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Trainer profile

Mitchell Hunt

227 runners in the lifetime window · 39 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jun 2024
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
8–227
Wins / Runs
3.5%
Strike rate
n=227
47 (21%)
Placed
0.54
n=226 · 0.46 incl. margin
−181.75
£1 level stake
n=227 at SP · −80.1%
£103k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.54).

Deterministic profile computed from 227 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Sean Houlihan: 5.9% from 68
The read

The record is strongest at Taunton (10%, n=30), clear of the yard's 3.5% baseline. Sean Houlihan rides 30% of the entries and edges the yard's average (5.9% vs 3.5%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (6.5%, n=77). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.78 across 51 runners (5.9% strike, −39.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.2%−1.3
n=46 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −41.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.5
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.5
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.5
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
11.1%+7.6
n=9 · A/E 1.68 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
16.7%
n=6 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −2.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.3%−2.2
n=79 · A/E 0.18 · £1 −74.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Taunton 10% vs 3.5% · n=30
With horses switching code 7.5% vs 3.5% · n=40
Off a 15-30-day break 6.5% vs 3.5% · n=77
With Sean Houlihan 5.9% vs 3.5% · n=68
With claiming riders up 1.3% vs 3.5% · n=79
On Good to Soft going 5.9% vs 3.5% · n=51
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 109 4 3.7% −83.00
Flat 94 3 3.2% −77.00
Chase 13 1 7.7% −10.75
NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 57 2 3.5% −43.50
Good 54 1 1.9% −49.00
Good to Soft 51 3 5.9% −39.25
Soft 44 2 4.5% −29.00
Heavy 13 0 0% −13.00
Good to Firm 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Taunton 30 3 10% −12.75
Wincanton 24 2 8.3% −13.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 21 1 4.8% −16.50
Exeter 20 0 0% −20.00
Kempton (AW) 17 0 0% −17.00
Hereford 12 0 0% −12.00
Worcester 11 0 0% −11.00
Chepstow 10 0 0% −10.00
Lingfield (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Bath 7 0 0% −7.00
Ffos Las 6 0 0% −6.00
Uttoxeter 6 0 0% −6.00
Southwell (AW) 6 1 16.7% +3.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Salisbury 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 93 3 3.2% −72.00
Class 4 70 2 2.9% −62.75
Class 6 59 3 5.1% −42.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 2 18.2% 0.74 −5.25
2nd–3rd fav 31 3 9.7% 0.67 −15.50
4th–6th fav 66 3 4.5% 0.57 −42.00
7th+ in betting 119 0 0% 0.00 −119.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Opticality (GB)then Tim Vaughan 26 2 7 19 Apr 24
Just Go For It (GB)from Kevin Bishop · then Kevin Bishop 20 3 9 7 May 24
Mardoof (IRE)from Sir Michael Stoute 18 1 8 20 May 24
Mini Yeats (IRE)then Tim Vaughan 13 0 3 11 Apr 24
Army Of One (GER)from Dr Richard Newland 13 0 2 13 Mar 23
Ginderella (IRE)then Tim Vaughan 12 0 4 9 Mar 24
Chankaya (GB)from Hugo Palmer · then Tim Vaughan 12 1 3 20 Feb 24
Ishani (GB)then Tim Vaughan 10 0 1 30 Jun 24
Lets Go Dutchess (GB)from Kevin Bishop 10 0 2 29 Jun 22
Pyrrhos (GB)from Tom Ward 7 0 0 21 Jan 23
Outside Adesa (IRE)then Tim Vaughan 6 0 0 14 Apr 24
Sindri (GB)from Michael Bell · then Tim Vaughan 5 0 0 24 Apr 24
All 39 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 39 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Kevin Bishop (6); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Tim Vaughan (13) and Bill Turner (2); 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0519050000700
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSean Houlihan
30% of all rides
5.9% SR · A/E 0.97
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Houlihan 68 4 5.9% −44.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
8
Archived wins
£103k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 4 wins
Opticality (GB) — Build Your Acca With BetUK Handicap (Div 1) Southwell (AW) · Mar 2024 · Class 6
£5,862
Just Go For It (GB) — William Hill Daily Bet Boost Handicap Hurdle Taunton · Mar 2024 · Class 5
£5,281
Chankaya (GB) — Blundells Preparatory Racing To School Novices' Handicap Hurdle Taunton · Feb 2024 · Class 5
£4,832

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Coach House (IRE) 7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,479 runs since 2018 (145 horses).
Passing Glance (GB) 15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,563 runs since 2008 (293 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 222. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 290. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.
Awtaad (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 11.5% of 2,879 runs since 2020 (210 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.7% from 104. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 14.5% from 608. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.1% from 115.
Kingston Hill (GB) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,649 runs since 2019 (204 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.4% from 168.
Yeats (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,836 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.
Dubawi (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,977 runs since 2009 (1,530 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 227 · newest first

The latest 50 of 227 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 April 2021 to 30 June 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mitchell Hunt's strike rate?
Mitchell Hunt has won 8 of 227 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.5% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mitchell Hunt do best at?
Taunton by strike rate: 3 wins from 30 runners (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mitchell Hunt?
Sean Houlihan, with 68 runners since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (5.9%).
What is Mitchell Hunt's Fair A/E?
0.54, from 226 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).