R Chotard
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.12). With a claiming rider up the record reads 12% (170 runs).
The record is strongest at Enghien (FR) (16.9%, n=77), clear of the yard's 10.6% baseline. It is weakest at Chantilly (3.1% over 130 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 5.9% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.85). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 12.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.42 and +47.70 to a £1 stake over 170 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. C. Soumillon rides 10% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14.6% vs 10.6%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Criterium International at Saint-Cloud (FR) (Oct 2026, £142,850). The stable star of the record: Esplendido (FR) — 6 wins from 18 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Nov.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,071 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,071 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 April 2005 to 5 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is R Chotard's strike rate?
- R Chotard has won 106 of 996 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does R Chotard do best at?
- Enghien (FR) by strike rate: 13 wins from 77 runners (16.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for R Chotard?
- C. Soumillon, with 103 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (14.6%).
- Is R Chotard in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is R Chotard's Fair A/E?
- 1.12, from 930 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.