1:30 Down Royal
The 1.30 at Down Royal is a 23-runner Eventsec Handicap Hurdle over 3m0f65y on yielding ground. A competitive field features several useful performers on official ratings, though many arrive with questions to answer over the trip or on the surface. The KTB Fit scores point to a race with a handful of viable contenders at the top of the pile, headed by the selection on 68.
How the race shapes up
With no obvious front-runner the pace shape is expected to be muddling and tactical, suiting those who can race prominently or just off the speed. Several principals, including Good World, Mister Vic, Sneddy Eddie and Butty O Brien, tend to race handily, which should put them at an advantage in a race that may not be truly run. The key question is whether the prominent group can dictate matters or if the held-up performers such as Spill A Drop and Juke Box Rock can time their late runs effectively off a steady gallop.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Good World KTB Selection68/100
Good World is a useful performer who arrives in modest recent form having been pulled up on two of his last three starts. He steps up in trip today to a distance at which he has won once from seven attempts and has placed once from eight runs on yielding ground. The 11-year-old usually races handily, on or close to the lead, which looks ideal given the anticipated muddling pace. Trainer Eoin Griffin records a 14% strike rate at Down Royal from 29 runs in line with his overall record while the jockey Alan O'Sullivan is 17% at the track from six rides. He is competitive without a win from one placing in eight starts on yielding ground and makes his first appearance at the course.
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2Mister Vic64/100
Mister Vic is a useful performer on his day yet has been well below that level for some time with a string of poor efforts. He has never won or placed in two runs at Down Royal and is unproven on yielding ground while stepping up in trip today. First-time headgear is now tried in the hope of sparking a revival. The 8-year-old usually races handily, on or close to the lead, a style that should be favoured in a tactical affair. Trainer Barry J Fitzgerald has a 25% strike rate at Down Royal from four runs while the jockey Conor Clarke is 17% at the track from six rides.
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3Spill A Drop61/100
Spill A Drop is a useful performer who has shown mixed form this season with a best of third at this track on his most recent start. He steps up markedly in trip today having last run over 2m6f and that asks a fresh question. The 6-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late, which could be effective if the race is not truly run. Trainer R K Watson records a 3% strike rate here from 251 runs in line with his 2% elsewhere while the jockey Harry Sexton has an 11% strike rate from 27 rides at Down Royal in line with his 4% at other tracks. He remains unproven on yielding ground.
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4Sneddy Eddie59/100
Sneddy Eddie is a useful performer on his day but has been below form for much of this year and his three runs here have produced no placed efforts. He steps up sharply in trip today with only one previous try at this distance which yielded no success. Gordon Elliott’s 21% strike rate at Down Royal from 947 runs is above his overall figure and Jack Kennedy’s 31% at the track from 175 rides is also well above his general mark. The 6-year-old usually races handily, on or close to the lead, which should help in a muddling pace. He has one run on yielding ground without a win or place.
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5Juke Box Rock59/100
Juke Box Rock is a useful performer who arrives in decent order after finishing third on his most recent start. He has shown ability on yielding ground with a win and two places from three runs but was well held on his only previous visit to Down Royal. The 7-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late, a run-style that could suit if the prominent horses do not get away. Trainer Gavin Cromwell and jockey Keith Donoghue both operate at their expected 10-11% strike rates here. The step up to 3m poses a fresh question.
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6Sights Unseen58/100
Sights Unseen is a useful performer who showed a bit more when fourth last time and has placed here before. The trainer’s 12% strike rate at Down Royal is above their overall figure yet the 7lb claimer is still seeking a first win from 11 rides at the track. Has failed to place in two runs at this trip and on yielding ground.
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7Tara Boe55/100
Tara Boe is a fair performer on official ratings but has been well below form in four starts this season after a long absence. The trip is a fresh question today after last running over 2m6f while the going remains unknown given only seven career runs. Half-sister to Give Him A Chance (3 wins from 17 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 2 of them winners. Trainer A. McCann has a 6% strike rate at Down Royal from 63 runs in line with his record elsewhere while jockey James Smith has a 21% strike rate at the track from 24 rides above his 8% at other courses.
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8Butty O Brien54/100
Butty O Brien is a useful performer who arrives in decent nick after a win and a fourth on his last two starts. He has shown ability on yielding ground with a win and two places from four runs but steps up in trip today having failed to place in three previous attempts at this distance. The trainer's 3% strike rate at Down Royal from 31 runs is in line with his record elsewhere while this is the horse's first run at the track.
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9True Harmony54/100
True Harmony is a fair performer who has been consistent enough without winning lately and steps up in trip having already placed at this distance. The first-time headgear is tried today after a string of modest efforts on the Flat and over hurdles. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from 15 runs at Down Royal while the jockey operates at an 11% strike rate here.
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10The Ducks Walk54/100
The Ducks Walk is a fair performer who won a handicap over fences at Punchestown last time and now steps up in trip. Has run once before at this distance without success and the yard is 0% from six runs here. Half-brother to Down Around (3 wins from 34 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner. Jockey has a 7% strike rate from 15 rides at Down Royal.
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11Heroes of Renown53/100
Heroes of Renown is a useful performer who has placed once from six starts on yielding ground and won once from six at this trip. Steps up in distance today having last run over 2m5f while making a first appearance at Down Royal. Trainer records an 8% strike rate here from 205 runs in line with his record elsewhere while jockey is on 12% from 111 rides also in line with his other tracks.
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12Annie Button53/100
Annie Button is a fair mare who ran to form when winning at this trip on her penultimate start. She has shown little on yielding ground from one run and steps up in distance again today after a recent effort over 2m6f. The trainer has only four runs at Down Royal while the jockey operates at a 19% strike rate here.
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13Lord De Choisel52/100
Lord De Choisel is a fair performer who has shown little spark in his two runs this year after an ordinary juvenile campaign. He steps up markedly in trip today having never been beyond two and a half miles which asks a fresh question of him. Full brother to Gipsy De Choisel (2 wins from 13 runs). The dam has had 4 other runners, 1 of them a winner. Trainer and jockey both operate at a 10% strike rate here which sits in line with their records elsewhere.
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14Dark Lieutenant50/100
Dark Lieutenant is a useful performer who showed some promise when runner-up on return last time after a break. Only one previous run at Down Royal ended in an unseat and he has yet to win or place on yielding ground. Steps up markedly in trip today which remains an unknown.
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15Katie's Casper49/100
Katie's Casper is a fair performer who has been consistent enough to place on yielding ground and at this trip in the past. The step up from 2m6f looks a fair question given the placed effort at three miles, though four runs on yielding have produced no win or place. The trainer's 12% strike rate at Down Royal is above his general mark while the jockey's 7% here sits in line with his overall record.
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16Drumconnor Hill49/100
Drumconnor Hill is a useful sort who has shown some ability on his better days yet has been largely out of form of late with a string of modest efforts. He steps up markedly in trip today having not tried beyond 2m4f and first-time headgear is now applied. Half-brother to Picanha (3 wins from 9 runs). The dam has had 6 other runners, 1 of them a winner. The trainer's 3% strike rate at Down Royal from 31 runs is in line with his overall record while the jockey's 13% strike rate at the track from 60 rides matches his rate elsewhere.
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17Westin Pimpernel49/100
Westin Pimpernel is a fair performer who showed a bit more when fifth last time after a poor spell. Steps up markedly in trip today while wearing headgear for the first time, both fresh questions. The dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner. Trainer has a 21% strike rate at Down Royal from 947 runs, above their rate elsewhere, though the horse was well held on its only previous run here.
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18Whatyouwant48/100
Whatyouwant is a modest performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of uncompetitive runs. He has twice finished sixth here without troubling the judge and now steps up in trip having failed to make an impact in three previous tries at this distance. The yard's small-sample record at Down Royal offers no guidance while the jockey's 14% strike rate at the track sits in line with his overall figure.
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19Le Grand Vert45/100
Le Grand Vert is a fair performer who has placed once from five runs at this track without winning. He has won twice from 14 starts at today's trip but showed little on his only run on yielding ground. The trainer's 3% strike rate at Down Royal is below his 8% at other courses while the jockey has had too few rides here to judge.
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20Head For Home45/100
Head For Home is a fair performer who has shown some ability at this trip but has failed to land a blow on his last three starts. Pulled up on his only previous visit to Down Royal and has been beaten on both runs on yielding ground. First-time headgear is now applied.
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21Captain Kate44/100
Captain Kate is a modest performer who has been out of form for some time with a recent string of poor efforts. Has shown some ability at this trip in the past but was well held when tried over this course and distance on yielding ground last time. Trainer's 13% strike rate at Down Royal is above their record elsewhere.
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22Scathach40/100
Scathach is a fair performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts. He steps up markedly in trip for the first time today while wearing headgear for the first time, both fresh questions. The trainer's 6% strike rate at Down Royal is in line with his record elsewhere while the jockey is 0% from 43 rides here.
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23Lost Features38/100
Lost Features is a modest performer who has shown little in recent starts with a string of modest efforts including a pulled-up effort. He steps up markedly in trip today having never tried beyond 2m4½f so this is a fresh question. The yard has only one run here which is too small a sample while the jockey operates at a 4% strike rate from 26 rides at Down Royal in line with his record elsewhere.
KTB verdict
Good World is the KTB Selection. He is a useful performer who steps up to a trip at which he has won and placed, while his prominent run-style should be an asset in a muddling, tactical race on yielding ground where he has been competitive. The selection has modest recent form but the combination of trip, surface and racing style gives him every chance of bouncing back. His main dangers are Mister Vic, who tries first-time headgear having shown useful form in the past, and the pair from big yards, Sneddy Eddie and Juke Box Rock, both of whom bring strong trainer and jockey combinations to the table despite their own trip and course queries.
KTB Selection Good World
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:19am, 30 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Good World | 40/1 | Bet365, 12:16am |
| Mister Vic | 12/1 | Bet365, 12:16am |
| Spill A Drop | 25/1 | Bet Victor, 12:16am |
| Sneddy Eddie | 15/2 | William Hill, 12:16am |
| Juke Box Rock | 9/2 | Bet365, 12:16am |
| Sights Unseen | 12/1 | Bet365, 12:16am |
| Tara Boe | 40/1 | Bet365, 12:16am |
| Butty O Brien | 12/1 | Bet365, 12:16am |
| True Harmony | 10/1 | Bet365, 12:16am |
| The Ducks Walk | 17/2 | Bet Victor, 12:16am |
| Heroes of Renown | 28/1 | Bet365, 12:16am |
| Annie Button | 7/1 | Bet365, 12:16am |
| Lord De Choisel | 14/1 | William Hill, 12:16am |
| Dark Lieutenant | 5/1 | BetTom, 12:16am |
| Katie's Casper | 28/1 | Bet365, 12:16am |
| Drumconnor Hill | 40/1 | Bet365, 12:16am |
| Westin Pimpernel | 11/1 | Bet365, 12:16am |
| Whatyouwant | 40/1 | BetTom, 12:16am |
| Le Grand Vert | 28/1 | Bet365, 12:16am |
| Head For Home | 14/1 | Bet365, 12:16am |
| Captain Kate | 50/1 | Bet365, 12:16am |
| Scathach | 18/1 | Bet365, 12:16am |
| Lost Features | 10/1 | BetTom, 12:16am |
This is the narrative read of the 1:30 Down Royal. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Down Royal racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Down Royal results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Down Royal racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is stepping up in trip having previously won at the distance?
Good World has won once from seven attempts at this trip.
Who is wearing first-time headgear in this race?
Mister Vic, True Harmony, Drumconnor Hill, Westin Pimpernel, Head For Home and Scathach are all wearing first-time headgear.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Down Royal among those with significant runners?
Gordon Elliott has a 21% strike rate at Down Royal from 947 runs.
How many principals race prominently?
Three of the top five principals usually race handily: Good World, Mister Vic and Sneddy Eddie.
Which horse has placed at Down Royal without winning?
Sights Unseen has placed once at the course and Le Grand Vert has placed once from five runs here.
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