What is Valentine Donoghue's strike rate?

Valentine Donoghue has won 7 of 260 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Valentine Donoghue do best at?

Perth by strike rate: 1 wins from 42 runners (2.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Valentine Donoghue's Fair A/E?

0.61, from 260 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Valentine Donoghue

260 runners in the lifetime window · 47 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Dec 2010

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

7–260

Wins / Runs

2.7%

Strike rate

n=260

36 (14%)

Placed

0.61

Fair A/E

n=260 · 0.47 incl. margin

−195.54

£1 level stake

n=260 at SP · −75.2%

£50,423

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 90 runners a season, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.61).

Deterministic profile computed from 260 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 1.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.45 and −93.00 to a £1 stake over 116 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The yard also read well in Flat races (7.7%, n=52) and on Good to Soft going (8.1%, n=37).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

1.9%−0.8

n=53 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −50.90

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.3%+2.6

n=19 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −16.90

Debutants · first career start

0%−2.7

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

13.3%+10.6

n=15 · A/E 4.13 · £1 +15.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−2.7

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

When favourite

100%

n=2 · A/E 1.93 · £1 +1.46

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

1.7%−1.0

n=116 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −93.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Flat races 7.7% vs 2.7% · n=52

On Good to Soft going 8.1% vs 2.7% · n=37

In Class 5 7.3% vs 2.7% · n=41

In Class 4 6.8% vs 2.7% · n=44

On Heavy going 0% vs 2.7% · n=46

With horses switching code 0% vs 2.7% · n=45

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 184 3 1.6% −155.64

Flat 52 4 7.7% −15.90

Chase 12 0 0% −12.00

NH Flat 12 0 0% −12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 55 1 1.8% −38.00

Good 53 1 1.9% −38.00

Good to Firm 49 2 4.1% −45.54

Heavy 46 0 0% −46.00

Good to Soft 37 3 8.1% −8.00

Standard (AW) 18 0 0% −18.00

Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Perth 42 1 2.4% −40.64

Fairyhouse 17 0 0% −17.00

Navan 15 0 0% −15.00

Down Royal 15 1 6.7% +2.00

Musselburgh 14 3 21.4% +20.00

Clonmel 12 0 0% −12.00

Gowran Park 9 0 0% −9.00

Punchestown 9 0 0% −9.00

Uttoxeter 9 0 0% −9.00

Thurles 8 0 0% −8.00

Downpatrick 8 0 0% −8.00

Ayr 7 0 0% −7.00

Dundalk (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Wexford 7 0 0% −7.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 44 3 6.8% −17.64

Class 5 41 3 7.3% −19.90

Class 6 14 0 0% −14.00

Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 2 2 100% 1.93 +1.46

2nd–3rd fav 11 1 9.1% 0.70 −5.00

4th–6th fav 60 1 1.7% 0.27 −50.00

7th+ in betting 187 3 1.6% 0.56 −142.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80.6% completed · 196 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 12 75% 1 0 2 0 0

Hurdle 184 81% 4 1 30 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Tarkani (IRE)from John M Oxx · then Gordon Elliott 30 1 10 28 Jul 10

Fool's Wildcat (USA)from Brian Meehan · then Gordon Elliott 20 0 2 4 Jul 10

Jamie's Boy (IRE)from Gavin Cromwell 17 0 0 7 Sep 09

Shopfrontspecialst (IRE)then Gordon Elliott 16 0 1 23 May 10

Be Smart (IRE)from John M Oxx 16 0 0 12 May 10

Oscar's Emerald (IRE)then I McCaghy 13 0 2 11 Jun 09

Baileys Encore (GB)from Mark Johnston 12 0 1 12 May 10

Foyle View (IRE)then R McGlinchey 9 0 2 6 Aug 08

Chookie Hamilton (GB)from Noel Wilson · then Keith Dalgleish 8 2 4 29 Dec 10

Castara Bay (GB)from Richard Hannon Snr 8 0 1 23 May 10

Mr McGonagle (IRE)from Mrs John Harrington 8 0 0 11 Jun 09

Blues In The Night (IRE)from Peter Makin · then Adrian Sexton 8 0 0 10 Oct 08

All 47 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 47 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Noel Wilson (5) and John M Oxx (3); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for Keith Dalgleish (5) and Gordon Elliott (3); 27 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0000303081600

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobbie Colgan

15% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00

RiderRWSR£1

Robbie Colgan 38 0 0% −38.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£111k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 4 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Jamie's Boy (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (74-109) Naas · Jan 2006

£10,365

Jamie's Boy (IRE) — Kilcullen Handicap Hurdle (81-116) Naas · Mar 2006

£8,638

Jamie's Boy (IRE) — Powerstown Desmene Handicap Hurdle (74-102) Clonmel · Nov 2007

£6,910

Notable horses

Tarkani (IRE) Jamie's Boy (IRE) Chookie Hamilton (GB) Pengana (IRE) Chookie Avon (GB) Khandaq (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Spectrum (IRE) 2.9% · 1–34

Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,553 runs since 2008 (110 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 11.2% from 259.

Forest Wildcat (USA) 0% · 0–20

Progeny have won 6% of 317 runs since 2008 (22 horses).

Turtle Island (IRE) 0% · 0–20

Progeny have won 7.5% of 3,325 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.7% from 215.

Lord Americo (IRE) 0% · 0–17

Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,189 runs since 2008 (237 horses).

Statue Of Liberty (USA) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (210 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 119.

Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 436 · newest first

The latest 50 of 436 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 December 2005 to 29 December 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Dec 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Chookie Hamilton (GB)J: Shirley Teasdale Bet Totepool On Today's Irish Racing HandicapClass 4 · 16.5f · Standard To Slow · 6 ran 6th 10/1

10 Dec 10 Southwell (AW) Hold On Tiger (IRE)J: Shirley Teasdale southwell-racecourse.co.uk Apprentice Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 8/1

09 Dec 10 Kempton (AW) Dower Glen (GB)J: Shirley Teasdale Kempton.co.uk Apprentice HandicapClass 7 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 8/1

09 Dec 10 Kempton (AW) Chookie Hamilton (GB)J: Tom Eaves Kia Venga HandicapClass 4 · 16f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 11/1

04 Dec 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Chookie Avon (GB)J: Tom Eaves Bet On Live Cricket At totesport.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 9th 13/2

25 Nov 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Chookie Hamilton (GB)J: Tom Eaves Betdaq On 0870 178 1221 HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 20/1

25 Nov 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Dower Glen (GB)J: Shirley Teasdale Enjoy The Party Pack Group Offer Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 16/1

19 Nov 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Chookie Avon (GB)J: Joe Fanning Racing Start Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 10/1

18 Nov 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Khandaq (USA)J: Paul Mulrennan Bet Multiples - Betdaq HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 6 ran UR 8/1

04 Nov 10 Kempton (AW) Rabbie Burns (GB)J: Joe Fanning Panoramic Bar & Restaurant Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 33/1

02 Nov 10 Catterick Machir Bay (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Hambleton Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 100/1

30 Oct 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Royal Amnesty (GB)J: Martin Lane Ladbrokes.com HandicapClass 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 40/1

30 Oct 10 Ayr Hold On Tiger (IRE)J: Shirley Teasdale Advance Construction HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Heavy · 9 ran 8th 20/1

27 Oct 10 Musselburgh Battle Planner (USA)J: P J McDonald Weatherbys Bloodstock Insurance Willie Park Trophy HandicapClass 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 28/1

27 Oct 10 Musselburgh Chookie Hamilton (GB)J: Tom Eaves Weatherbys Bloodstock Insurance Willie Park Trophy HandicapClass 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 8/1

22 Oct 10 Ayr Chookie Avon (GB)J: Joe Fanning Event-A-Loo HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 13 ran 4th 14/1

22 Oct 10 Ayr Dower Glen (GB)J: Shirley Teasdale Poppyscotland Supporting Our Heroes HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 80/1

17 Oct 10 Newcastle Machir Bay (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Rural Retailer Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 7f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 14/1

15 Oct 10 Redcar Chookie Avon (GB)J: Adrian Nicholls Thanks & See You Next Season HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good · 15 ran 6th 7/1

15 Oct 10 Redcar Chookie Hamilton (GB)J: Lee Topliss Sam Hall Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Good · 16 ran 4th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Valentine Donoghue's strike rate?: Valentine Donoghue has won 7 of 260 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Valentine Donoghue do best at?: Perth by strike rate: 1 wins from 42 runners (2.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Valentine Donoghue's Fair A/E?: 0.61, from 260 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.