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Trainer profile

Paul Mulligan

181 runners in the lifetime window · 35 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 14 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
5–181
Wins / Runs
2.8%
Strike rate
n=181
16 (9%)
Placed
0.80
Fair A/E
n=181 · 0.65 incl. margin
−98.00
£1 level stake
n=181 at SP · −54.1%
£51,528
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.80).

Deterministic profile computed from 181 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Rory Mulligan: 1.4% from 70 Claiming riders: 3%
The read

The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (7%, n=43), clear of the yard's 2.8% baseline. Rory Mulligan rides 39% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (1.4%, A/E 0.36). The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (7.5%, n=40) and on Standard (AW) going (6.8%, n=44). The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.00 across 59 runners (0% strike, −59.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.6%+0.8
n=28 · A/E 1.89 · £1 +1.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
8.3%+5.5
n=12 · A/E 4.46 · £1 +17.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.8
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.6%+2.8
n=18 · A/E 2.29 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
12.5%+9.7
n=8 · A/E 5.96 · £1 +4.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3%+0.2
n=132 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −78.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 7.5% vs 2.8% · n=40
At Dundalk (AW) 7% vs 2.8% · n=43
On Standard (AW) going 6.8% vs 2.8% · n=44
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 2.8% · n=59
On Good going 0% vs 2.8% · n=51
On Soft going 0% vs 2.8% · n=40
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 60.7% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 112 4 3.6% −39.00
Hurdle 51 1 2% −41.00
NH Flat 14 0 0% −14.00
Chase 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 51 0 0% −51.00
Standard (AW) 44 3 6.8% +0.00
Soft 40 0 0% −40.00
Good to Soft 28 2 7.1% +11.00
Heavy 18 0 0% −18.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 43 3 7% +1.00
Navan 18 1 5.6% +11.00
Down Royal 16 0 0% −16.00
Galway 11 0 0% −11.00
Gowran Park 11 0 0% −11.00
Kilbeggan 10 1 10% +0.00
Ballinrobe 8 0 0% −8.00
Bellewstown 8 0 0% −8.00
Downpatrick 8 0 0% −8.00
Fairyhouse 6 0 0% −6.00
Killarney 5 0 0% −5.00
Sligo 5 0 0% −5.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Leopardstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Limerick 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
4th–6th fav 32 4 12.5% 2.40 +22.00
7th+ in betting 138 1 0.7% 0.42 −109.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Wrecking Ball Paul (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 36 3 6 1 Jul 25
T Or Coffey (IRE)then Jennie Candlish 20 0 3 10 May 25
Honey Dale (IRE)then Charlie Clover 10 0 0 17 Jul 26
Dreamingofdelaney (IRE) 9 0 0 8 Nov 23
Ginsburg (IRE)from Gerard Keane 9 0 1 22 May 23
Rockys Favourite (IRE) 8 0 0 1 Oct 25
Little Hero (IRE) 8 0 0 15 Jul 24
Coded Welder (IRE)then Cian Collins 7 0 3 27 Dec 25
Beacon Bypass (IRE) 6 0 0 26 Aug 26
Surf On Jamie (IRE) 6 0 0 30 Jan 26
Rushes To Riches (IRE) 6 0 0 9 May 25
Ally Cay (IRE)from Paul W Flynn 5 0 0 12 Sep 25
All 35 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 35 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Peter Lawlor (2); 24 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Cian Collins (2); 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
01010066000090
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRory Mulligan
39% of all rides
1.4% SR · A/E 0.36
RiderRWSR£1
Rory Mulligan 70 1 1.4% −58.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
5
Archived wins
£51,528
Prize money
2024
Best season · 3 wins
Wrecking Ball Paul (IRE) — Peter K. Hits The Big 50 (Q.R.) Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Mar 2024
£7,080
Wrecking Ball Paul (IRE) — Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Handicap (47-70) Dundalk (AW) · Feb 2024
£6,195
Arctic Steps (IRE) — Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap (0-60) Dundalk (AW) · Nov 2025
£5,900
Notable horses
Wrecking Ball Paul (IRE) Arctic Steps (IRE) El C Wells (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Jet Away (GB) 7.7% · 3–39
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,553 runs since 2018 (275 horses).
Gustav Klimt (IRE) 0% · 0–25
Progeny have won 6.7% of 519 runs since 2022 (56 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.3% from 151.
Dawn Approach (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8% of 3,579 runs since 2017 (359 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 181.
Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 7.6% of 3,155 runs since 2015 (317 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.7% from 383.
Lawman (FR) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,430 runs since 2011 (730 horses).
Ol' Man River (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 7.4% of 511 runs since 2022 (58 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 10.6% from 104. Weakest on Good going: 4.1% from 172.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 181 · newest first

The latest 50 of 181 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 June 2022 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Big Country (IRE)J: Kevin Healy Electric Galway (C & G) (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 28/1
28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Sarangpur (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Molson Coors Beverage Handicap13f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 33/1
26 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Beacon Bypass (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Claiming Hurdle20.5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 150/1
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Beacon Bypass (IRE)J: Mr B Mulligan McDermott Farm Machinery Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 16 ran PU 40/1
16 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Winnie Mcgoogan (IRE)J: Mr Jack Paddy Carroll Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran PU 125/1
17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Honey Dale (IRE)J: Kevin Healy Killarney Park 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran PU 200/1
17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Balance Of Trade (IRE)J: Ben Mulligan Killarney Park 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 8th 150/1
02 Jul 26 Limerick Balance Of Trade (IRE)J: Alex Harvey Cappawhite Civil Engineering 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 50/1
22 Jun 26 Ballinrobe Honey Dale (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan J.J. Burke Peugeot Handicap (0-60)9.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 12th 18/1
22 Jun 26 Ballinrobe Balance Of Trade (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Ronan & Tom Gibbons Memorial Apprentice Claiming Race9.5f · Yielding · 7 ran 5th 17/2
31 May 26 Kilbeggan Beacon Bypass (IRE)J: Calum Hogan Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 8th 200/1
29 May 26 Down Royal Honey Dale (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan BOYLE Sports Home Of The Early Payout Handicap (0-60)7f · Good · 14 ran 5th 25/1
22 May 26 Downpatrick Beacon Bypass (IRE)J: Ben Harvey Randox Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 12th 150/1
15 May 26 Kilbeggan Beacon Bypass (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan CK Interiors Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Good · 16 ran 9th 80/1
05 May 26 Gowran Park Honey Dale (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Follow Us On Instagram Apprentice Handicap (0-60)8f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 12th 25/1
04 May 26 Down Royal Beacon Bypass (IRE)J: Mr J R Martin Energise (Pro/Am) Flat Race17.5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 50/1
03 May 26 Sligo Sarangpur (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Web The Tool Company Handicap (0-60)10.5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 4th 9/4F
28 Apr 26 Punchestown Its My Twist (IRE)J: Mr Jack Paddy Carroll Willie Coonan Memorial Flat Race16.5f · Yielding · 18 ran 18th 250/1
24 Apr 26 Kilbeggan Its My Twist (IRE)J: Mr J M Halford Racing Again On Friday 15th May Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 11th 33/1
22 Apr 26 Gowran Park Honey Dale (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Dining Packages At Gowran Park Handicap (0-60)7f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Mulligan's strike rate?
Paul Mulligan has won 5 of 181 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.8% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul Mulligan do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 43 runners (7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Paul Mulligan?
Rory Mulligan, with 70 runners since 2008 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.4%).
What is Paul Mulligan's Fair A/E?
0.80, from 181 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).