What is Suzy Smith's strike rate?

Suzy Smith has won 107 of 1,090 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Suzy Smith do best at?

Plumpton by strike rate: 31 wins from 179 runners (17.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Suzy Smith?

Colin Bolger, with 152 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (9.9%).

What is Suzy Smith's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 1,086 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Suzy Smith

1,090 runners in the lifetime window · 112 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 168 days ago 93% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

107–1,090

Wins / Runs

9.8%

Strike rate

n=1,090

292 (27%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=1,086 · 0.87 incl. margin

−263.78

£1 level stake

n=1,088 at SP · −24.2%

£982k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). Debutants are a strength: 13% on first career starts (62 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,090 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr 23.3% when favourite Colin Bolger: 9.9% from 152 Claiming riders: 12.3% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Plumpton (17.3%, n=179) and Market Rasen (16.7%, n=36) — all clear of the yard's 9.8% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (2.5% over 40 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants strike at 12.9% (n=62, Fair A/E 1.65), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 2.2% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.29). Colin Bolger rides 14% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.9%, A/E 1.24) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ascot Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2008, £37,386). The stable star of the record: Tapley (GB) — 7 wins from 37 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7%−2.8

n=285 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −74.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.1%−1.7

n=37 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +23.00

Debutants · first career start

12.9%+3.1

n=62 · A/E 1.65 · £1 +33.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.2%−7.6

n=45 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −28.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−9.8

n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

When favourite

23.3%

n=73 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −25.31

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.3%+2.5

n=367 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −55.39

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.1%−1.7

n=37 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −3.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Plumpton 17.3% vs 9.8% · n=179

With Charlie Hammond 19.5% vs 9.8% · n=41

With first-time headgear 2.2% vs 9.8% · n=45

With Gavin Sheehan 16.1% vs 9.8% · n=87

At Cheltenham 2.5% vs 9.8% · n=40

At Market Rasen 16.7% vs 9.8% · n=36

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 588 53 9% −187.79

Chase 298 31 10.4% −99.05

NH Flat 123 18 14.6% +15.06

Flat 81 5 6.2% +8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 369 38 10.3% −128.38

Good to Soft 276 23 8.3% −44.80

Soft 260 26 10% −66.92

Standard (AW) 76 5 6.6% −11.93

Heavy 71 10 14.1% −37.75

Good to Firm 38 5 13.2% +26.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Plumpton 179 31 17.3% +67.38

Fontwell 165 18 10.9% −42.67

Kempton 70 7 10% −30.17

Huntingdon 52 2 3.8% −38.00

Cheltenham 40 1 2.5% −27.00

Newbury 36 3 8.3% −20.50

Market Rasen 36 6 16.7% +5.25

Ascot 35 3 8.6% +0.00

Lingfield (AW) 31 3 9.7% +15.57

Sandown 30 3 10% +8.50

Lingfield 30 2 6.7% −15.00

Wincanton 30 4 13.3% +9.25

Southwell 26 2 7.7% −10.88

Uttoxeter 24 2 8.3% −14.38

Kempton (AW) 24 1 4.2% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 462 45 9.7% −205.77

Class 5 220 25 11.4% +13.24

Class 3 196 17 8.7% −83.25

Class 6 99 13 13.1% +50.00

Class 2 65 4 6.2% −25.50

Class 1 44 3 6.8% −10.50

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 89 19 21.3% 0.74 −33.23

2nd–3rd fav 225 45 20% 1.21 +5.45

4th–6th fav 357 30 8.4% 1.04 −64.00

7th+ in betting 417 13 3.1% 0.93 −172.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 357 45 12.6% +5.46

2m5f – 3m 299 24 8% −116.80

1m5f – 2m 238 20 8.4% −120.69

Over 3m 140 15 10.7% −35.75

1m2f – 1m4f 36 3 8.3% +24.00

6f – 7f 12 0 0% −12.00

1m – 1m1f 7 0 0% −7.00

Under 6f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 87 12 13.8% +13.87

2009 73 3 4.1% −46.50

2010 70 5 7.1% −35.50

2011 73 10 13.7% −3.75

2012 57 8 14% +5.25

2013 67 11 16.4% +46.82

2014 79 11 13.9% +20.63

2015 73 7 9.6% −15.75

2016 61 6 9.8% −14.17

2017 47 2 4.3% −13.00

2018 84 2 2.4% −79.38

2019 81 8 9.9% −30.00

2020 48 2 4.2% −32.50

2021 48 5 10.4% −15.50

2022 28 3 10.7% +0.25

2023 38 6 15.8% −8.42

2024 35 3 8.6% −24.13

2025 32 2 6.3% −26.50

2026 9 1 11.1% −5.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 725 76 10.5% −149.96

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 389 39 10% −63.54

11-13 runners 294 21 7.1% −112.75

5-7 runners 191 30 15.7% −44.24

14-16 runners 143 9 6.3% −24.00

17+ runners 55 2 3.6% −23.00

2-4 runners 18 6 33.3% +3.75

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

79% completed · 886 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 298 71.5% 14 11 59 1 0

Hurdle 588 82.8% 20 8 71 0 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Invicta Lake (IRE) 69 6 17 4 Apr 21

Royal Kicks (FR)from Henry Daly 41 5 14 5 Oct 13

Tapley (GB)then Gary & Josh Moore 37 7 16 17 May 26

Little Boy Boru (IRE)from S R B Crawford 34 3 8 31 Dec 20

Red Devil Star (IRE)then Miss Emma M Richards 34 3 12 9 May 19

Animal (IRE) 31 4 13 13 Feb 26

Clondaw Bisto (IRE) 29 2 9 14 Mar 22

Beau Lake (IRE) 29 6 9 10 Jan 17

Aimigayle (GB) 29 6 17 18 Mar 14

Ourmanmassini (IRE)then Gordon Elliott 28 1 8 17 Jun 16

Mariet (GB)from Andrew Balding 27 2 4 7 Jun 16

Madame Jasmine (GB) 24 4 9 15 May 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 112 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gary Moore (3); 38 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Chris Gordon (3) and Gary Moore (2); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

7101412671301311109

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderColin Bolger

14% of all rides
9.9% SR · A/E 1.24

RiderRWSR£1

Colin Bolger 152 15 9.9% −33.63

Micheal Nolan 101 11 10.9% −5.42

Gavin Sheehan 87 14 16.1% +8.50

Jack Sherwood 83 7 8.4% −19.88

Tom O'Brien 68 7 10.3% +0.25

Tom Cannon 59 7 11.9% −16.00

Paddy Brennan 57 8 14% −6.43

Charlie Hammond 41 8 19.5% +6.58

Harry Bannister 32 5 15.6% −10.62

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

121

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.14m

Prize money

2008

Best season · 12 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Missoula (IRE) — Ascot Stakes (Handicap) Ascot · Jun 2008 · Class 2

£37,386

Invicta Lake (IRE) — Betfred Mobile Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Sandown · Jan 2015 · Grade 3

£28,475

Aimigayle (GB) — E.B.F./TBA Mares' Novices' Handicap Chase Final Newbury · Mar 2009 · Listed

£28,189

Notable horses

Tapley (GB) Aimigayle (GB) Invicta Lake (IRE) Beau Lake (IRE) Emmaslegend (GB) Royal Kicks (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dr Massini (IRE) 7.7% · 9–117

Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.

Midnight Legend (GB) 22% · 13–59

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,311 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Karinga Bay (GB) 16.1% · 9–56

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,407 runs since 2008 (315 horses).

September Storm (GER) 8.9% · 4–45

Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,131 runs since 2012 (103 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 148. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.9% from 101.

Garde Royale (IRE) 12.2% · 5–41

Progeny have won 13.4% of 231 runs since 2008 (19 horses).

Shirocco (GER) 12.5% · 5–40

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,177 runs since 2010 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,249 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,249 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 January 2005 to 17 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 May 26 Stratford Tapley (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder Ladies Day On Sunday 19th July Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 22.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 6/4F

24 Apr 26 Fontwell Precious Jean (IRE)J: Isabelle Ryder Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 250/1

14 Apr 26 Newton Abbot Tapley (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder Visit Kauto The King 6th May Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 21f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 5/2

28 Mar 26 Stratford Tapley (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder Happy 70th Birthday Steve Parsons Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 22.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 5/2

14 Mar 26 Kempton Tapley (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder Virgin Bet Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 18f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 7/2

13 Feb 26 Fakenham Animal (IRE)J: Isabelle Ryder Tim Barclay Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 29f · Soft · 5 ran UR 2/1F

09 Feb 26 Plumpton Record High (IRE)J: Isabelle Ryder More Radio Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Soft · 6 ran UR 9/2

11 Jan 26 Fontwell Record High (IRE)J: Isabelle Ryder Betting.Bet New Betting Sites Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 9/2

11 Jan 26 Fontwell Animal (IRE)J: Charlie Deutsch Betting.Bet New Betting Sites Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 14/1

26 Dec 25 Fontwell Record High (IRE)J: Isabelle Ryder tigerbet.co.uk Daily Price Boosts Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 3/1

26 Dec 25 Kempton Tapley (GB)J: Charlie Deutsch 'Get Your Ladbrokes Free Kempton Bet' Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 22/1

04 Dec 25 Wincanton Animal (IRE)J: Mr Jack Stenhouse Lenny Roberts Memorial Trophy Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 9/1

28 Nov 25 Doncaster Tapley (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder Consort/DWF Christmas Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 13/8F

22 Nov 25 Huntingdon Precious Jean (IRE)J: Isabelle Ryder pricedup.bet Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 33/1

20 Nov 25 Wincanton Tapley (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder Dot Tolson Memorial Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 1st 5/4F

16 Nov 25 Fontwell Record High (IRE)J: Harry Bannister BetGoodwin Southern National Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 27.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 7/2F

16 Nov 25 Fontwell Animal (IRE)J: Isabelle Ryder BetGoodwin Southern National Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 27.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 14/1

08 Nov 25 Wincanton Tapley (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 5/2F

03 Nov 25 Plumpton Precious Jean (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan Roy Farley 80th Birthday Celebration Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 150/1

24 Oct 25 Cheltenham Animal (IRE)J: Mrs Izzie Hill Santa - The Visit Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 25f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 10th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Suzy Smith's strike rate?: Suzy Smith has won 107 of 1,090 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Suzy Smith do best at?: Plumpton by strike rate: 31 wins from 179 runners (17.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Suzy Smith?: Colin Bolger, with 152 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (9.9%).
What is Suzy Smith's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 1,086 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.