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Trainer profile

Murty McGrath

331 runners in the lifetime window · 49 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 141 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
18–331
Wins / Runs
5.4%
Strike rate
n=331
50 (15%)
Placed
0.87
Fair A/E
n=330 · 0.73 incl. margin
−91.20
£1 level stake
n=331 at SP · −27.6%
£102k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.87).

Deterministic profile computed from 331 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.4% Shane Kelly: 5.9% from 135
The read

It is weakest at Lingfield (AW) (1.4% over 71 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Shane Kelly rides 41% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.9%, A/E 0.91). The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (10.6%, n=47). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 5: Fair A/E 0.79 across 128 runners (3.1% strike, −61.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Alan Swinbank Mares' Standard Open NH Flat Race at Market Rasen (Jan 2019, £11,390). The stable star of the record: Rezwaan (GB) — 6 wins from 68 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.4%+1.0
n=78 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +4.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.4
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
Debutants · first career start
7.7%+2.3
n=26 · A/E 3.72 · £1 +30.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.4
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.4
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
When favourite
23.5%
n=17 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −5.20
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3%−2.4
n=33 · A/E 0.55 · £1 +8.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
20%+14.6
n=5 · A/E 5.60 · £1 +8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 11.5% vs 5.4% · n=52
On Good to Firm going 10.6% vs 5.4% · n=47
At Lingfield (AW) 1.4% vs 5.4% · n=71
In Class 5 3.1% vs 5.4% · n=128
In Class 6 7.6% vs 5.4% · n=145
On Good going 2.6% vs 5.4% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 263 12 4.6% −116.00
Hurdle 33 2 6.1% −14.20
NH Flat 25 4 16% +49.00
Chase 10 0 0% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 187 10 5.3% −85.00
Good to Firm 47 5 10.6% +31.80
Good 39 1 2.6% −26.00
Soft 31 1 3.2% +10.00
Good to Soft 13 1 7.7% −8.00
Heavy 10 0 0% −10.00
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 86 6 7% −46.50
Lingfield (AW) 71 1 1.4% −61.50
Brighton 20 1 5% +14.00
Chelmsford (AW) 16 3 18.8% +37.00
Lingfield 15 0 0% −15.00
Plumpton 13 1 7.7% +2.00
Huntingdon 12 0 0% −12.00
Windsor 8 0 0% −8.00
Folkestone 7 1 14.3% +4.00
Fontwell 7 0 0% −7.00
Yarmouth 7 0 0% −7.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Bath 6 0 0% −6.00
Southwell (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Warwick 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 145 11 7.6% −3.50
Class 5 128 4 3.1% −61.50
Class 4 40 2 5% −21.20
Class 7 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 1 5 1 20% +8.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 19 4 21.1% 0.81 −7.20
2nd–3rd fav 37 3 8.1% 0.55 −19.50
4th–6th fav 76 7 9.2% 1.37 +3.50
7th+ in betting 199 4 2% 0.76 −68.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rezwaan (GB)from Ed Dunlop 68 6 14 17 Nov 17
Ballybaymoonshiner (FR)from David Menuisier 28 3 10 6 Jun 26
Finlodex (GB) 16 0 2 29 Jan 14
Dr Julius No (GB)from Richard Hughes 12 0 0 22 Oct 19
Sei Bella (GB) 11 1 2 11 May 23
Who What When (GB) 10 3 5 1 Feb 21
Onlyriversrunfree (GB) 9 0 2 13 Jun 26
Tidy Affair (IRE)from Richard Hannon Snr · then Gary Moore 9 0 0 31 Oct 12
Shabahar (IRE)from John M Oxx 9 1 2 14 Sep 08
Ragstone Road (IRE)from Richard Hughes 8 1 1 15 Oct 20
Ereka (IRE)from Tracey Collins · then John Best 8 0 1 15 Aug 11
Ragdollianna (GB)from Norma Twomey · then Mark Hoad 8 0 2 24 Apr 11
All 49 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 49 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gary Moore (4) and Richard Hughes (4); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Gary Moore (7) and Raymond York (3); 27 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1233967507803
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderShane Kelly
41% of all rides
5.9% SR · A/E 0.91
RiderRWSR£1
Shane Kelly 135 8 5.9% −81.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
22
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£141k
Prize money
2020
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Who What When (GB) — Alan Swinbank Mares' Standard Open NH Flat Race (Listed) Market Rasen · Jan 2019 · Listed
£11,390
Enhancer (GB) — Novices' Hurdle Cheltenham · Apr 2005 · Class 2
£8,784
Reel Power (GB) — Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified Stakes Brighton · Jul 2023 · Class 6
£5,234
Notable horses
Rezwaan (GB) Ballybaymoonshiner (FR) Enhancer (GB) Who What When (GB) Shabahar (IRE) Sei Bella (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Alhaarth (IRE) 8.8% · 6–68
Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).
Dandy Man (IRE) 10.7% · 3–28
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,959 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,219 runs since 2009 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.
Dick Turpin (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,368 runs since 2015 (103 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.7% from 247. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.7% from 149. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.1% from 271.
Crosspeace (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 4% of 150 runs since 2013 (16 horses).
Kayf Tara (GB) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,748 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 458 · newest first

The latest 50 of 458 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 March 2005 to 13 June 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Jun 26 Bath Onlyriversrunfree (GB)J: Rhys Clutterbuck Support Ben Saunders Foundation HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Good · 13 ran 10th 16/1
06 Jun 26 Lingfield Ballybaymoonshiner (FR)J: Tom Queally Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 11/1
28 Apr 26 Southwell (AW) Onlyriversrunfree (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Conference & Events At Southwell Racecourse HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 16/1
28 Apr 26 Southwell (AW) Ballybaymoonshiner (FR)J: Lewis Edmunds Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 25/1
24 Apr 26 Fontwell Ballybay (IRE)J: Caoilin Quinn A.W. Jefferys (Southampton) Ltd Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 12 ran 6th 25/1
05 Apr 26 Plumpton Ballybay (IRE)J: Caoilin Quinn Charlotte Savill Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18f · Good · 9 ran 5th 40/1
25 Mar 26 Lingfield (AW) Onlyriversrunfree (GB)J: Tom Queally Midnite, Building The Future Of Betting Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 40/1
22 Dec 25 Huntingdon Ballybay (IRE)J: Caoilin Quinn PricedUp Bet Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 40/1
15 Dec 25 Lingfield (AW) Onlyriversrunfree (GB)J: Neil Callan Midnite, Building The Future Of Betting Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 22/1
10 Dec 25 Kempton (AW) Ballybaymoonshiner (FR)J: Tom Queally Racehorse Shares For Christmas At racingclub.com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 11th 20/1
27 Nov 25 Lingfield Ballybay (IRE)J: Caoilin Quinn Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 16/1
25 Nov 25 Lingfield (AW) Onlyriversrunfree (GB)J: Tom Queally Lingfield Park HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 66/1
16 Jun 25 Chepstow Onlyriversrunfree (GB)J: Pierre-Louis Jamin bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Sites HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 8th 28/1
16 Jun 25 Chepstow Ballybaymoonshiner (FR)J: Pierre-Louis Jamin Glamorgan Federation WI HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 14/1
22 May 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Ballybaymoonshiner (FR)J: Lewis Edmunds Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 13/2
17 Mar 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Ocean Odyssey (IRE)J: Tom Queally Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 9/4F
22 Feb 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Ballybaymoonshiner (FR)J: Darragh Keenan Each Way Extra At bet365 HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 4th 11/2
05 Feb 25 Kempton (AW) Onlyriversrunfree (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Get Daily Price Boosts At Unibet Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 6th 250/1
02 Feb 25 Lingfield (AW) Ocean Odyssey (IRE)J: Shane Kelly Win 1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 11/5F
15 Jan 25 Kempton (AW) Ballybaymoonshiner (FR)J: Shane Kelly Get Daily Price Boosts At Unibet HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 4th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Murty McGrath's strike rate?
Murty McGrath has won 18 of 331 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Murty McGrath do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 86 runners (7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Murty McGrath?
Shane Kelly, with 135 runners since 2008 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (5.9%).
What is Murty McGrath's Fair A/E?
0.87, from 330 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).