

Hurdle 1,482 89.9% 31 18 90 8 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

A New Story (IRE) 57 1 18 19 May 13

Hans Crescent (FR)then Patrick Neville 56 6 15 12 May 14

Dancing Tornado (IRE)from M Keane 56 6 19 24 May 13

False Economy (IRE) 51 8 15 19 Oct 14

The Gatechecker (IRE)from David M O'Brien 45 6 16 4 Apr 21

Hash Brown (IRE) 45 5 11 16 Aug 20

Dawerann (IRE)then Gordon Elliott 45 2 9 28 Aug 16

Holeinthewall Bar (IRE)then Gordon Elliott 42 2 13 2 Sep 16

The Job Is Right (GB) 40 5 16 28 Jan 17

Dizzy Rascal (GB) 39 1 11 16 Sep 12

Undressed (FR)then W P Mullins 38 3 10 28 Apr 18

Run With The Wind (IRE)from David Wachman · then S R B Crawford 38 6 12 1 Nov 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 264 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David M O'Brien (2); 48 had their first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard, most often for Gordon Elliott (5); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

36768114689107

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderA P Heskin

22% of all rides
8.3% SR · A/E 1.12

RiderRWSR£1

A P Heskin 564 47 8.3% −165.13

Tom Doyle 207 14 6.8% −81.75

Barry Geraghty 139 23 16.5% −43.25

Mark Walsh 85 6 7.1% −60.42

Davy Russell 84 10 11.9% −35.51

Miss L A Hourigan 79 6 7.6% +10.00

Darragh O'Keeffe 75 8 10.7% −2.76

Mark Enright 68 3 4.4% −57.25

Andrew J McNamara 46 2 4.3% −20.00

R Walsh 43 8 18.6% +10.75

Danny Mullins 40 2 5% −17.50

Mark McDonagh 37 2 5.4% +12.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

277

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.83m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 37 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Beef Or Salmon (IRE) — Hennessy Cognac Gold Cup (Grade 1) Leopardstown · Feb 2007 · Grade 1

£117,000

Beef Or Salmon (IRE) — Hennessy Cognac Gold Cup (Grade 1) Leopardstown · Feb 2006 · Grade 1

£109,800

Beef Or Salmon (IRE) — Lexus Chase (Grade 1) Leopardstown · Dec 2005 · Grade 1

£97,500

Notable horses

False Economy (IRE) Dancing Tornado (IRE) Church Island (IRE) Hans Crescent (FR) The Gatechecker (IRE) Just (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oscar (IRE) 12.6% · 14–111

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Dansili (GB) 7.2% · 7–97

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Vinnie Roe (IRE) 10.5% · 10–95

Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,061 runs since 2010 (236 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 7.8% from 166.

Presenting (GB) 8.3% · 7–84

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Moscow Society (USA) 5.2% · 4–77

Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,521 runs since 2008 (255 horses).

Orpen (USA) 10.4% · 8–77

Progeny have won 9% of 4,038 runs since 2008 (381 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.4% from 113.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,110 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,110 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 28 September 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Sep 24 Listowel Ballywilliam Boy (IRE)J: Danny Mullins M.J. Carroll ARRO Handicap Hurdle20f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 5/4F

26 Sep 24 Listowel Ballywilliam Boy (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Handicap Hurdle (80-123)20f · Soft · 14 ran 3rd 4/1

26 Sep 24 Listowel Getawiggleon (FR)J: Danny Mullins Buckley Agri New Holland Irish EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 15 ran 5th 18/1

11 Sep 24 Cork Thefutureisnow (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Follow Us On Social Media Maiden8f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 12th 250/1

25 Aug 24 Naas Getawiggleon (FR)J: James Ryan TRM Speedxcell Multi Vitamin And Mineral Tonic Handicap10.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 5th 80/1

24 Aug 24 Killarney Ballywilliam Boy (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Killarney Park Hotel Beginners Chase17f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 2nd 14/1

22 Aug 24 Killarney Icee M B A (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Thorn Plant Hire Handicap Chase (0-109)21f · Yielding · 9 ran PU 40/1

22 Aug 24 Killarney Rising Dust (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Jeremy O'Neill Memorial Handicap Chase (0-102)23.5f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran PU 11/2

18 Aug 24 Tramore Getawiggleon (FR)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Peter Queally Memorial Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 7th 33/1

12 Aug 24 Ballinrobe Thefutureisnow (IRE)J: Phillip Enright C.J. Sheeran Ltd 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 12th 100/1

05 Aug 24 Cork Four Shares (GB)J: Aidan Kelly Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 10th 100/1

03 Aug 24 Galway Madam Alkaterina (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Bathshack Maiden8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 200/1

03 Aug 24 Galway Thefutureisnow (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Bathshack Maiden8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 9th 250/1

03 Aug 24 Galway Her Self (IRE)J: P J O'Hanlon BoyleSports Best Odds Guaranteed Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding · 20 ran UR 250/1

24 Jul 24 Wexford Ballywilliam Boy (IRE)J: Danny Mullins www.wexfordraces.ie Beginners Chase19.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 9/1

23 Jul 24 Ballinrobe All In Peder (FR)J: Danny Gilligan David Heneghan Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-109)17.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 15th 11/1

23 Jul 24 Ballinrobe Her Self (IRE)J: Mark McDonagh Breaffy House Resort Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 13th 200/1

20 Jul 24 Curragh Madam Alkaterina (IRE)J: Robert Whearty La Celia Wines Irish European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 14 ran 11th 250/1

19 Jul 24 Killarney Rising Dust (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Lee Strand Handicap Chase (0-102)23f · Good · 15 ran 4th 4/1F

19 Jul 24 Killarney Winning Smut (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Lee Strand Handicap Hurdle23f · Good · 10 ran 5th 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Hourigan's strike rate?: Michael Hourigan has won 188 of 2,619 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Hourigan do best at?: Listowel by strike rate: 25 wins from 177 runners (14.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael Hourigan?: A P Heskin, with 564 runners since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 47 (8.3%).
What is Michael Hourigan's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 2,617 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.