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Trainer profile

Victor Thompson

713 runners in the lifetime window · 64 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 191 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
29–713
Wins / Runs
4.1%
Strike rate
n=713
99 (14%)
Placed
0.80
Fair A/E
n=711 · 0.70 incl. margin
−296.53
£1 level stake
n=713 at SP · −41.6%
£256k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.80).

Deterministic profile computed from 713 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Jun Thomas Dowson: 7.8% from 180 Claiming riders: 4.3%
The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=41, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.77 and −27.50 to a £1 stake over 151 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Thomas Dowson rides 25% of the entries and edges the yard's average (7.8% vs 4.1%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 6 (9.3%, n=43) and beyond 3m (8.2%, n=61). The stable star of the record: Gin Cobbler (GB) — 6 wins from 58 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.6%−1.5
n=151 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −27.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.1
n=41 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −41.00
Debutants · first career start
4.2%+0.1
n=24 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −3.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.1
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.1
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00
When favourite
42.9%
n=7 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +0.22
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.3%+0.2
n=609 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −218.65

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 9.2% vs 4.1% · n=65
In Class 6 9.3% vs 4.1% · n=43
On last-time-out winners 9.7% vs 4.1% · n=31
With Thomas Dowson 7.8% vs 4.1% · n=180
Beyond 3m 8.2% vs 4.1% · n=61
Off a 0-7-day break 7.7% vs 4.1% · n=91
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 96.7% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 471 26 5.5% −107.03
Hurdle 235 3 1.3% −182.50
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00
Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 252 9 3.6% −139.65
Good to Soft 179 6 3.4% −14.25
Soft 166 7 4.2% −96.25
Heavy 95 6 6.3% −33.88
Good to Firm 21 1 4.8% −12.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sedgefield 211 11 5.2% +16.00
Hexham 154 8 5.2% −71.25
Newcastle 66 3 4.5% −24.38
Musselburgh 57 1 1.8% −40.00
Kelso 45 2 4.4% −20.25
Market Rasen 38 1 2.6% −28.00
Perth 30 2 6.7% −24.15
Carlisle 27 0 0% −27.00
Ayr 24 0 0% −24.00
Catterick 23 0 0% −23.00
Cartmel 16 0 0% −16.00
Southwell 13 1 7.7% −5.50
Wetherby 8 0 0% −8.00
Ripon 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 401 19 4.7% −94.38
Class 4 259 6 2.3% −183.00
Class 6 43 4 9.3% −9.15
Class 3 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 3 37.5% 1.17 −0.78
2nd–3rd fav 62 10 16.1% 1.03 −11.75
4th–6th fav 253 14 5.5% 0.97 −36.00
7th+ in betting 390 2 0.5% 0.21 −248.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
71.5% completed · 706 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 471 70.3% 17 21 99 1 2
Hurdle 235 74% 5 3 53 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Duhallowcountry (IRE)from L J Archdeacon 69 4 13 10 Mar 20
Gin Cobbler (GB)from Howard Johnson 58 6 11 14 Mar 19
Scorpo (IRE) 41 2 7 19 Mar 23
Pc Dixon (GB)from Mick Channon 35 1 10 21 Dec 20
Muroor (GB)from T G McCourt · then Hugh Burns 32 1 8 19 Mar 23
Ex S'elance (FR)from Micky Hammond 31 2 8 26 Feb 26
Rapid Fritz (IRE)from John G Carr 29 0 0 5 Nov 20
Chanceofa Lifetime (IRE) 27 3 4 22 Apr 18
King Of The Dark (IRE)then Katie Stephens 25 1 5 19 Apr 17
Millrose Bell (IRE) 21 0 3 15 May 19
Court Painter (IRE) 21 0 2 11 Jan 19
Senor Alco (FR)from Howard Johnson 20 0 3 6 May 17
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 64 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 35 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from T G McCourt (10) and Howard Johnson (3); 25 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
018755000010
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderThomas Dowson
25% of all rides
7.8% SR · A/E 1.16
RiderRWSR£1
Thomas Dowson 180 14 7.8% −59.88
Mr Kit Alexander 43 1 2.3% −39.25
Philip Armson 39 2 5.1% +11.00
Mr Alex Chadwick 30 0 0% −30.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
29
Archived wins
£257k
Prize money
2016
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Nelly La Rue (IRE) — 188bet Extra Places At Cheltenham Friday Novices' Handicap Chase Hexham · Mar 2018 · Class 4
£6,059
Ex S'elance (FR) — Langley Castle An Outstanding Small Hotel Handicap Chase Hexham · Mar 2023 · Class 5
£5,043
Pc Dixon (GB) — Cheltenham Faller Refunds At 188bet Novices' Hurdle Hexham · Mar 2018 · Class 4
£4,809
Notable horses
Gin Cobbler (GB) Duhallowcountry (IRE) Chanceofa Lifetime (IRE) Scorpo (IRE) Ex S'elance (FR) Sharivarry (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Beneficial (GB) 8.2% · 13–159
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 2.3% · 1–44
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,292 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Sixties Icon (GB) 2.4% · 1–42
Progeny have won 10% of 5,685 runs since 2012 (338 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,338.
Scorpion (IRE) 4.9% · 2–41
Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,324 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.
Nayef (USA) 3.1% · 1–32
Progeny have won 10% of 5,636 runs since 2008 (518 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6% from 216.
Saddex (GB) 6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 10.3% of 816 runs since 2012 (112 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.4% from 161.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 732 · newest first

The latest 50 of 732 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2005 to 2 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 May 26 Hexham Palm Beach (IRE)J: Mr Sam Burton mybettingsites.com/ie Everything New On Irish Bookies Selling HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 6th 200/1
22 Apr 26 Perth Palm Beach (IRE)J: Miss Amy Milburn Equine Products Best Turned Out Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran PU 66/1
13 Apr 26 Hexham Nonbinding (IRE)J: James Best Anthony Woods Electrical Lightning Bolt Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 80/1
10 Apr 26 Sedgefield Park Hind (IRE)J: Mr Sam Burton bet365 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 125/1
10 Apr 26 Sedgefield Paramaribo (IRE)J: James Best Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 7 ran F 25/1
01 Apr 26 Sedgefield Nonbinding (IRE)J: Jack Power Jayne And Greg Complete All The Racecourses Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 200/1
19 Mar 26 Sedgefield Paramaribo (IRE)J: Edward Austin Fairlight Studios Cafe At Sedgefield Racecourse Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran PU 40/1
03 Mar 26 Newcastle Palm Beach (IRE)J: Miss Pippa Brown Get Raceday Ready Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 100/1
03 Mar 26 Newcastle Paramaribo (IRE)J: Miss Pippa Brown Mini Golf At High Gosforth Park Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 50/1
26 Feb 26 Wetherby Ex S'elance (FR)J: Miss Pippa Brown Bet Now At racingtv.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran PU 80/1
24 Feb 26 Catterick Park Hind (IRE)J: Miss Pippa Brown Easby Abbey Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 200/1
10 Feb 26 Ayr Ex S'elance (FR)J: Miss Pippa Brown Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 11 ran PU 33/1
09 Feb 26 Catterick Pure Surf (IRE)J: Miss Pippa Brown Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Soft · 7 ran PU 100/1
04 Feb 26 Sedgefield Paramaribo (IRE)J: Miss Pippa Brown Fairlight Studios Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran UR 66/1
28 Nov 25 Musselburgh Pure Surf (IRE)J: Miss Pippa Brown Musselburgh Racecourse Premium Annual Membership Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 33/1
06 Nov 25 Sedgefield Paramaribo (IRE)J: Miss Pippa Brown Michael & Olivia Watson Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 100/1
06 Nov 25 Sedgefield Pure Surf (IRE)J: Miss Pippa Brown Michael Watson Civils & Groundworks Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran PU 33/1
10 May 25 Hexham Something Golden (IRE)J: Miss Rebekah Duffy Paxtons Heart Of All England Maiden Hunters' Chase (For The Heart Of All England Trophy)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 8 ran PU 50/1
10 May 25 Hexham Up With The Play (IRE)J: Mr Shay Halton Paxtons Heart Of All England Maiden Hunters' Chase (For The Heart Of All England Trophy)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 8 ran PU 80/1
03 May 25 Hexham Pure Surf (IRE)J: Miss Pippa Brown Neigh Way Laura Stewart's 60 Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Victor Thompson's strike rate?
Victor Thompson has won 29 of 713 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.1% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Victor Thompson do best at?
Perth by strike rate: 2 wins from 30 runners (6.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Victor Thompson?
Thomas Dowson, with 180 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (7.8%).
What is Victor Thompson's Fair A/E?
0.80, from 711 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).