What is S Cerulis's strike rate?

S Cerulis has won 210 of 2,479 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does S Cerulis do best at?

Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 119 wins from 1,283 runners (9.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for S Cerulis?

Aurelien Lemaitre, with 505 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 47 (9.3%).

Is S Cerulis in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is S Cerulis's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 2,456 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

S Cerulis

2,479 runners in the lifetime window · 326 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

210–2,479

Wins / Runs

8.5%

Strike rate

n=2,479

639 (26%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=2,456 · 0.89 incl. margin

−153.15

£1 level stake

n=2,465 at SP · −6.2%

£4.28m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06). New recruits from other yards win at 12% first time out (171 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,479 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 25.3% when favourite Aurelien Lemaitre: 9.3% from 505 New recruits: 11.7% Headgear returns: 11.2% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 11.7% (n=171, Fair A/E 1.60), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=148, Fair A/E 0.12). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −76.80 to a £1 stake over 162 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Aurelien Lemaitre rides 20% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.3%, A/E 1.23) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix de Seine-et-Oise at Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (Oct 2019, £36,036). The stable star of the record: Lettyt Fight (FR) — 8 wins from 63 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6%−2.5

n=631 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −59.60

New recruits · first run for the yard

11.7%+3.2

n=171 · A/E 1.60 · £1 +43.30

Debutants · first career start

4.3%−4.2

n=162 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −76.80

First-time headgear · true-first definition

1.4%−7.1

n=148 · A/E 0.12 · £1 −114.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.2%+2.7

n=98 · A/E 1.62 · £1 +113.20

When favourite

25.3%

n=174 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +9.65

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.1%−0.4

n=407 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −1.30

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.5%−1.0

n=53 · A/E 1.65 · £1 −2.40

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With first-time headgear 1.4% vs 8.5% · n=148

With Gregory Benoist 0% vs 8.5% · n=41

With Quentin Perrette 2.7% vs 8.5% · n=74

With Thomas Huet 13.8% vs 8.5% · n=58

With debutants 4.3% vs 8.5% · n=162

With Alexis Badel 12.8% vs 8.5% · n=133

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,471 208 8.4% −187.95

Hurdle 8 2 25% +34.80

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,479 130 8.8% +4.25

Soft 314 27 8.6% +18.60

Good to Soft 304 26 8.6% −57.60

Good 249 14 5.6% −104.60

Heavy 127 12 9.4% −18.80

Good to Firm 5 1 20% +5.00

Firm 1 0 0% —

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (AW) 1,283 119 9.3% +120.85

Chantilly 463 38 8.2% −110.00

Saint-Cloud 304 17 5.6% −129.80

Longchamp (FR) 220 15 6.8% −85.90

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 101 7 6.9% −3.30

Clairefontaine 23 3 13% +7.50

Dieppe 19 2 10.5% +0.10

Compiegne 11 1 9.1% −4.50

Le Croise-Laroche 8 1 12.5% +1.00

Auteuil (FR) 6 1 16.7% +32.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Pornichet-La Baule (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Le Touquet (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Le Lion-D'Angers 3 1 33.3% +28.00

Amiens (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 53 4 7.5% −2.40

Class 4 26 3 11.5% −12.50

Class 3 25 3 12% −13.75

Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 187 44 23.5% 1.14 −3.35

2nd–3rd fav 415 47 11.3% 0.82 −81.00

4th–6th fav 703 61 8.7% 1.06 −94.10

7th+ in betting 1,160 55 4.7% 1.30 +25.30

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m – 1m1f 952 79 8.3% −99.75

1m2f – 1m4f 734 62 8.4% −111.30

6f – 7f 623 56 9% +91.80

1m5f – 2m 109 7 6.4% −55.40

Under 6f 37 2 5.4% −10.60

2m1f – 2m4f 24 4 16.7% +32.10

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 1 1 100% —

2009 7 2 28.6% —

2010 57 4 7% −3.50

2011 68 3 4.4% −40.30

2012 72 8 11.1% +66.10

2013 56 4 7.1% −5.80

2014 101 7 6.9% +6.70

2015 102 7 6.9% −5.20

2016 101 14 13.9% +73.70

2017 136 9 6.6% −33.90

2018 183 15 8.2% +7.90

2019 224 19 8.5% −4.60

2020 248 25 10.1% −37.50

2021 244 27 11.1% +89.50

2022 198 23 11.6% +48.70

2023 245 13 5.3% −94.90

2024 160 9 5.6% −67.40

2025 137 9 6.6% −76.30

2026 139 11 7.9% −76.35

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,516 128 8.4% +2.90

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 1,267 102 8.1% +16.90

11-13 runners 509 43 8.4% −71.55

8-10 runners 341 30 8.8% −82.70

17+ runners 237 14 5.9% −34.50

5-7 runners 109 16 14.7% −23.70

2-4 runners 16 5 31.3% +42.40

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Lettyt Fight (FR)from L Gadbin 63 8 22 25 Sep 26

Asulaman (GER)from S Smrczek 48 7 15 31 Aug 17

Letty's Marvel (FR)from Carla O'Halloran · then S Jesus 47 5 18 4 Mar 25

Stormy (FR)then Mlle A-S Crombez 46 5 17 16 Jun 21

Lone Rider (FR)from X Nakkachdji 38 4 12 29 Aug 15

Poulfos (FR)then L Viel 37 2 14 29 Aug 20

Soaring Eagle (FR)from C Ferland 36 3 12 29 Apr 24

Bosquentin (FR) 31 5 11 10 Mar 23

Keraloun (IRE)from John M Oxx 31 4 12 2 Jul 15

Uzel (FR) 30 6 16 14 Dec 24

Panjaman (FR) 30 5 9 22 Aug 24

Replenish (FR)from James Fanshawe · then Mme A-S Crombez 30 1 7 19 Aug 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 326 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 31 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from S Wattel (3) and J-C Rouget (2); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Mlle A-S Crombez (3) and Gerald Mosse (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 9

Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

10995710127410117

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAurelien Lemaitre

20% of all rides
9.3% SR · A/E 1.23

RiderRWSR£1

Aurelien Lemaitre 505 47 9.3% +62.60

Mlle Aude Duporte 147 13 8.8% +68.00

S Pasquier 137 15 10.9% −0.40

Alexis Badel 133 17 12.8% +30.30

Theo Bachelot 130 10 7.7% −31.60

Cristian Demuro 107 13 12.1% +22.40

Maxime Guyon 74 3 4.1% −57.40

Quentin Perrette 74 2 2.7% −38.00

Eddy Hardouin 69 7 10.1% −19.60

Christophe Soumillon 64 7 10.9% +9.60

Thomas Huet 58 8 13.8% +98.30

Mickael Barzalona 58 5 8.6% −7.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

210

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.28m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 27 wins

Trois Mille (FR) — Prix de Seine-et-Oise (3yo+) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Oct 2019 · Group 3

£36,036

Ocean (FR) — Prix de Ris-Orangis (3yo+) (Straight Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Jul 2021 · Group 3

£35,714

Swift Flight (FR) — Qatar Prix de la Place de l'Etoile (Handicap) (3yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2024

£32,609

Notable horses

Lettyt Fight (FR) Asulaman (GER) Uzel (FR) Letty's Marvel (FR) Stormy (FR) Bosquentin (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dunkerque (FR) 12.7% · 8–63

Progeny have won 6.6% of 574 runs since 2013 (57 horses).

Elusive City (USA) 13% · 7–54

Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,428 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.

Dabirsim (FR) 5.8% · 3–52

Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,158 runs since 2017 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 256. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 145.

Rajsaman (FR) 14.3% · 7–49

Progeny have won 6.9% of 2,839 runs since 2016 (311 horses).

Stormy River (FR) 10.2% · 5–49

Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,230 runs since 2011 (253 horses).

Sulamani (IRE) 14.6% · 7–48

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,246 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,479 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,479 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 July 2008 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Woff (GER)J: Warren Levesque Prix De Commeaux7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 14th 7/2F

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Woff (GER)J: Warren Levesque Prix Du Chateau De TocquevilleClass 4 · 7.5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 8/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Polminhac (FR)J: Arthur Vilchien Prix De BeaufosseClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 6th 12/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Sin City (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Du Chateau De BeaufosseClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 1st 7/2F

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Zelina (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix D'essayClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 9th 6/1

28 Oct 26 Amiens (FR) Donnalucata (FR)J: Arthur Vilchien Prix De Salouel14.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 9th 11/4

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Goldfield (FR)J: Arthur Vilchien Prix Gold Beach6.5f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 6/1

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Liseo (IRE)J: Jerome Moutard Prix D'audrieu9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 3/1

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Gitano (FR)J: Arthur Vilchien Prix Du Chenet9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 6/1

21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Tyson (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix De La Foret De Bord7.5f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 8/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Polminhac (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix De La Foret De Cerisy9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 13/2

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Sin City (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix De La Foret De Cinglais9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 4/1F

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Seven Timer (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De La Foret De Cinglais9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 12/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Woff (GER)J: Warren Levesque Prix De La Chaussee7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 40/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Recoletty (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Rieussec15.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 12th 20/1

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Woff (GER)J: Warren Levesque Prix Des WeppesClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 25/1

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Liseo (IRE)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Des WeppesClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 5/2

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Goldfield (FR)J: Arthur Vilchien Prix Au-dela Des PistesClass 4 · 6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 12/1

02 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Recoletty (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix Du Vert ClosClass 3 · 12.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 11th 12/1

01 Oct 26 Argentan (FR) Gitano (FR)J: Arthur Vilchien Prix Elisabeth MussatClass 4 · 9.5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is S Cerulis's strike rate?: S Cerulis has won 210 of 2,479 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does S Cerulis do best at?: Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 119 wins from 1,283 runners (9.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for S Cerulis?: Aurelien Lemaitre, with 505 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 47 (9.3%).
Is S Cerulis in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is S Cerulis's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 2,456 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.