Xavier Blanchet
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).
A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 0% (n=41, Fair A/E 0.00). Augustin Madamet rides 20% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.2%, A/E 0.94). The yard also reads well over 6f – 7f (10.7%, n=122) and off a 15-30-day break (9.2%, n=120). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 2.8% over 143 runners, 3.2pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix De Ris-orangis Stakes - Group 3 at Deauville (Jul 2026, £31,826). Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 348 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 348 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 September 2022 to 2 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Xavier Blanchet's strike rate?
- Xavier Blanchet has won 21 of 348 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Xavier Blanchet do best at?
- Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 4 wins from 44 runners (9.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Xavier Blanchet?
- Augustin Madamet, with 69 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (7.2%).
- Is Xavier Blanchet in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Xavier Blanchet's Fair A/E?
- 0.93, from 348 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.