What is Oliver McKiernan's strike rate?

Oliver McKiernan has won 155 of 2,113 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Oliver McKiernan do best at?

Gowran Park by strike rate: 11 wins from 90 runners (12.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Oliver McKiernan?

Barry Browne, with 450 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (7.1%).

Is Oliver McKiernan in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Oliver McKiernan's Fair A/E?

1.09, from 2,111 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Oliver McKiernan

2,113 runners in the lifetime window · 136 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

155–2,113

Wins / Runs

7.3%

Strike rate

n=2,113

485 (23%)

Placed

1.09

Fair A/E

n=2,111 · 0.85 incl. margin

−710.60

£1 level stake

n=2,113 at SP · −33.6%

£2.78m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,113 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 32.2% when favourite Barry Browne: 7.1% from 450 Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Tipperary (16.7%, n=30), clear of the yard's 7.3% baseline. It is weakest at Dundalk (AW) (0% over 45 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 5.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −67.93 to a £1 stake over 200 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Barry Browne rides 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.1%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 33 runners, 7.3pts below the baseline. 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Punchestown Guinness Gold Cup at Punchestown (May 2011, £96,000). The stable star of the record: Whatuthink (IRE) — 8 wins from 82 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.3%−1.0

n=444 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −180.80

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.2%−3.1

n=24 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −17.00

Debutants · first career start

6.1%−1.2

n=98 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −19.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.6%−0.7

n=91 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +19.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.5%−0.8

n=107 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −48.67

When favourite

32.2%

n=90 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +4.40

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.5%−0.8

n=1,051 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −442.32

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.5%−1.8

n=200 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −67.93

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17.3% vs 7.3% · n=156

At Tipperary 16.7% vs 7.3% · n=30

With John Cullen 16.7% vs 7.3% · n=30

At Dundalk (AW) 0% vs 7.3% · n=45

Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 7.3% · n=33

With James Duggan 1.7% vs 7.3% · n=58

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,181 97 8.2% −369.69

Chase 539 38 7.1% −134.57

Flat 271 15 5.5% −130.84

NH Flat 122 5 4.1% −75.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 844 64 7.6% −305.54

Heavy 540 53 9.8% −131.14

Good 385 23 6% −127.17

Good to Soft 245 11 4.5% −89.00

Standard (AW) 49 1 2% −45.25

Good to Firm 43 3 7% −5.50

Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 355 19 5.4% −191.50

Fairyhouse 179 12 6.7% −83.62

Naas 176 15 8.5% −74.09

Leopardstown 162 9 5.6% −75.50

Navan 141 8 5.7% −39.75

Limerick 123 11 8.9% −30.13

Thurles 111 12 10.8% +42.25

Gowran Park 90 11 12.2% −8.75

Clonmel 73 7 9.6% −6.90

Cork 71 7 9.9% +2.25

Ballinrobe 69 2 2.9% −50.00

Kilbeggan 60 3 5% −36.00

Down Royal 60 4 6.7% −33.17

Downpatrick 54 6 11.1% +3.45

Roscommon 45 4 8.9% −17.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 196 11 5.6% −21.93

Class 4 11 0 0% −11.00

Class 5 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 6 2 1 50% +1.75

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 112 30 26.8% 1.17 −11.60

2nd–3rd fav 318 45 14.2% 1.00 −65.50

4th–6th fav 582 54 9.3% 1.33 −20.50

7th+ in betting 1,101 26 2.4% 0.82 −613.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 824 68 8.3% −238.55

1m5f – 2m 572 36 6.3% −279.42

2m5f – 3m 497 39 7.8% −155.88

1m2f – 1m4f 77 5 6.5% −11.00

Over 3m 69 4 5.8% +25.00

6f – 7f 39 3 7.7% −15.75

1m – 1m1f 33 0 0% −33.00

Under 6f 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 110 10 9.1% −6.50

2009 71 7 9.9% −38.84

2010 39 2 5.1% −31.25

2011 111 6 5.4% −24.00

2012 143 25 17.5% +102.44

2013 94 3 3.2% −65.00

2014 65 2 3.1% −52.00

2015 50 6 12% −4.25

2016 70 6 8.6% −31.00

2017 67 1 1.5% −60.00

2018 96 9 9.4% −7.99

2019 149 11 7.4% −64.70

2020 155 8 5.2% −100.04

2021 152 8 5.3% −45.50

2022 190 16 8.4% −49.50

2023 141 7 5% −62.30

2024 145 13 9% −40.17

2025 122 3 2.5% −91.00

2026 143 12 8.4% −39.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,080 91 8.4% −245.42

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 662 43 6.5% −293.47

17+ runners 567 28 4.9% −245.87

11-13 runners 437 34 7.8% −94.34

8-10 runners 287 28 9.8% −62.25

5-7 runners 150 19 12.7% −21.67

2-4 runners 10 3 30% +7.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.8% completed · 1,720 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 539 75% 31 19 82 0 3

Hurdle 1,181 90.7% 20 8 76 4 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Whatuthink (IRE) 73 5 15 6 Aug 15

Glenabo Bridge (IRE) 59 4 15 14 Apr 24

Whodoyouthink (IRE) 58 5 12 2 Nov 14

Ard Na Carraig (GB) 43 1 10 17 Jul 20

Happy New Year (IRE) 43 3 9 19 Nov 14

L'un Deux Trois (IRE)from Michael Bell 39 4 10 25 Oct 26

Difficult Decision (IRE) 37 4 9 4 Aug 26

Any Bets (IRE) 37 5 7 5 Oct 13

Famous Day (IRE) 36 1 3 3 Nov 20

Healys Bar (IRE) 36 1 11 23 Aug 13

Fox Fearless (GB)from K R Burke 34 2 6 10 May 24

Cappacon (IRE) 33 2 11 8 Oct 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 136 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 15 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from W McCreery (2); 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 9

Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

108136554510568

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBarry Browne

21% of all rides
7.1% SR · A/E 1.06

RiderRWSR£1

Barry Browne 450 32 7.1% −167.02

Phillip Enright 413 32 7.7% −141.67

Shane Crimin 132 10 7.6% −57.25

Robbie Colgan 104 11 10.6% −16.93

Tom Doyle 62 6 9.7% +62.50

Mr R P Quinlan 61 4 6.6% −41.38

James Duggan 58 1 1.7% −48.50

Richard Condon 52 5 9.6% +2.20

Mr J C Barry 42 3 7.1% −3.50

Ian McCarthy 31 3 9.7% −13.00

John Cullen 30 5 16.7% +22.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

164

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.94m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 25 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Follow The Plan (IRE) — Punchestown Guinness Gold Cup (Grade 1) Punchestown · May 2011 · Grade 1

£96,000

Follow The Plan (IRE) — Betfred Bowl Chase (Grade 1) Aintree · Apr 2012 · Class 1

£84,405

Follow The Plan (IRE) — Durkan New Homes Novice Chase (Grade 1) Leopardstown · Dec 2008 · Grade 1

£78,000

Notable horses

Whatuthink (IRE) Follow The Plan (IRE) Whatever Jacksays (IRE) Luckyinmilan (IRE) Whodoyouthink (IRE) Any Bets (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beneficial (GB) 8.4% · 18–215

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Presenting (GB) 8.5% · 17–201

Progeny have won 11% of 20,053 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Califet (FR) 5.9% · 5–85

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,809 runs since 2008 (399 horses).

Mustameet (USA) 4.4% · 3–68

Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,163 runs since 2013 (103 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.5% from 248. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 424.

Witness Box (USA) 6% · 4–67

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,675 runs since 2008 (194 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 173.

Court Cave (IRE) 7.9% · 5–63

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,969 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,282 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,282 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 January 2005 to 10 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

10 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) The Supersonic Kid (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan Fairyhouse Christmas Party December 12th Point-To-Point Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 5 ran 2nd 12/1

10 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Warmer Days Ahead (FR)J: Phillip Enright William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 7th 100/30

09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Head For Home (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 22 ran 10th 7/2F

09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Everystep Oftheway (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Steeplechase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 5/1

08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Gold Star Status (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 2nd 66/1

08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Caman Hill (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Cavan Developments Supporting St Marys GAA Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 5th 8/1

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Its Not Over Yet (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Christmas Parties At Fairyhouse December 12th Handicap Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 5th 15/2

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Another Challenge (IRE)J: Phillip Enright William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 12th 9/4F

30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Head For Home (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Eventsec Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 4th 11/2

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Buttermere Ridge (IRE)J: Paddy Harnett See You At The GR1 Double Header – 21 & 22 November Handicap (Div II)7f · Yielding · 11 ran 1st 11/2

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Somersby Roost (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Hurdle20.5f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 14/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) L'Un Deux Trois (IRE)J: James Duggan William Hill Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 150/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) No Looking Back (IRE)J: Phillip Enright William Hill Challenge Series Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Soft · 13 ran PU 9/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Thirsty Work (GB)J: Phillip Enright Clonmel Oil Chase Day November 5th Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 15 ran 8th 10/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Gatsby Grey (FR)J: Phillip Enright William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 10 ran 6th 20/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Chemdawg (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Mahon Falls Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 5th 9/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Meet And Greet (IRE)J: Phillip Enright BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 24f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 8th 15/2

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Gold Star Status (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Irish Wire Products (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 5th 22/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Another Challenge (IRE)J: Phillip Enright William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 15 ran 1st 6/4F

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Warmer Days Ahead (FR)J: Phillip Enright William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Good · 18 ran 2nd 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 22 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 29 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Oliver McKiernan's strike rate?: Oliver McKiernan has won 155 of 2,113 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Oliver McKiernan do best at?: Gowran Park by strike rate: 11 wins from 90 runners (12.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Oliver McKiernan?: Barry Browne, with 450 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (7.1%).
Is Oliver McKiernan in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Oliver McKiernan's Fair A/E?: 1.09, from 2,111 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.