What is Philip McBride's strike rate?

Philip McBride has won 246 of 2,057 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Philip McBride do best at?

Yarmouth by strike rate: 47 wins from 265 runners (17.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Philip McBride?

Adam Farragher, with 118 runners since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (11.9%).

Is Philip McBride in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Philip McBride's Fair A/E?

1.15, from 2,046 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Philip McBride

2,057 runners in the lifetime window · 205 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 98% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

246–2,057

Wins / Runs

12%

Strike rate

n=2,057

618 (30%)

Placed

1.15

Fair A/E

n=2,046 · 0.98 incl. margin

−134.40

£1 level stake

n=2,057 at SP · −6.5%

£1.76m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.15).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,057 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Oct 39.8% when favourite Adam Farragher: 11.9% from 118 Claiming riders: 12.9% Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.31). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 12.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.25 and +72.13 to a £1 stake over 634 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet debutants: 3.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −98.50 to a £1 stake over 160 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Adam Farragher rides 6% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.9%, A/E 1.40) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Hurdle races (25%, n=36). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 2% over 51 runners, 10pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms 'Bosra Sham' EBF Fillies' Stakes at Newmarket (Oct 2016, £17,013). The stable star of the record: Camachess (IRE) — 10 wins from 63 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.7%−3.3

n=288 · A/E 0.98 · £1 +45.99

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.3%−3.7

n=36 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −1.00

Debutants · first career start

3.1%−8.9

n=160 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −98.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.2%−2.8

n=87 · A/E 1.03 · £1 +24.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.4%−5.6

n=47 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −15.00

When favourite

39.8%

n=181 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +35.73

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.9%+0.9

n=634 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +72.13

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2%−10.0

n=51 · A/E 0.31 · £1 −47.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 21.4% vs 12% · n=229

In Hurdle races 25% vs 12% · n=36

With debutants 3.1% vs 12% · n=160

In Class 1 2% vs 12% · n=51

In Group / Graded races 2% vs 12% · n=51

With C&D winners 19.4% vs 12% · n=191

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,006 237 11.8% −199.26

Hurdle 36 9 25% +79.86

NH Flat 12 0 0% −12.00

Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 988 119 12% −77.50

Good to Firm 426 53 12.4% −61.68

Good 347 32 9.2% −90.26

Good to Soft 158 18 11.4% −24.02

Soft 119 19 16% +90.23

Heavy 12 3 25% +2.83

Firm 7 2 28.6% +26.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 328 48 14.6% +59.61

Yarmouth 265 47 17.7% +142.19

Kempton (AW) 235 24 10.2% −110.09

Chelmsford (AW) 209 19 9.1% −14.14

Newmarket 154 12 7.8% −65.62

Lingfield (AW) 134 14 10.4% −31.09

Newmarket 126 7 5.6% −53.58

Southwell (AW) 62 11 17.7% +15.71

Doncaster 55 6 10.9% −15.25

Leicester 50 6 12% −18.42

Beverley 45 5 11.1% −10.50

Nottingham 42 4 9.5% −16.75

Windsor 36 4 11.1% −11.64

Newbury 29 4 13.8% +8.00

Brighton 26 2 7.7% −17.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 728 91 12.5% −74.20

Class 6 668 93 13.9% −47.48

Class 4 403 44 10.9% +24.99

Class 2 102 5 4.9% −29.25

Class 3 97 12 12.4% +46.54

Class 1 51 1 2% −47.00

Class 7 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 221 79 35.7% 1.32 +19.36

2nd–3rd fav 465 81 17.4% 1.07 −40.26

4th–6th fav 685 64 9.3% 1.15 +44.50

7th+ in betting 686 22 3.2% 0.95 −158.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 887 106 12% −51.27

1m – 1m1f 551 56 10.2% −67.62

1m2f – 1m4f 326 39 12% −42.94

Under 6f 154 26 16.9% +2.45

1m5f – 2m 108 13 12% −19.40

2m1f – 2m4f 27 6 22.2% +48.38

2m5f – 3m 3 0 0% −3.00

Over 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 124 6 4.8% −18.00

2009 108 15 13.9% +5.08

2010 100 18 18% +59.13

2011 82 8 9.8% −7.17

2012 132 18 13.6% +3.04

2013 101 19 18.8% +41.17

2014 125 19 15.2% +4.74

2015 135 13 9.6% −82.77

2016 129 15 11.6% −61.26

2017 134 12 9% −72.05

2018 108 9 8.3% −55.55

2019 138 18 13% +15.54

2020 93 9 9.7% −27.92

2021 116 10 8.6% −53.68

2022 81 18 22.2% +53.73

2023 107 11 10.3% +76.83

2024 90 13 14.4% −14.50

2025 99 10 10.1% −35.26

2026 55 5 9.1% +34.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,396 181 13% −52.23

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 783 88 11.2% −132.09

11-13 runners 623 73 11.7% +83.70

5-7 runners 371 62 16.7% +36.04

14-16 runners 194 13 6.7% −68.25

17+ runners 57 2 3.5% −49.38

2-4 runners 29 8 27.6% −4.42

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Camachess (IRE) 63 10 19 28 Jan 23

Onemorenomore (GB) 41 4 12 5 Jul 26

Priscilla's Wish (GB) 40 9 16 28 Jun 24

Brigliadoro (IRE) 36 5 17 21 Oct 17

Extremely So (GB)then Chris Down 34 5 13 31 Mar 12

Inpursuitoffreedom (GB) 31 4 10 6 Nov 12

Rhythmic Acclaim (IRE) 29 4 10 11 Jun 25

Rite To Reign (GB) 29 2 8 8 Jan 18

Charming Whisper (GB)then P Sweeney 28 5 7 23 Oct 25

Speriamo (GB) 28 5 10 1 Jun 25

Molly Mai (GB) 28 3 8 19 Jun 21

Fletcher's Flight (IRE)then Charlie Wallis 26 4 8 21 Nov 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 205 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 54 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard; 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

161214119915111314910

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAdam Farragher

6% of all rides
11.9% SR · A/E 1.40

RiderRWSR£1

Adam Farragher 118 14 11.9% +32.25

Danny Brock 106 16 15.1% +46.87

Silvestre De Sousa 78 13 16.7% +41.83

David Probert 78 7 9% −36.14

William Carson 73 10 13.7% −17.83

Callum Shepherd 62 6 9.7% −24.92

Adam Beschizza 53 6 11.3% +1.00

Tom Marquand 44 5 11.4% −7.25

Andrea Atzeni 42 3 7.1% −11.50

Jack Mitchell 39 5 12.8% +0.91

Luke Morris 36 2 5.6% −30.13

Raul Da Silva 36 6 16.7% +18.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

275

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.92m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 19 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Spiritual Lady (GB) — Irish Stallion Farms 'Bosra Sham' EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed) Newmarket · Oct 2016 · Listed

£17,013

Charming Whisper (GB) — Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Yarmouth · Aug 2023 · Class 2

£16,200

Zack Mayo (GB) — Dan Hague, Yarmouth's Number 1 Bookmaker Handicap Yarmouth · Sep 2017 · Class 2

£15,185

Notable horses

Camachess (IRE) Priscilla's Wish (GB) Rose Bien (GB) Brigliadoro (IRE) Extremely So (GB) Networker (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kyllachy (GB) 12.6% · 11–87

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 14.5% · 10–69

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,219 runs since 2009 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Adaay (IRE) 17.2% · 11–64

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,966 runs since 2020 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 499.

Camacho (GB) 15.9% · 10–63

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,324 runs since 2009 (596 horses).

Medicean (GB) 10.5% · 6–57

Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).

Sepoy (AUS) 22.6% · 12–53

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,372 runs since 2016 (279 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,357 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,357 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Princess Lottie (GB)J: Toby Moore Idee 158. German Derby In Hamburg Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 14/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Mischievous Angel (GB)J: Jason Watson Cologne's 65 Preis Von Europa British Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11th 200/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Izzy Fast (GB)J: Hector Crouch Prestige Vehicles Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 7/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Beverleighann (GB)J: Cieren Fallon British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 17/2

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Izzy Fast (GB)J: Jack Callan First Furnishings Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 1st 11/1

05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Top Marks (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Strawberry Fields Stud Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 150/1

01 Oct 26 Nottingham Princess Lottie (GB)J: Kevin Stott Ebf Oh So Sharp Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 8.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 12/1

26 Sep 26 Haydock Elara May (GB)J: Ashley Lewis William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Heavy · 10 ran 3rd 11/1

05 Sep 26 Haydock Elara May (GB)J: Hector Crouch Betfair Be Friendly Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 14/1

04 Sep 26 Haydock Princess Lottie (GB)J: Cieren Fallon Lee Thomas Christy Memorial Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 4 ran 2nd 11/4

30 Aug 26 Yarmouth Elara May (GB)J: Ashley Lewis Bodhi Solutions - Exceeding Expectations In Construction Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 2nd 7/1

23 Aug 26 Brighton Priscilla's Hope (GB)J: Harry Davies John Heal Memorial Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 33/1

21 Aug 26 Newmarket (July) Elara May (GB)J: Hector Crouch Racing TV Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 22/1

07 Aug 26 Thirsk Priscilla's Hope (GB)J: Andrew Mullen Peter Bell Memorial Fillies' Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 6th 22/1

05 Aug 26 Yarmouth Ava Louise (GB)J: Hector Crouch British Stallion Studs Ebf Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 300/1

28 Jul 26 Beverley Ava Louise (GB)J: Ethan Tindall EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 8th 40/1

17 Jul 26 Newmarket (July) Elara May (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 16/1

17 Jul 26 Newmarket (July) Princess Lottie (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Discover Newmarket Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 18/1

15 Jul 26 Yarmouth Izzy Fast (GB)J: Hector Crouch 4-head Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 3/1

08 Jul 26 Yarmouth Miss U Gino (GB)J: Sean D Bowen Infobond NurseryClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 12 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Philip McBride's strike rate?: Philip McBride has won 246 of 2,057 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Philip McBride do best at?: Yarmouth by strike rate: 47 wins from 265 runners (17.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Philip McBride?: Adam Farragher, with 118 runners since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (11.9%).
Is Philip McBride in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Philip McBride's Fair A/E?: 1.15, from 2,046 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.